On-Chain College
@OnChainCollege
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Class of 2017 - My analysis is supported by @Binance - Analyst at Bitcoin Live - Subscribe to The OCC Newsletter ↓
In The Charts
Joined August 2021
If you remove #Bitcoin that hasn't moved in 10+ years, the percent of the supply in profit has recently reached all-time lows. 32.73% of the supply is sitting in profit, lower than all prior bear markets. If bottoms occur during max pain, we are certainly there/close to it.
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The total cost basis of the Bitcoin network has crossed $50K for the first time ever. In past cycles, this cost basis level was only reached during the depths of bear markets.
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Binance supporting my work inspired a deep dive into exchange data. Here’s an interesting chart- total spot volume by exchange for the first half of 2025. Binance’s Bitcoin spot volume alone tops the total Alt + BTC volume of every other exchange.
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Even with a conservative outlook where this is the first cycle Bitcoin doesn’t reach the investor top, a $200K+ peak remains firmly in play.
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RT @OnChainCollege: Even if this cycle peaks with a muted green signal instead of a red one, the data still suggests the big move hasn’t ha….
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My latest Bitcoin article, Forest For The Trees, is an important one.
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Even if this cycle peaks with a muted green signal instead of a red one, the data still suggests the big move hasn’t happened yet.
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Honored to share that @binance has followed me on X and will be lending support to my analyst journey. I’ve worked hard to build trust and credibility in this community through objective analysis, and it's an honor to be recognized by Binance. Let’s keep pushing forward.
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Interesting spot for Bitcoin right now. Watch closely. What happens next could set the tone for the weeks ahead.
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RT @DavidFBailey: It looks like we might know how many Bitcoin the us government is holding now and it’s about 85% less than thought. Expl….
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The short-term holder cost basis is now $101.8K. We used to dream of Bitcoin prices of $100K. Today, it’s a significant support level. Few understand how bullish that truly is.
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Many people simply need to take a breath and zoom out. The hardest and easiest thing to do is HODL Bitcoin. Few understand.
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RT @sathishsandu: @OnChainCollege Another great article from @OnChainCollege I am a happy paid subscriber for Scott/OCC on Substack. I high….
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Posted May 1st and playing out perfectly for Bitcoin. I hope you've been paying attention.
I'm anticipating a reversion to the mid-level (orange line) of the Mayer Multiple, which currently aligns with a Bitcoin price of ~$134.5K.
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Short Bitcoin if you hate money. $565M in shorts just got wiped. Biggest liquidation day of 2025.
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Don’t miss my latest Bitcoin article ’And so it begins…’ . Consider subscribing. Most stay where they are. A few choose to go deeper and uncover what others miss.
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