The Chicago Fed Real-Time Unemployment Rate Forecast estimates the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) monthly unemployment rate at 4.44% (4.4% on a rounded basis) for November, little changed from the last reported BLS value for September.

No, Native-Born Employment Has Not Soared

One way to gauge US economy

Population change in North America shows southern and western U.S. cities like Charlotte and Houston booming along with Canadian cities. https://t.co/b6QNgap6ea via @visualcap

NEW: Adriana Kugler, who abruptly stepped down from her role as a Fed governor, repeatedly violated the central bank’s trading rules. New disclosures show trades in individual stocks, like Apple, Southwest Airlines and Cava, many of which took place during the blackout period

Former Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler Yaced a probe by the Fed’s internal watchdog related to her recent financial disclosures before stepping down in August, according to a document released Saturday.

The wonderful St Louis Fed just released a note on labor productivity and AI. There evidence is there that AI is raising productivity. In fact, looks like a counterpart chart to our chart on business formation and AI adoption. https://t.co/iRRNDF63eU

Federal employee paychecks will go out beginning Saturday, with aims to complete list of payments by Nov. 19, per memo reviewed by @ShelbyTalcott. Paychecks for employees at Energy, HHS, and Veterans Affairs, as well as Army and non-Army civilian employees are projected to be

St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said he expects the US economy to bounce back strongly early next year, underscoring the need for officials to approach additional interest-rate cuts with caution

Goldman: Using the 2013 shutdown experience as a guide, if the government reopens around mid-November, we expect the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) to release the September employment report a few days after reopening, but we would not expect the next report until early

In markets across the US, homebuilders sitting on unsold inventory are subsidizing mortgage rates so heavily they sometimes match the record lows last seen during the Covid-19 pandemic

One in 5 folks over 50 haven't paid their student loans in three months. This is a structural problem

https://t.co/RuaHpSKJgK

Workers are quickly adopting generative AI to save time. As more people do, how might this shape the future labor market? https://t.co/LzESMbokGX

A recent study by METR found that experienced software developers expected AI to boost their productivity, but in reality, those who used AI tools took 19% longer to complete their tasks than those who did not.

Ex-McKinsey consultants are training AI Models to replace them

October 2025 FOMC Reaction: Policymaking in the Midst of a Shutdown

A Wall Street options trade is becoming the latest personal-finance hack — helping investors borrow cheaply without selling their stocks

🚨We found that Generative AI use has fallen to 36.7% as of September 2025 falling from 45.6% as of June 2025 but still up from 30.1% as of December 2024. This is consistent with other census data finding a recent drop among firm adoption

This evening, Vice Premier He Lifeng and I engaged in frank and detailed discussions regarding trade between the United States and China. We will meet in-person next week to continue our discussions.