Dan Hillery
@hillery_dan
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B.S Electrical Engineering (Brown University) - MSTR True North - Bitcoin & MSTR Options - 100 Ton USCG Masters Captain https://t.co/OOi29ZjxCf
Joined November 2022
Clawing Back Millions - MSTR Options Portfolio Review. Taking up the mantel for @JoshMandell6 .(I'm not half the trader he is, but I'll at least keep the flame burning). I have been slightly refining my approach. In this video I review my Options Portfolio (a subset of my
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This whole trump meme nonsense makes me want nothing to do with crypto.
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"So we are going to buy 10-20B" worth of BTC this quarter." . and the market doesn't move.
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I’m starting to get the bitcoin texts. Usually they start with, “it’s been a while, how are you?”. Used to like these messages, now I don’t. Orange pilling really just pains me. I don’t think it’s worth talking about Btc with anyone. The material has been out there for so.
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“Dividends of STRK will be payable in cash, shares of class A common stock, or a combination of both.”. So you’re telling me I get a perpetual deep out of the money call on Microstrategy that pays me while I hold it in $MSTR shares. Pinch me I’m dreaming.
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Who would have thought we'd be in bed with GME investors.
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I have friends who think it's funny that I'm into Bitcoin. I don't share that much about it with them. I sometimes make jokes about it, but quite frankly, I don't think there is anything funny about it. I just wonder, how are you laughing? You are getting f**ked by inflation,.
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Nothing is real. We live in a simulation.
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There were inflows into BTC and MSTR today. Massive inflows, considering algo short pressure on BTC & the qqq selling pressure on MSTR. I can't really get over this. INFLOWS.
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People don’t realize it yet, but this stock will be memed into the stratosphere whether we like it or not. $MSTR.
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I remain long, but am slowly dying inside.
$MSTR: Last few days have been rough, hang in there people. I remain long ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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I just ran the numbers, I think MSTR is going to 2k + per share much sooner than people think. I know @PunterJeff and @ryQuant and @BenWerkman have been saying this for a while. It took modeling out the 21 + 21 plan for me to see it for myself. More to come.
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I really am getting that feeling that I do not have enough Bitcoin. Last time I felt this way, I sold my car for BTC at 20k.
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The hardest part about this trade, about Bitcoin, etc, is just staying quiet. I have always been quite an alternative thinker and am on a different path than most of my peers, for better for worse. I just got back from a yacht club dinner. These events always remind me how.
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There were people who knew this this morning.
MicroStrategy targets up to $2 billion capital raise through public offerings of perpetual preferred stock in the first quarter of 2025. $MSTR .
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MSTR sitting at 400/share is still absolutely awesome. Bull Market will resume. "Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face.".-Mike Tyson. This is why I stay away from short dated options.
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can someone let me know why price just started going vertical?.
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When @Z06Z07 and I met for the first time in Santa Monica, at @bitcoinfirst_, hosted by @dotkrueger . he offered me a deal. I was going to help him optimize his options positions, . and he would repay the favor in an alternative currency. At first I thought he meant #Bitcoin,
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MSTR Dec 20th Targets (Bullish). &.MSTR Spring 2025 Targets. Throwing My Hat in the Ring.
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To be 100% clear, I remember seeing "crypto" kids on the internet driving around in fancy cars over the past few years. Never in a million years did I want to become one of them 🤣. I am fortunate enough to have linked up with the @MSTRTrueNorth crew. Their research changed
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Bitcoin and MSTR are the only things in the market which I can identify as undervalued. Insane.
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If Bitcoin truly stabilizes at something like a 20 CAGR, People are underestimating how expensive it will ultimately be.
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I see a lot of comparisons of Josh’s @joshmandell6’s to power law and s2f. This is not the same thing. He’s not claiming to have a modeling framework for all of the bitcoin network. He is simply (and accurately) trading based on his own Bitcoin price predictions. All of that.
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I may take up the mantel of posting my MSTR options portfolio. I am still quite excited about the next 9 months in MSTR, and I really like being focused on one thing. People are going to make obscene amounts of money in all sorts of different things in the near term future. I.
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This is iconic.
On November 5th, legendary options trader @JoshMandell6 called for Bitcoin to be at $84K on March, 14th. Today Bitcoin hit $84K right on schedule. His top call for Bitcoin price this cycle is $440K 👀
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I love that fact that nobody that provides research on MSTR has any sorts of paid groups. Nothing against that, but hopefully it provides evidence of our authenticity. We are investing for profit, not promoting for profit.
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Can we get over this whole "Bitcoin is a risk asset" phase. It's not.
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It's Better to Be Lucky than Good. Whiteboard scribbles .& .Mental framework for navigating 2025. $MSTR options exercising. Options Selling. Volatility Selling
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Old guys at the table behind me in the diner talking about the US adding bitcoin to the balance sheet. Weird times.
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Convert announced. Let’s go. Going to the gym and will lift everything in sight.
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Would it be helpful if I shared my master MSTR spreadsheet in a view-only format?.
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$Strategy is putting the kid analysts out of business with their new dashboard.
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There seems to be a non zero probability MSTR is at 1k/share by year's end. Seems completely outrageous until you realize just how quickly MSTR is buying up BTC.
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1 out of 2 topics covered. The nod has been given. The converts will be issued, the leverage ratio has been said out-loud. "In 2025 our focus will be on raising fixed income securities and opportunistically raise using equity". translation:."We are laying off the ATM.".
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Just talked to a couple of my tradfi buddies. People are hurting bad. Not good.
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The more I think about it, the more I realize simplicity might be one of the biggest advantages of MSTR. Straight forward BTC yield strategy & a share price that trends up and to the right. What more could someone ask for?.
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For reference:. A Dec 19, 2025 1000 Strike $MSTR Call Option costs:. $150,. that's 35% of the cost of a single $MSTR share. A Dec 19th, 2025 530 Strike $MSTR Call option costs:. $200,. that's 47% of the cost of a single $MSTR share. THAT'S INSANE.
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Updated 2025 MSTR BTC Acquisition Model. Free Downloadable File attached. (MSTR Damage Control). Updated Price targets. MSTR's BTC acquisition is more aggressive than people realize. "People tend to overestimate what will happen in the short term, and underestimate what will
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Mentally preparing for a 100b atm plan to be executed in the next 3 months.
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He's telling everyone to relax about the ATM. He's also saying there will be less pain.
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I got it wrong, but this is still a very exciting number.
MicroStrategy has acquired 55,500 BTC for ~$5.4 billion at ~$97,862 per #bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 35.2% QTD and 59.3% YTD. As of 11/24/2024, we hodl 386,700 $BTC acquired for ~$21.9 billion at ~$56,761 per bitcoin. $MSTR
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One of the most underrated comments from @Strategy world was that STRK had between 80% and 100% of Bitcoin’s upside. Really amazing.
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STRF, STRK, & MSTY.Different Tools for different Jobs. STRF details:.- $88 current trading price.- $100 liquidation preference.- $10 dividend.- 11.4% effective dividend.- N/A MSTR Correlation. STRK details:.- $84 current trading price.- $100 liquidation preference.- $8 dividend
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Lfg. Toll the bells.
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They are about to turn on the money printers hard,. and BTC can smell it. I was originally bearish as to the BTC top this "cycle.". Now anything is on the table.
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I know that a lot of people have been saying that they round tripped. Or that they rode mstr down. I completely agree, it was euphoric. But there is no down. Based on all the metrics that we find valuable. The company is stronger than ever. The price doesn’t reflect the new.
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I'm starting to slowly reflect on what the MSTR gang has been up to for the last 7 months,. it's not describable to anyone on the outside. There are no parallels. "So uh, a bunch of people I met online and I gambled our net worths on a company that holds Bitcoin.".
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Microstrategy’s trailing 10 day historical volatility has dropped to 40%. Average implied volatility is still hovering around 90%. All is well, but Mr. Saylor needs to juice this balance sheet pronto.
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It feels so good to be positioned. The wave is coming and we are sitting right where we should be. Now this wind can fill our sails. The work has been done.
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We’ve been here before, but it feels good to be very much so back.
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Strategy's inclusion in the S&P 500 index is by no means confirmed. I had to run the numbers for myself, and settled on a minuum BTC price of $97,069 on the last day of March, 2024 (I recognize that @PunterJeff has already done this, just doing my own work). It's also important
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That’s pretty big.
Strategy Announces $21 Billion $STRK At-The-Market Program $MSTR.
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Be careful with leverage. I have the feeling that people are going to start entering into this Twitter Bitcoin and MSTR vortex and start seeing the crazy gains. They will be exuberant and try to use leverage to "catch up" to those who have been long for the past two years. IMO.
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this is hilarious.
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I'm not on the sidelines. Once the train starts to leave the station, it begins accelerating. Then you must run to catch up with it. Personally, I don't like running after trains. Just find your seat, fall asleep, then wake up once the train is barreling down the tracks.
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I have a feeling that everyone is about to lose their minds.
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MSTR will buy billions of BTC this year. Important information.
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Saylor and the team absolutely nailed it with this preferred stock.
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While I may not be "threading the needle" like @JoshMandell6,. Here's how I am positioning over the next 20 days,. to optimize for $MSTR price between $600 and $1000.between April 1st and May 31st. Theta decay is like eating sand,. but I'm going to wait this one out.
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Microstrategy is compounding their btc/share exponentially. This is under appreciated. And like anything that has to do with compounding. It will bring larger than expected gains, but will take longer than expected. Still think 2025 will rip.
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I am split emotionally on MSTR's purchase last week. On one hand, it was a massive purchase, that used the class A atm quite effectively without hurting share price. On the other hand, this BTC buy didn't move the BTC price. I think this raises the more important point that.
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I am going to make a post shortly on the ATM usage, which I have observed over the past few weeks. The hard pill to swallow is this:. The ATM is not making the share price go down. It's people selling. Some believe that the stock is not valuable and they are taking profits,.
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If you buy bitcoin it helps mstr,. If your company puts bitcoin on the balance sheet, it proves mstr’s point AND is a Bitcoin purchase and pumps MSTR,. And if you purchase MSTR itself you fund their purchasing of more bitcoin which pumps Bitcoin which helps MSTR. I am finally.
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This week is just the warmup. If you're going to swing, swing hard. $MSTR.
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MSTR is starting to feel like it did in the good old days (this fall).
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Freedom has always been the goal, MSTR and BTC have been the vehicle I have choosen.
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People seem to be uninterested in bitcoin and MSTR. That’s a beautiful thing.
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Ok, here it is. I will be posting screenshots from one of my accounts designated to specifically $MSTR options. These are the latest positions from market close on Friday, May 9th. Changes will not reflect the overall portfolio, but simply the majority of my MSTR options
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Obviously we all want things to go ballistic and rip. But patience seems to be key. The setup is fantastic. The future looks bright. Don’t let fud bears get you down in the dumps. I know for me it’s helpful to get off this app. Think about the decisions I made years ago, and be.
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Pretending to study for midterm while watching mstr price go vertical.
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Bitcoin will go fro 100k to 1M. The question is how do you make as much money for you and your family on the way there.
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Trying to stay off Twitter as much as possible. It seems that the bears have taken over, and the "financial analysts" are doom reporting non stop about Tariffs. We live in a clown world, and too much media is poison for the the soul. I am long life. -Dan
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I completely agree. People think he's a pshyco grasping at straws and shooting from the hip with Bitcoin acquisition. So you're telling me that the guy flying around the world, talking to Billionaires, with a massive chip on his shoulder, in talks with the president of the US,.
I think people fail to realize Saylor is likely operating on information that the public is unaware of. Although I have no evidence, my guess is his conversations and discussions in private have enabled him the ability to accelerate his company faster than he normally would.
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Holiday $MSTR: "Index perpetual Short Thesis" & S&P 500 Price-to-Earnings ratio on BTC yield. -$MSTR's accretive ATM issuance forces larger than normal index flows agnostic of share price. @matt_utxo lays out very clear examples. -BTC yield can be thought of as earnings. While
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I know most people have seen this before, but I personally have not been giving it enough weight. courtesy of.Cross-Boarder Capital
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I'm not exactly sure what filing this is, and if it directly expresses the entirety of the portfolio's holdings, but if true, . we are right where we want to be.
🚨🇺🇸BREAKING: Cantor Fitzgerald financial firm ran buy Howard.Lutnick has purchased over $1 Billion worth of $MSTR shares in Q4. Howard Lutnick is also involved in the new executive order signed buy Trump to creat a sovereign wealth fund. What does he know?
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Put frankly, there should be way more demand for strk. It’s the best product offered by Strategy for 80% of investors.
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