Lars G. Hemkens
@LGHemkens
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Academic Director Clinical Trials @ DCR Bern / U Bern || Lead Pragmatic Trials @RC2NB / U Basel || RT/like no endorsement
Berne, Switzerland
Joined June 2016
Tom Chalmers in 1977: 'Randomize the first patient!'. He called for assessment of innovative treatments using strong designs early in the process. We believe RISAT makes that more possible. RISAT: Random Invitation Single-Arm Trial @AnnalsofIM
https://t.co/K8lnp34t00
acpjournals.org
Single-arm trials can be used to explore the feasibility, implementation, and effects of treatment. They typically use opportunistic convenience sampling to find potential participants. Their main...
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#JAMA editor Drummond Rennie who died recently acted as the champion of the JAMA Users’ Guides to the Medical Literature. Without his advocacy the series would never have happened and the #EBM movement might never have got off the ground. JAMA published this tribute to Drummond.
jamanetwork.com
Drummond Rennie, physician, scientist, editor, climber, tireless promoter of integrity and transparency in science, and mentor to many, died on September 12, 2025, at the age of 89.
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Anyone interested in determining the effect of a drug in a single patient by conducting a #RandomizedTrial in a that patient – an N of 1 trial – will find this step-by-step guide enormously useful. https://t.co/4lpKzoM98J
cmaj.ca
In determining optimal treatment for a patient conventional trials of therapy are susceptible to bias. Large-scale randomized trials can provide only a partial guide and have not been or cannot be...
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If you are using #GRADE to rate #CertaintyofEvidence for diagnostic tests this article that deals with study design, #RiskofBias, and #indirectness provides crucial guidance. https://t.co/3Vc9UR75Aw
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Rating the certainty of a body of evidence using GRADE in Cochrane and other reviews and World Health Organization and other guidelines dealing with in TA studies helped refining our approach. The...
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Clinicians can enhance patient understanding by using numerical data instead of verbal probabilities, consistent denominators, absolute risk comparisons, and clear context for unfamiliar data types. https://t.co/1cAtzXCbSn
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https://t.co/UZAydQwobf Nice read: „…. advanced applications should only be used in combination with sufficient background knowledge. Over time, consistently verifying LLM outputs may lead to an appropriately calibrated trust in these tools among users.“
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
This article is the main paper for a commentary article: https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.70271
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Join a wonderful team transforming clinical research. We are embedding trials into care, creating real-world evidence, and innovating at the intersection of data science and patient impact. 100% postdoc @ Department Clinical Research @ U Bern Apply:
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#GRADE’s primary focus in #SystematicReviews has been on rating certainty in evidence on interventions. But in this article GRADE also provides guidance for #CertaintyofEvidence in #prognosis in which #ObservationalStudies start as high certainty evidence https://t.co/wXH6r6eOVO
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
The same principles GRADE proposed for bodies of evidence addressing treatment and overall prognosis work well in assessing individual prognostic factors, both in noncontextualized and contextualized...
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Truth starts with accurate words. 'Emulate' means to copy. Target trial emulation does not copy RCT design other than defining the inception cohort. It does not copy randomization, blinding, prospective data collection, specifying adjustment variables before collecting data ..
“Emulating” RCTs is disastrous language applied to an infeasible situation - how does one emulate blinding? randomization? The old observational data is dressed up as the new “emulated RCT” Marketing terminology and salesmanship is all this is imho @RWJE_BA
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https://t.co/Rtab6DKJbn Huge Impact of immortal Time Bias: Across 25 topics (182 studies), 44% studies were affected by ITB "In 23.8% (5/21), the overall summary results changed from stat. significant to non-stat. significant or vice versa after excluding studies with ITB"
journals.sagepub.com
Objectives Immortal time bias (ITB) occurs when a period during which, by design, participants cannot experience the outcome (like death) is incorrectly include...
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Just published critique of #GRADE notes the system’s limitations: excessive complexity and need for more practical guidance and examples. Seven Core GRADE papers published in #BMJ this spring go a long way toward addressing these issues. https://t.co/qcdQuyhHTO
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
GRADE is a tool to check how reliable and good the evidence is in research. This study looked at the challenges researchers face when using GRADE and their opinions on improving it. Researchers found...
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Google’s research on a Personal Health Large Language Model (PH-LLM) is now published in @NatureMedicine Magazine!
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💡New free course! We’ve developed a self-paced course to help the public better understand randomised trials – how they work, why they matter, and their role in advancing healthcare. Start here 👉 https://t.co/8qSlaHkZIE
@hrbtmrn @hrbireland
futurelearn.com
Empower yourself with knowledge about clinical trials and gain the confidence to make informed decisions about healthcare and trial participation with the University of Galway.
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Developed by an international team of clinicians, researchers, and journal editors, the Chatbot Assessment Reporting Tool (CHART) is a guideline that includes 12 items and 39 subitems developed to provide reporting recommendations for studies evaluating the performance of
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#RealWorldData advocates facing challenges addressing sources of bias suggest causal modelling as a solution. Doesn’t work. Comparison of 19 modelling studies with #RCTs showed 42% differed in direction and 47% of confidence intervals didn’t include RCT estimate.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Nonrandomized studies using causal modeling with MSM may give different answers than RCTs. Caution is still required when nonrandomized "real world" evidence is used for healthcare decisions.
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“This trial is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42024529706).” ???
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Impressive. Moderate certainty evidence despite “The findings..should be interpreted in light of limitations, such as the small number of studies available for most outcomes, a lack of age-specific analysis and biases at the individual study level, including residual confounding”
What's the optimal number of steps of physical activity that is associated with multiple (9) favorable outcomes? The largest, systematic review of 57 studies, 35 cohorts. 7,000 steps is clinically meaningful; some benefit also seen for 4,000 steps cf 2,000 steps @TheLancet
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