Bitcoin Quantile Model Price: $89,502 Quantile: 32.5 / 100 In relative statistical terms, Bitcoin has been higher 67.5% of the time historically and lower 32.5%.

Bitcoin Quantile Model Price: $89,502 Quantile: 32.5 / 100 In relative statistical terms, Bitcoin has been higher 67.5% of the time historically and lower 32.5%.

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The Binance glitch was a borderline black swan event—an unpredictable, high-impact occurrence, (per Nassim Taleb's theory.) Without it, Bitcoin might not have broken below $100,000 and almost certainly would not have broken below $90,000.

At $90,000, Bitcoin is only ~29% down from its all-time high. Even with the wild Binance black swan glitch—the technical meltdown that triggered massive liquidations—the full pullback was only ~36% (down to around $80,600). That's a completely standard bull-market correction.

This Bitcoin cycle is NOT like past cycles. I have been warning you all and explaining this for well over a year now. Hopefully, you were paying attention.

LUKi vs the Bear market.

The days of 5 digit Bitcoin are numbered.

Bitcoin: $7,000 upside swing in under 24 hours, massive dry powder still on the sidelines because of the 4-year cycle gospel, fresh new large capital flooding in — and people seriously think a bear market is coming? 🤣

We just broke above the 21-day EMA, next goal is to hold it as support.

Simply a 13-month trading range with distribution at highs and accumulation at lows—establishing support for the next major leg up of the bull market in 2026.

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Keeping things extremely simple. For the last year, Bitcoin: Range: roughly $75k – $125k Midpoint & psychological level: $100k Most volume traded above $100k. Year-end close above $100k = huge victory for bulls. Simple as that.

Common sense. Average price of $500,000. We have spent the first almost 2 years trading around $100k. That means Bitcoin has to spend 2 years trading around $900k minimum.

Bitcoin: It’s becoming painfully obvious—this mid-cycle correction was a massive bear trap for the 4-year cycle disciples.

Just to be clear: short-term predictions are educated guesses for everyone, and everyone gets humbled eventually — including myself. Mid- and long-term predictions are what I specialize in, and this is one of my core theses for this cycle, which I’ve been posting about for well

👨🏾‍⚖️ Clarence Thomas pokes holes in New Jersey AG’s pro-abortion case The New Jersey AG's pretext for harassing a pregnancy resource center was the silly argument that donors to the center might feel misled about their pro-life views. Justice Thomas exposed the charade.

Just so everyone is on the same page: Stock-to-Flow has completely failed as a model and really should not even be discussed moving forward in any serious manner. For reference, the Stock-to-Flow model predicts an average Bitcoin price of $500,000 for the roughly 4-year period

Bitcoin: Still just a normal, healthy correction during a bull market. Of course, the Binance glitch/fumble that led to the Oct 10th flash crash didn't help, however, the healthy cool-off is how extended bull markets are created. V-shaped recovery, then 2026 bull market

I will have to retire the Plan B model for him as he clearly seems too stubborn to do it himself.

Fast move today. Someone loves sub $90,000 Bitcoin.

The first important level for Bitcoin to reclaim and find support above is the 21-day EMA, which is currently at $92,173. We keep getting rejected at this moving average and have been unable to get above it and find support since the major flash crash on Oct 10. There are a