Anna Wong
@AnnaEconomist
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Chief US Economist, Bloomberg LP @economics. Former Fed/CEA/US Treasury, @uchi_economics @UCberkeley. All opinions are my own.
Joined May 2022
Nvidia’s call talked about the conversion rate increase with Meta. Here is Lowes on conversion rate: “Let me now discuss the importance of generative AI to improve how we sell, how we shop, and how we work. This is what we refer to as our AI framework. And as we continue to
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How Lowes is using AI for inventory and supply chain management (saw the company being mentioned in Nvidia’s earnings call yesterday)…a summary of how it is using AI to increase efficiency: “Lowe's leverages Artificial Intelligence (AI) extensively within its supply chain to
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To naysayer of AI boosting productivity...it starts at the micro level. Exhibit A, Walmart's (who's moving from New York Stock Exchange to Nasdaq) earnings today. Walmart provides a strong signal (even a sufficient signal) of what's going to happen to US labor market in the
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No !!😂
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I will be doing a fireside chat with NEC Director Kevin Hassett this Wednesday, 11/19, 10am at the Bloomberg Insights and Innovation in Washington DC. Registration for this event can be found here: https://t.co/Le8ndm3qDP The event can also be viewed LIVE (go) @TheTerminal
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I am reading the historical FOMC transcript of a FOMC meeting that was grappling with many of the same issues we are today: stock ebulliance, K-shape economy, Fed just did an insurance cut and deciding whether to do another one, growth projections stronger than expected,
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The most important question the Fed needs to answer right now, in my view, is: Is the economy akin to being in 1975, 1995, or 1999?
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This finding is similar to the conclusion in a simulation in a FOMC meeting presentation back in late 2018. Question is why finding like this was no where to be published or uttered in the last twelve months.
SF Fed study examines 150 years of U.S. tariffs and find that they lead to lower inflation and weaker aggregate demand (which raises unemployment) https://t.co/d7d9WmIHHJ
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What I have learned from the previous two charts on AI and productivity is that the topic is extremely polarizing.
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The wonderful St Louis Fed just released a note on labor productivity and AI. There evidence is there that AI is raising productivity. In fact, looks like a counterpart chart to our chart on business formation and AI adoption. https://t.co/iRRNDF63eU
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"Led to" is overstating the case a bit, but related work by Census researchers using the underlying microdata for the BFS (y-axis) found a surge in AI-related business applications after 2022.
We are seeing emergent signs that AI is driving business formations. We also think the worst for firm birth-death model is over. As long as the Fed is willing (I like Mary Daly’s framing—what the Fed decides to do could either fan or choke a 90s style productivity boom) this
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We are seeing emergent signs that AI is driving business formations. We also think the worst for firm birth-death model is over. As long as the Fed is willing (I like Mary Daly’s framing—what the Fed decides to do could either fan or choke a 90s style productivity boom) this
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To read the full piece, @TheTerminal : https://t.co/I1CUCpstvF Key quote from Associated Builders and Contractors: “Approximately 1 in 5 contractors was under contract to work on a data center project in September. While that’s a slightly lower share than in August,
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Bowman has been biding her time all these years.
Miki Bowman, who oversees the Fed's bank supervision division, told staff today she's planning to shrink the 500-person group by 30%. The goal is to accomplish this "as much as possible" with buyouts, according to an internal readout @dgtokar
https://t.co/pw49ViD0AO
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The part of the Bessent quote below basically rules out Bowman and Waller, who may be too much of an insider. “And we're going to find a leader who is going to revamp the entire institution in terms of process and inner workings."
Bessent tells Maria Bartiromo that the Fed's caution on further rate cuts isn't warranted because inflation isn't going to be a problem: "The decision to cut rates by 25 basis points, I applaud. But the language that went with it tells me that this Fed is stuck in the past.
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🌯Chipotle CEO on the US consumer: "Earlier this year, as consumer sentiment declined sharply, we saw a broad-based pullback in frequency across all income cohorts. Since then, the gap has widened, with low to middle-income guests further reducing frequency. We believe that this
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