CryptoCon
@CryptoCon_
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#Bitcoin Technical Analyst || Conservative long-term analysis || Here to help you make money || Creator of the Halving Cycles Theory
Joined September 2018
For people who are watching traditional Bitcoin cycle top metrics and wondering... "Why haven't any of them triggered if the cycle top is in?" Diminishing pressure is likely the answer. As returns diminish, so do metric values. In 2021, data like MVRV, RHODL, and many others
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To expect any further cycle top price action here from Bitcoin would just be plain greedy. On the Aroon Oscillator, like most other cycle top data that has triggered, we've reached cycle top levels three times this cycle: March 2024, January 2025, and October 2025. We've gone
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November 2025 was the first bearish retest on Money Flow Index of the cycle.
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Stochastic RSI phases in July, this year: https://t.co/AzeCWEfqBn
Cycle Top Phase (Phase 4) of the Stochastic RSI phases is inbound... but not complete. The data structure still mirrors the 2015 - 2017 cycle. And to think, just a few months ago people were calling for the cycle to be over! Bitcoin, and finally Altcoins, are picking up.
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Picture perfect phase 4 (cycle top) in October 2025 for Bitcoin on 3-week Sotchastic RSI. The metric is also returning to the stochastic floor, which only appears at the end of the cycle.
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Get $210 Off Roborock Q7 M5+ This Christmas. Smart Cleaning Just Got More Affordable
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The cycle top of the Monthly Fisher Transform is complete with the 3rd crossover of the cycle, lining up perfectly within the Halving Cycles Theory time frame.
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The standard bear market warning signs are all here, but we're in the early parts of it, where it's popular to deny them. 3 week Donchain Channel support has been lost for the first time this cycle. You've likely seen other metrics as well, such as the weekly supertrend, which
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KST Crosses in August 2024: https://t.co/dyvnXgeNbN
#Bitcoin is down slightly, but people who are focused on the end game know it's nothing to worry about. Hold hope, March 2024 triggered the final weekly bearish KST cross before the cycle top run.
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The 2025 Limited First Edition Unity Bag has sold out within one week of launch. We are humbled and moved by the overwhelming response and love we have received. The Unity Bag was created as a quiet tribute to Fostering the Future and as a message of hope. It is the greatest
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Bitcoin KST cycle top is locked in with the 4th bearish crossover of the cycle. And if there were any doubts, the metric is doing its signature "plummet off the screen" that we see after every 4th cross. Other 4th cross dates: - February 2014 - February 2018 - December 2021
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It was 152 weeks from Bitcoin's November 2022 cycle bottom to the October 2025 cycle top. Exactly the same as the previous two cycles, and two weeks off the first cycle using the Halving Cycles Theory bottom in December 2010.
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It's time to give one last update to this cycle's "Calendar of The Masses." I've been tracking what I've observed as the common think at important local highs and lows. If you were here, then you'd remember! Thought at the October 2025 high, "This is just the beginning." Now,
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Extreme Fear showing on Bitcoin fear and greed, but that does not mean it's time to rush and buy. This shows a change in trend, from bullish to bearish. There was a large-scale bearish divergence in August 2025, which has also appeared at every other cycle top. The reason I
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Hilton Worldwide is making new highs and soaring past its 50-day moving average! The company, which we own in our luxury fund, announced that AMARIS Grace Bay will join its exclusive LXR Hotels & Resorts portfolio, with the luxury resort and branded residences set to open in
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Here's an early look at what we might expect for Bitcoin cycle low prices from the Golden Ratio Multiplier... Level 1 sits at $38,800 and has been very consistent for cycle bottoms. As price declines, this number will drop some. I also think GRM did an ok/decent job of
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March 2025 is just around the corner, which is scheduled to be the First cycle Top according to this Fibonacci retrace of the Halvings. Think April 2013, June 2017, and April 2021. These retraces work by placing the 0 and 1 points at each of the Halving Dates, excluding
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The "First Cycle Top" on the Fibonacci Halvings would have been off by about 2 months (depending on where you place it), but the cycle top mark was nearly dead at just 2 weeks post the October cycle top. I distinctly remember before the last bear market in 2022, we heard the
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The creation of the November 28th Cycles Theory, January 3rd, 2023: https://t.co/jocj3DuWtO
I have come up with a theory that takes #Bitcoin 4 year cycles 1 step further It seems that what happens in a given year could be pre-determined by one date, November 28th, the day of the first Halving There are 4 cycle parts: New ATH, Bear Market, Accumulation, and Preparation
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It looks like the Halving Cycles Theory has been right after all, completing its first successful cycle after creation. The Bitcoin cycle top occurring on October 6th, 2025, was within parameters, falling in the 3-month window for the cycle top of October - December in Red Year.
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