PlanC
@TheRealPlanC
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Here to help you navigate the #Bitcoin market cycle and improve your digital asset journey.
Joined September 2020
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#Bitcoin
bullish indicators
𝗟𝗼𝗻𝗴-𝗧𝗲𝗿𝗺 𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗖𝗿𝗼𝘀𝘀𝗲𝘀
STH/LTH cost basis ✔️
Pi cycle bottom ✔️
100 ema/200 ema ✔️
𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗱 𝗠𝗼𝘃𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗔𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗴𝗲𝘀
200-day sma ✔️
2-Year ema ✔���
20-Week sma ✔️
50-Week sma ✔️
200-Week sma ✔️
STH cost basis ✔️
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Not following
@Washigorira
?
You are missing out 🤦♂️
His charts are absolute fire 🔥
Also, a really great dude.
#Bitcoin
#Crypto
Examples 👇
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At a crossroads, will this time be different?
Before the last 2 major bull markets, the blue and red lines came together, similar to now 👀
Can
#Bitcoin
turn the red line into support?
Average purchase price, aka cost basis.
Last 2 Years
🟥 $29,323
2-5 Years Ago
🟦 $26,800
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Are you following
@CryptoCon_
yet?
You should be.
He provides excellent cycle analysis.
Examples 👇
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New
#Bitcoin
Model
🟥 1.0σ to 2.0σ
$40,985 to $50,803
(6% of Days)
🟨 Mean to 1.0σ
$31,168 to $40,985
(26% of Days)
🟩 -1.0σ to Mean
$21,350 to $31,168
(60% of Days)
🟦 -1.5σ to -1.0σ
$16,441 to $21,350
(8% of Days)
Slope
10d (-1%)
30d (0%)
90d (+8%)
Follow for updates.
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Pay attention to projects that continue to build and deliver regardless of market conditions.
The tokenization of real-world assets will be the driving force and foundation of the next phase of substantive crypto development.
First mover
@PropChainGlobal
is laser-focused on…
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@CryptoCon_
Completely agree.
Essentially, every cycle model indicates the Bitcoin cycle low is already in.
Those who were or still are waiting for 10-12k simply don't want to admit that they let fear or greed cause them to not pull the trigger during the cycle low formation.
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@WatcherGuru
For those paying attention and playing the long game.
This was the real news today, NOT the EFT decisions being delayed.
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@AlemzadehC
Agree or disagree, I appreciate you thinking outside the box and being willing to entertain less popular opinions.
The funny thing is this scenario would actually be max pain for most market participants who would be caught out of position.
It is essential to always consider…
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@CryptoCon_
Agree with your analysis and commentary.
The first early top is in; we may get one of 3 possible bottom point scenarios.
1. $25k (June support), holding so far; bottom plays out for the rest of Sept.
2. $20k (March support) bottom plays out over Oct-Dec.
3. Black Swan…
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@thescalpingpro
Great find and visuals 👏
I believe this pattern will hold.
I don't see a new cycle low; however, I could see one last major capitulation or black swan causing a brief dip to 18-20k. It's not my base case, but I can't rule it out completely. Keep up the excellent content.
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@TechDev_52
As is custom, legendary breakdown from TechDev.
The "real havening" has signalled.
Will history repeat for a 5th straight time?
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@CryptoCon_
Great breakdown and explanation of an interesting theory by Steve.
I greatly respect Steve; however, I don't see this theory playing out.
You said it yourself: Bitcoin has never not hit a Fibonacci extension level at a cycle top.
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@CryptoCon_
The idea makes sense and does fit with past cycles.
"Mister market" puts in the cycle low, gets everyone excited with a quick pump, and then dumps/sideways to demoralize some and trick others into selling because they think the cycle low is not in yet.
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@CryptoCon_
Great find, the data looks very clear here. Same pattern as all previous cycles. Even though everyone is calling for this time to be different. So far we have experienced no abnormal cycle deviation. Keep the data coming sir, awesome work!
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@Washigorira
Interesting 🤔
From here, $21,200 is a target which is surely within the realm of possibility. This kind of move would demoralize and shake out even more retail investors.
Thanks for sharing 🤝
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@TechDev_52
Love this metric/indicator, and it continues to hold up well. Also, agree with your analysis here.
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@CryptoCon_
Love this! Great idea to explore the MVRV using monthly data, the historic signal has been on point 👏
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@100trillionUSD
Yes, mister market must wring out every drop of retail investor hope from the cloth of dreams first. A few drops left, but we are close.
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@Washigorira
Thanks for the update
@Washigorira
; I remember when you posted this a few months back and said we might hit the first target in 2023.
Bitcoin was 16.8k then, and most people were calling for lower prices.
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@therationalroot
Love this cheat sheet.
Stagnation sums it up for sure.
Disbelief coming soon.
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@CryptoCon_
Excellent observation and analysis, as always.
Everyone saying this time is different is speaking from a place of emotions, not data.
So far, the bottom formation phase has been textbook, and metrics/indicators like this point to Bitcoin being on schedule for now.
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@CryptoCon_
Very impressive and interesting breakdown.
Thank you for all the time and effort you put in.
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@CryptoCon_
I concur. Tracking confluence across multiple time-tested models and indicators is my strategy as well.
All models are wrong, but yours are useful. 👏
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@Washigorira
Fantastic data and insights, Titan! 👏
There is a decent probability this pattern remains intact and we reach $48,700 before the halving.
Either way, this is a tremendous cycle reference point.
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@el_crypto_prof
Have to agree sir; so much fear in the air.
So far, cycle-wise, nothing out of the ordinary has occurred.
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@CryptoCon_
Reasonable hypothesis; love the layout and visual comparison.
I'm intrigued to see how the rest of 2023 unfolds.
Have an awesome day brother 🤝
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@Washigorira
Great comparison, explanation and layout.
I remember many people calling for that CME gap in 2020 to be filled.
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@CryptoCon_
Always enjoy your charts/cycle analysis brother. To succeed we must maintain an unbiased lens, ignore the daily noise/drama/distractions and have a long-term outlook.
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@CryptoCon_
Well done sir. Fantastic time-based cycle insights.
(Very interesting theory)
"Cycles are centered around the date of the first halving Nov 28th."
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@thescalpingpro
Thanks for sharing,
@thescalpingpro
👏
Interested to see how this time plays out.
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@seth_fin
Those last two sections contain a lot of truth and great advice. 👏
Great post and I share your thoughts on the cycle low being in; that is my base case as well.
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@Washigorira
Completely agree, especially with the recent wins for Ripple, Grayscale and Uniswap.
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@Washigorira
Interesting indicator; thanks for sharing.
Further confirmation the cycle low is in.
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@CryptoCon_
Thanks for sharing your more interesting, nuanced, and contrarian take than the current parroted 🦜 narratives circulating on this topic.
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@PropChainGlobal
Great to see you live,
@propchainmaster
🤝
Interested in learning more about the ongoing work and the overall roadmap.
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@inmortalcrypto
Quality content creators like yourself will make 𝕏 great; you will make much more in the coming months and years.
You are adding real value.
Love your content; keep it up! 🤝
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@PropChainGlobal
Earning passive income/real yield through fractional ownership of tangible assets via blockchain technology.
The future is already here 👏
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@CryptoCon_
I have a passion for cycle models, and I love seeing others like yourself who share that passion and put in the work.
It will be interesting to compare notes on various models throughout the cycle.
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@OnChainCollege
@coinglass_com
Agree, the short-term holder cost basis is an essential level to watch.
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@kenblaue
@MELD_Defi
Great space. I loved the
@kenblaue
/
@MELD_Defi
background story and how some of the less talked about arms of the global financial system operate.
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@InsiderFinTech
@MELD_Defi
The potential is there, no question. Time will tell if they can execute on their vision.
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@PropChainGlobal
It is fantastic to see the community growing 👏
This market cycle real-world-assets will be one of the top narratives for sure.
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@BTC_Archive
If X wants to compensate for the lost revenue, they must keep gold checks happy and subscribed.
83,000🟨
$1 Billion per year
10,400,000🟦
$1 Billion per year
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@PropChainGlobal
@MEXC_Official
Congratulations on this upcoming listing.
The scheduled plan for four significant listings within the next 4-months will undoubtedly lead to many more people joining the Propchain community.
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@PropChainGlobal
Wow, huge updates! There is a lot to be excited about to end the year. Let's keep the momentum going into 2024 🤝
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@PropChainGlobal
@propchainmaster
@PropGlobal
If you are unaware of what is happening in the real-world asset space, recommend joining or checking out the recording.
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@PropChainGlobal
@MEXC_Official
Congratulations on the successful listing launch w/ MEXC!
Very interested in seeing the agenda for December.
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@seth_fin
Hey brother, hope you are doing well! You have been putting out great content, and early congrats on reaching 30k followers.
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