The Budget Lab
@The_Budget_Lab
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The Budget Lab at Yale is a non-partisan policy research center dedicated to providing in-depth analysis of federal proposals for the American economy.
Joined March 2024
RT @ernietedeschi: We have a new @The_Budget_Lab report out today looking at the short-run effects of tariffs so far. Basically, we asked t….
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Today. 8:25am ET. Tune in to @BloombergRadio to hear @ernietedeschi discuss the latest on tariffs and the U.S. economy.
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RT @marthagimbel: Last year @The_Budget_Lab and @ernietedeschi took a look on what could happen if the Federal Reserve loses independence h….
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RT @ernietedeschi: Once again reupping our @The_Budget_Lab report on political risk and the US safe harbor premium.
budgetlab.yale.edu
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RT @opinion: If the original motivation for tariffs was to reduce trade deficits, it now looks as if the only way that will happen is throu….
bloomberg.com
If the original motivation was to reduce trade deficits, it now looks as if the only way that will happen is through slower economic growth and investment.
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RT @ernietedeschi: The average effective US tariff rate on video game consoles went from literally 0 before 2025 to 10.6% in June 2025. It….
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RT @YaleLawSch: Professor @NatashaRSarin talks to @ezraklein of @nytimes about where the economy is headed and how the @The_Budget_Lab is t….
nytimes.com
Natasha Sarin walks through how Trump’s tariffs, the A.I. boom and the leadership shake-up at the Bureau of Labor Statistics are affecting the economy.
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RT @SquawkCNBC: Former Trump Economic Advisor @StephenMoore and Former Biden Treasury Official @NatashaRSarin discuss the U.S. reshaping it….
cnbc.com
Stephen Moore, Unleash Prosperity co-founder and former Trump economic advisor, and Natasha Sarin, Yale University professor and former Biden Treasury official, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the...
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RT @NatashaRSarin: Really thrilled I got to speak with @ezraklein on where the economy is going -- and our work at @The_Budget_Lab to track….
nytimes.com
Natasha Sarin walks through how Trump’s tariffs, the A.I. boom and the leadership shake-up at the Bureau of Labor Statistics are affecting the economy.
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RT @riccoja: CBO put out their final distribution analysis of the reconcilation bill yesterday. If you combine those numbers with the most….
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RT @MSNBC_reports: Many Americans are concerned about the economic impact of President Trump's tariffs. The president unleashed new recipro….
msnbc.com
Many Americans are concerned about the economic impact of President Trump's tariffs. The president unleashed new reciprocal tariffs on over 90 countries today. Yale Law School Professor Natasha...
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RT @ernietedeschi: New @The_Budget_Lab tariff analysis incorporating all 2025 tariffs through today, including the higher 50% rate on India….
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RT @ernietedeschi: New @The_Budget_Lab tariff analysis incorporating the Administration's new list of "reciprocal" tariffs published last n….
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Listen to @ernietedeschi weigh in on the latest tariffs updates on @BloombergRadio with @tomkeene. (starts at min 20).
bloomberg.com
The economy and the markets are "under surveillance" as we cover the latest in finance, economics and investment.
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Listen to @Marketplace @kairyssdal talk with @marthagimbel about the potential consequences of economic data erosion.
marketplace.org
Layoff announcements were up 29% from June to July, and up 140% compared to last July. Should we be worried? Plus: data erosion, car key fobs, and the private equity-ification of youth sports.
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RT @ernietedeschi: New @The_Budget_Lab tariff analysis incorporating the 25% tariff on India, up from our previously-assumed 10% and which….
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RT @riccoja: Quick new @The_Budget_Lab post breaking down the distribution of the size of income tax cuts under the new tax law *above and….
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RT @ernietedeschi: New @The_Budget_Lab tariff analysis incorporating the 15% EU tariffs, down from our prior 30% assumption. In brief. 1….
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New @The_Budget_Lab analysis featured in @politico's Weekly Tax by @berniebecker3: "Yale’s Budget Lab has new research out today finding that most people will continue to benefit from the simplified tax system enacted in 2017. But provisions like “no tax on tips” likely will.
We @The_Budget_Lab have pout together an analysis of the OBBBA's effect on the time burden of filing taxes. The TCJA reduced just about everyone's filing burden - a true benefit of the passage of the bill. However, OBBBA undoes many of those gains.
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