Fred Krueger
@dotkrueger
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Investor. Not Financial Advice. Bitcoin maxi. Stanford PhD. "You might want to buy some in case it catches on" https://t.co/DwDqhhtujd
Los Angeles, CA
Joined August 2009
It seems quite clear to me the four year cycle is dead. This makes me a lot more bullish about 2026.
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Most of the 4 year cycle guys, most of the OGs will miss out on the next 3x in Bitcoin. They will have effectively cashed out just over the last cycle's highs. You know who won't miss out? Average retail IBIT buyers. Changing of the guard.
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The fact that this bank effectively controls the Fed, is allowed to grow like a blob through forced liquidations of SVB and First Republic, shows you the state of the union. JPM is the new "vampire squid".
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The JPMorgan "BitBond" is a complete joke of an offering. As is the rest of their banking products.
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A story in two parts: Left - "US October budget deficit was the highest in history (higher than even Oct-2020 during COVID) despite record Oct Federal receipts & tariff income." Right - "US Regulators Relax Key Bank-Capital Rule Tied to Treasuries" -Bloomberg
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🌲🌲The best Christmas Gift for Bitcoiners.🎁🎁 The entire history of Bitcoin in a limited edition, ultra high quality coffee table book https://t.co/R0ME3ezStR
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🇺🇸 VICE PRESIDENT JD VANCE: "Bitcoin will become a strategically important asset for the United States."
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So JP Morgan sells shares of MSTR, increases margin req. from 50-95%, pushes for Strategy’s exclusion from the MSCI index, has a history of manipulating BTC price, calls for lower price, waits for -35% drawdown and announces a Bitcoin backed bond. And this is just a coincidence?
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Exactly 2 weeks from now, a rate cut to 3.50% JPM offering structured Bitcoin Notes Texas buying Bitcoin But you were told that you should sell "18 months after the halving, and wait a year" ?
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Bitcoin is going back to ATH faster than anybody expects.
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🚨JPMORGAN JUST ADMITTED BITCOIN WON🚨 JPMorgan just filed structured notes tied to BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF with leveraged upside, conditional early call, and multiyear convexity exposure. To decode this, you need to understand what banks actually use these notes for. This is
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There is no going back to "hand coding". In the very near future, all Software will be written by AI.
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I would like to say, this problem self cures as BTC price rises. - loans can be taken using explicit BTC as collateral - BTC can be sold without pain into a Bull market to buy back shares
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I think we will slip by for now, but down the road, this could be a problem.
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⚡️DANGER⚡️ The fundamental risk of the MSTR / ASST / MTLFP model of perpetual preferred is this: - rising cost of capital in a bear market - dividend is suspended - the stocks tank - there is no buyers for their debt or shares - the only way the shares recover is selling BTC.
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China is planning on out-printing the world. Probably not a bad idea. If you get to AGI first, you win. Doesn't matter what the cost.
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