Stuart Gilmour
@drStuartGilmour
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Professor of Biostatistics at St. Luke's International University, Japan. Mastodon: @[email protected].
Japan
Joined September 2018
We interviewed several former teammates of Riley Gaines on the University of Kentucky swim team. And when it comes to Rileyâs messaging around trans athletes as âpredatory menâ and âsexual assault,â there is an important story they want you to know. đ¨đ
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More evidence in support of my thesis that we should eliminate every infectious disease known to humanity. Make a list, start at the top and work down till every disease is gone. Every ID has long-term negative consequences for human health and we should destroy them all
Stanford Medicine investigators and their colleagues have found that one of humanityâs most ubiquitous infectious pathogens bears the blame for lupus, the chronic autoimmune condition. https://t.co/bqFmVLYT3h
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In the richest country in the history of the world, housing and health care are considered âluxuriesâ
I would particularly point to this chart, which shows that we're spending a smaller and smaller share of incomes on food and clothing, leaving a growing share of our budgets for things that were traditionally considered luxuries.
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Itâs very weird to reposition porn and gambling as âasceticismâ, and a missed opportunity to blame it on regulation, theater than asking: why only men? And why only in America?
âThe sociologist Max Weber proposed that Christian asceticism gave birth to capitalism. Today it is capitalism that is birthing a wretched asceticism.â
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Dispelling the myth of the rational consumer in one tweet
Real GDP is a Fisher index normalized to equal total spending at an arbitrary base year. That index **does not** treat all goods as perfect substitutes. Changes in relative prices and spending patterns matter here, reflecting consumer preferences. But the example of weapons is a
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When you account for the shift from eating steak to gruel, which didnât go up in price, it doesnât looks so bad, and when you include the wages of the people who caused the problem - which mysteriously rose more than productivity- the problem disappears completely!
This is a great video from The Economist. What is still missing is a measure of "median productivity." Avg pay is mostly keeping up with avg productivity. But, rightly, folks still want to know whether median pay (or min wage) is keeping up with median (or minimum) productivity.
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Itâs 630 in the UK, I really donât think the numbers being slung around here make any sense
Cats are run over by cars 10,000 times a day, but it happens one time in a Waymo and the luddites all have a new excuse to ban driverless cars. Driverless cars are safer than humans you gigantic morons.
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This is why Taylor swiftâs albums, of which there is an infinite supply, are free to everyone
This objection is either wrong or meaningless. Smith himself ran these experiments! When sellers set prices, the price tends to be LOWER! In what sense are they "in charge"? Oh, and it still converges to the competitive price. Order produced from freedom of choice!
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Really asking the hard questions here!
My excellent Conversation with Sam Altman: https://t.co/YkUAJnglJm,
@sama
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Tyler Cowen, who spent the years 2004-2006 arguing there was no housing bubble and rising prices were Good Actually, is confident thereâs no AI bubble. A ringing endorsement of the industry!
Excellent point from @tylercowen "Instead, what we are seeing is that America, at the drop of a hat, can turn on a dime and reallocate capital on an unparalleled scale, to our great and enduring benefit. Unless you were around to witness World War II, none of us have seen
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These were a continuation of Obama-era policies, and if you think this is too left wing for the democrats, the party might as well dissolve itself
In a history PhD program, do you learn that 2016 is a different year than 2012? Or do you need to do a postdoc for that?
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Yes, definitely, people should go to jail for damaging the UKâs archaeological heritage
I think you should go to jail for this. Shouldn't be a long sentence, but this is a terrible precedent to set.
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Nobody said algebra is racist, they said tracking is racist
Somehow, a bunch of idiots decided that algebra was racist. The consequences of this decision have caused immeasurable amounts of harm to children across the country.
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So long as they get the trains running on time he doesnât care about their ideology
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Just as you can get around the problem that statistics doesnât have a physical model to prove causality by sticking the word âCausalâ in front of the thing you were already doing
you can get around the Fundamental Problem of Causal Inference if you plot two time series. always saying this
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The richest country in the world arguing about how to deal with the 10-15% of its population who canât afford food
"In fact, the government shouldnât be sending them money at all; they should be getting a box with food items for the week." The acquisition, storage, and mailing of these items would make SNAP substantially more expensive than it is today.
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Meanwhile the question for everyone: how can we stop consuming gasoline? These people are denialists and so long as they continue to run the worldâs biggest petrostate we will never solve this dire problem
I think a very important question for everyone who works in Democratic politics to have the right answer to is this: Is it better for gasoline prices to be high or low?
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this is because the fossil fuel corps that actually control US policy stymie meaningful change, and people are left tinkering with individual action, which benefits oil interests by making people like this guy angry with "the climate movement", and appealing to his denialism.
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The log transform used by econometricians for mortality data is just one of many problems with their modeling. I gave a talk at EcoSta 2025 where I showed that in many cases, econ models of death data can't even get the sign right. A longer version here:
Logarithms are ubiquitous in economics. They allow you to conveniently express percentage changes. However, your data includes a zero, the log representation breaks. It turns out that there is no solution fully robust to the choice of units used! 1/
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