KPI Sports
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KPI, developed by @KevinPauga , is a results-based metric ranking team resumes on a game-by-game basis for numerous NCAA sports.
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Manager Games Postseason Tournament No. 1 seeds:
WEST: Kansas
SOUTH: Illinois State
EAST: Akron
MIDWEST: Wisconsin
#ManagerMadness
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D-I MBB KPI Rankings now live:
1. Arizona State
2. Duke
3. Villanova
4. Michigan State
5. Texas A&M
6+.
** Best Win: ASU at Kansas (+1.00)
** Villanova No. 1 in efficiency
** Includes tweak in this year's formula to better measure strength of opponent
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Perspective on the
@UConnWBB
win streak: if they had a 95% chance to win each game played, the chances they win 100 straight are just 0.59%.
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Managers from
@CycloneMBB
,
@KUHoops
,
@MSU_Basketball
, &
@Vol_Hoops
after KU won the 1st
#managergames
championship!
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Wofford’s win at North Carolina tonight is worth +1.05 in KPI, making it the best win by any team so far this season.
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The
@StJohnsBBall
road win at Villanova is worth +1.08 in KPI. It’s the single best win in college basketball this season (eclipsing Texas Tech’s win at Kansas).
St. John’s has moved up 38 spots in KPI (from No. 111 last Friday to now No. 73) after wins over Duke and Villanova.
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UPDATE: 1 point games during entire NCAA Tournament over last 5 seasons:
2011: 5
2012: 3
2013: 2
2014: 3
2015: 5 (ALREADY!!!)
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First (and still early!) D-I MBB KPI Rankings are now live:
1.
@KUHoops
2.
@umichbball
3.
@BadgerMBB
4.
@OhioStateHoops
5.
@ZagMBB
6.
@NevadaHoops
7.
@OU_MBBall
8.
@Vol_Hoops
9.
@MSU_Basketball
10.
@UVAMensHoops
11.
@DukeMBB
12.
@TexasTechMBB
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101 schools from 22 conferences have now played Manager Games. Updated KPI Manager Rankings.
@JayBilas
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KPI Rankings thru 2/24
Top Wins: Sun 2/24
.97
@MSU_Basketball
at Michigan
.71
@XavierMBB
vs Villanova
.53
@HCrossMBB
at Lehigh
.53
@RutgersMBB
vs Minnesota
.51
@UNCGBasketball
vs ETSU
.50
@Redbird_MBB
vs Drake
.39
@GoBearcatsMBB
at UConn
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The
@UCF_MBB
win at Houston is worth 1.04 in KPI. It’s the fifth best win of the entire D-I MBB season by KPI.
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66
This can be proven by KPI. Arizona State’s wins at Kansas (1.01) and vs Xavier (.95) are the best and 5th best non-conference wins of the season and combine to form the best pair of non-conference wins by any one team.
Arizona state has struggled, but maybe the best set of wins of anyone -- at Kansas and neutral over Xavier. Sun Devils should cruise in.
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KPI Rankings for
@B1GManagerHoops
games and teams are now live! Radford, Ohio State lead.
@JayBilas
@SethOnHoops
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BREAKING: Georgia beats Vanderbilt in the first ever
#managergames
postseason game to be played! It's a 12/5 upset!
It's not March without a 12/5 upset! The Dawgs take down Vandy in a rout, 65-41. Captain
@cooper_kostel
leads a second half close-out with 8
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14
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KPI Rankings thru 1/24
Top Wins: 1/24
.91
@MSU_Basketball
at Iowa
.72
@TXStateMBB
at Georgia St
.71
@BelmontMBB
at Murray St
.65
@UAB_MBB
at N. Texas
.63
@USC_Hoops
vs Arizona
.56
@UW_MBB
at Oregon
.52
@LouisvilleMBB
vs NC State
.50
@SunDevilHoops
at UCLA
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51
Kansas beats MSU 44-42. Made two free throws with 4 seconds left. Kansas is the national champion!!
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KPI MBB Rankings thru 1/2
1. Villanova
2. Baylor
3. Florida State
4. Creighton
5. Kansas
6. Kentucky
7. Butler
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Crazy. The national championship was almost perfectly "expected" by KPI!!! Math is fun, but that ending was better!
Last game of the year means the expected score by KPI gets posted pregame.
Math says Villanova 76, North Carolina 74.
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Sneak peek at too-early D-I MBB KPI entering Sunday
1-Villanova (6-0)
2-Creighton (6-0)
3-Xavier (6-0)
4-Baylor (6-0)
5-Gonzaga (5-0)
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28
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The
@BYUbasketball
win at Gonzaga is this season's best win (+1.00 in KPI). The 2015 BYU win at Gonzaga was the 4th best win that season.
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Updated list of D-I MBB schools with multiple true road wins so far this season (2 each):
Boston U.
Buffalo
Delaware
Longwood
North Carolina
Ohio State
Oklahoma
Pacific
Southern Miss
Stony Brook
UC-Irvine
UNC-Greensboro
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Manager Games Postseason Tournament Bracketology. What would the field look like if the season ended today?
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Post-holiday KPI Rankings (thru 12/25):
Top Wins: Tue 12/25
.47
@TCUBasketball
vs Indiana State
.35
@HawaiiMBB
vs Rhode Island
Top 10
1. Kansas
2. Oklahoma
3. Michigan
4. Duke
5. Wisconsin
6. Ohio State
7. Nevada
8. Tennessee
9. Gonzaga
10. Arizona State
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Massive night for road wins. 3 of the best 11 wins of the season by KPI occurred tonight:
+1.02 Texas Tech at Kansas (4th)
+1.01 Florida at Texas A&M (6th)
+0.95 Auburn at Tennessee (11th)
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Now 115 schools participating in KPI Manager Rankings. Close to building a 68-team field!
@JayBilas
@franfraschilla
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Current preview of D-I MBB KPI Rankings:
1. Duke
2. Villanova
3. Arizona St
4. Texas A&M
5. Michigan St
KPI Rankings start posting Monday.
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Today is the last day without a D-I men's college basketball game until March 16, 2015 ... the day after Selection Sunday.
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Saturday’s Loyola-Kansas State game will be the first 9 vs 11 matchup in NCAA Tournament history.
The combined seeds in that matchup (20) is the highest ever for a Regional Final.
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BREAKING: The first
@ManagerGames_
Bracketology of the season is live. Full rankings:
- Charlotte, UAB, Virginia Tech, Saint Louis are No. 1 seeds
- 68 teams are eligible for the 64-team field (minimum 5 games played)
- 171 D-I teams have played 351 games
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SOS (by KPI):
Ohio State (12-1) 48
TCU (11-1) 69
Baylor (11-1) 79
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The first
@ManagerGames_
KPI Rankings of the season are live:
** Iowa is No. 1 by virtue of their road win at Indiana.
** 108 D-I schools from 24 conferences have played so far.
** 96 games played thru Dec 10.
** Managers averaging 68.2 PPG.
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Last game of the year means the expected score by KPI gets posted pregame.
Math says Villanova 76, North Carolina 74.
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Credit to ESPN producer Dave Pierpont,
@GenoEspn
, &
@CollegeGameDay
on a great
#managergames
piece:
@richarddeitsch
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This is mathematically true. Win at Arizona worth +.92. Win at Kentucky worth +.89.
No team in college basketball has a better pair of road wins this season than UCLA. Bruins have won at Kentucky and at Arizona.
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Tonight’s
@SunDevilHoops
win over Kansas is worth .95 in KPI. It is the 5th best win by any team this season and the best win by any team at home.
Kansas remains No. 1 in KPI. ASU moves up to No. 11.
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BREAKING:
#managergames
semifinals & championship to take place at the NCAA Fan Fest in Houston on Friday, April 1:
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BYU win at Gonzaga is the 4th best win of the season (worth +.95) by KPI. Behind only Duke (at UVA), Miami (at Duke), and Duke (at WIS).
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Why is everyone dead set on Top 50 being the cut off for a quality win? Is a road win at No. 51 not better than a home win over No. 49?
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The
@Vol_Hoops
win over Gonzaga is worth .82 in KPI. It’s the second best neutral site win of the season. The top five:
.93 Wisconsin vs Oklahoma
.82 Tennessee vs Gonzaga
.81 Villanova vs Florida State
.80 Gonzaga vs Duke
.80 Virginia vs Wisconsin
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A feature on student managers and how
@B1GManagerHoops
and KPI Sports started
#managergames
airs on
@CollegeGameDay
today. Noon ET on ESPN.
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With 64 teams now eligible for
@ManagerGames_
postseason, time for the first Bracketology!
Rankings:
#ManagerWeek
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KPI math got 67/68 teams correct. Formula had Kansas State and Georgia flipped by just .007 KPI. Seed margin difference was 0.91/team.
FINAL KPI Rankings
1-Villanova
2-Kansas
3-Kentucky
4-Gonzaga
5-Arizona
6-Duke
7-Louisville
8-UNC
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Updated KPI Manager Rankings, including a big jump by Kansas State's managers
@JayBilas
@SethOnHoops
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Top Saturday wins by KPI
1. BYU beat Gonzaga .95
2. Arizona beat Utah .85
3. Boise St beat SDSU .82
4. Dayton beat VCU .80
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Late-night updated KPI rankings thru Sunday
KPI Top 5
1. Villanova
2. Baylor
3. Florida State
4. Kentucky
5. Kansas
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30
South Dakota State beat Savannah State tonight 139-72. The 139 points scored by
@GoJacksMBB
is the most by a D-I team vs. another D-I team since Butler beat The Citadel 144-71 on Nov. 14, 2015.
0
11
30
KPI MBB Rankings
Top Season Wins
1.03 West Virginia at Virginia
1.03 UT-Arlington at St Mary’s
.99 UCLA at Kentucky
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29
Only 3 schools currently have 3 or more QBs on NFL rosters:
@uscfootball
(4),
@MSU_Football
(3),
@VT_Football
(3). All 3 MSU QBs won today.
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28
@JayBilas
Comparing data thru 3rd round (52 games) of 2013 & 2014 NCAA Tournaments:
http://t.co/GR5LVt9oYT
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Final
@ManagerGames_
Bracketology before the real thing is released next Monday. Full rankings
- Charlotte, UAB, Bowling Green, and Ohio are No. 1 seeds
- 79 teams eligible for 64-team field
- 381 games played
- Final bracket will be released on March 12
0
9
27
Sneak peek at too-early D-I MBB KPI entering Friday
1-Creighton (5-0)
2-Villanova (6-0)
3-Florida (5-0)
4-Louisville (5-0)
5-Xavier (5-0)
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Big News!
@ManagerGames_
is back for Year 3:
In two years, there have been 652 Manager Games played by 165 schools representing 27 D-I Conferences!
0
9
26
Loyola Chicago becomes the fourth team in NCAA Tournament history to make a Final Four without playing a single game as a higher seed (seeding began in 1979)
1986 LSU (11)
2006 George Mason (11)
2011 VCU (11)
2018 Loyola Chicago (11)
0
11
25
Top games by KPI (Sat 12/22)
1-Kansas at 32-Arizona State
42-Saint Louis vs 23-Florida State
47-Vanderbilt vs 20-Kansas State
51-UCLA vs 9-Ohio State
56-Seton Hall at 41-Maryland
21-North Carolina vs 68-Kentucky
79-Wichita State at 40-VCU
82-Murray State at 34-Auburn
0
4
24
D-I MBB KPI Rankings thru 2/11
Top Wins - Sun 2/11
.68
@GoBearcatsMBB
at SMU
.46
@UCF_MBB
at Memphis
Top Wins - Season
1.10
@HokiesMBB
at Virginia
1.09
@StJohnsBBall
at Villanova
1.03
@TexasTechMBB
at Kansas
1.03
@umichbball
at Michigan State
0
4
24
There are five teams with three D-I MBB road wins:
@FurmanHoops
@LipscombMBB
@NJITHoops
@StonyBrookMBB
@UNCGBasketball
All are currently in the Top 100 of KPI.
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6
24
I don’t mean to be the math dork here, but technically any number divided by zero is undefined. Still incredible.
Notre Dame's Rex Pflueger does not have a turnover this season. 211 minutes, 20 assists, 0 turnovers, an assist/turnover ratio of infinity.
23
287
884
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4
24
New
@ManagerGames_
Bracketology is live. Full rankings thru 2/25:
- Bowling Green, Charlotte, UAB and Saint Louis are No. 1 seeds
- 74 teams eligible for 64-team field
- 369 games played
- Final bracket will be released on March 12
0
12
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Collin Cook of Kansas was named the tournament's Most Outstanding Player.
Huge S/O and an even bigger thank you to
@KPIsports
@KevinPauga
and
@B1GManagerHoops
for putting this on! Remember it for life!
0
3
15
0
9
24
Updated D-I MBB KPI thru 2/11
Top KPI Wins 2/11
.79
@DaytonMBB
vs URI
.70
@Vol_Hoops
vs Arkansas
.70
@MSU_Basketball
at Illinois
.65
@PennStateMBB
at Purdue
.63
@USUBasketball
at Colorado St
.62
@OleMissMBB
vs Mississippi St
.59
@PackMensBball
at Syracuse
0
4
24
Loyola-Chicago was No. 41 in KPI on Selection Sunday.
The expected scores by KPI math entering the tournament were a 71-67 Loyola win over Miami-FL and a 69-68 win over Tennessee.
Last question of the night (insert applause if you like): If Loyola loses the MVC final, do they even make it? Seems unlikely...and wrong.
78
166
675
3
8
24
Updated D-I MBB KPI Rankings:
** Light schedule this week due to final exams leads to little movement
** Arizona State, Duke, Villanova, Michigan State, and Texas A&M round out Top 5
** Gonzaga has 4 Top-50 wins (regardless of location), most of any team.
0
13
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More specifically, the projected score was Villanova 76.04, North Carolina 73.63 (actual score was 77-74).
Last game of the year means the expected score by KPI gets posted pregame.
Math says Villanova 76, North Carolina 74.
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0
11
20
D-I MBB KPI Rankings (thru 12/16) are live:
1.
@KUHoops
2.
@umichbball
3.
@BadgerMBB
4.
@NevadaHoops
5.
@ZagMBB
6.
@OU_MBBall
7.
@OhioStateHoops
8.
@Vol_Hoops
9.
@DukeMBB
10.
@MSU_Basketball
11.
@UVAMensHoops
12.
@UHCougarMBK
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23
Top KPI Wins of the year
1. Miami at Duke 1.00
2. Duke at Virginia .99
3. Duke at Wisconsin .98
4. BYU at Gonzaga .95
http://t.co/EZkqEXdgcT
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0
18
21
KPI math has 67/68.
** FINAL D-I MBB KPI RANKINGS**
Sorted to include 32 AQ’s. At-large cut line finished at No. 45 in KPI.
0
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2
20
For perspective, the top road wins on the season:
1.07 Syracuse at Ohio State
1.02 Lipscomb at TCU
1.01 Michigan at Villanova
1.01 Ohio State at Cincinnati
.95 Wisconsin at Iowa
The
@Vol_Hoops
win over Gonzaga is worth .82 in KPI. It’s the second best neutral site win of the season. The top five:
.93 Wisconsin vs Oklahoma
.82 Tennessee vs Gonzaga
.81 Villanova vs Florida State
.80 Gonzaga vs Duke
.80 Virginia vs Wisconsin
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3
12
21
As one of the six metrics now on the team sheets, I hesitate to share, but FWIW, between NCAAT & NIT, KPI matched on 98/100 teams (67/68 NCAA, 29/32 NIT).
KPI had Florida State & USC swapped for NCAAT.
KPI had Georgia & South Carolina instead of Boston College & BYU in the NIT.
** FINAL D-I MBB KPI RANKINGS**
Sorted to include 32 AQ’s. At-large cut line finished at No. 45 in KPI.
0
0
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5
3
21
KPI in the New York Times.
An official NCAA statistic has become the most prominent metric used to decide the tourney
0
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1
7
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KPI thru 3/1
Top Ws: FULL SEASON
1.12
@UNC_Basketball
at Duke
1.08
@LouisvilleMBB
at UNC
1.07
@DukeMBB
at Virginia
1.05
@Cuse_MBB
at Duke
1.02
@UVAMensHoops
at UNC
.99
@LSUBasketball
at Kentucky
.96
@MSU_Basketball
at Michigan
.96
@umichbball
at Villanova
0
6
19
KPI MBB Rankings thru 1/1
Top Sunday Wins
.88
@HuskerHoops
at Maryland
.81
@GopherMBB
at Purdue
0
3
18
KPI thru 2/22
North Carolina up to No. 4
Butler up to No. 8
Minnesota up to No. 14
Providence up to No. 42
0
12
19
#managergames
Friday 6pm CT at Buick Arena at
#FinalFour
Fan Fest. ISU-KU, MSU-Tenn
@JayBilas
(Photo by
@FinalFour
)
1
12
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Early D-I MBB W-L records by conference:
1. Big Ten 28-2 (.933)
2. SEC 22-2 (.917)
3. Pac-12 20-3 (.870)
4. MVC 13-2 (.867)
5. Mountain West 18-3 (.857)
t-6. American 16-3 (.842)
t-6. Big East 16-3 (.842)
8. Big 12 15-3 (.833)
9. ACC 24-5 (.828)
10. MAC 14-4 (.778)
1
6
18
KPI Expected Score for championship game:
Math says Gonzaga 78, UNC 72.
UNC OR% (42%) vs Gonzaga DR% (74%) is key. Something has to give.
0
5
19
Compare metrics to NCAA Tournament seeds:
KPI & Strength of Record from
@BenAlamarESPN
&
@ESPNStatsInfo
got 67/68
3
6
19
New No. 1 in KPI Mgr Rankings: The
@KUHoops
managers! (Yes, they're 1-0. There will be a minimum games played soon!)
0
8
17
BREAKING: The 2018
@ManagerGames_
Postseason Tournament bracket is now live: .
To vote for your favorite team to advance to San Antonio, please follow and vote at
@ManagerGames_
on Twitter.
0
6
16
Iowa State (
@CycloneMBB
) earned their best win of the year Friday by KPI. How far did they move up? Updated rankings:
http://t.co/iG8CDsB2Op
0
6
17
There are zero remaining undefeated teams in D-I MBB (I *think* this is the earliest the last undefeated has ever lost).
There are 14 teams remaining with only one loss.
1
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Thank you to
@BizballMaury
&
@Forbes
for naming KPI one of the Top 50 Must-Follow Sports Business Twitter Accounts.
1
5
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This evening, we hit the exact halfway point of the men’s basketball season en route to Selection Sunday.
1
12
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How did the NCAA Tournament 1-68 Seed List compare to six metrics on the team sheets: BPI, KenPom, KPI, RPI, Sagarin, and SOR.
0
6
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Getting questions on KPI. Full KPI rankings will be published in the next week or two once the sample size has grown. A sneak peek:
* Kansas is No. 1 in KPI.
* Best road win is Ohio State's win at Creighton.
* Best neutral site win is Gonzaga over Duke.
That's all for now.
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D-I MBB scoring is up 8.0% (5.46 PPG), possessions up 3.70 per team, per game.
1
23
17
DePaul’s managers come up just short of the all-time record for points in a single
@ManagerGames_
contest. Georgia Tech’s managers scored 134 points vs. Notre Dame on Feb. 19, 2016.
Yes. We have a
@ManagerGames_
record book. Don’t judge us!
0
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Correct. Top 8 Wins of the season by KPI:
1.04
@TexasTechMBB
at Kansas
1.03
@SunDevilHoops
at Kansas
1.01
@OSUMBB
at Kansas
1.00
@UVAMensHoops
at Duke
0.99
@ClemsonMBB
at Ohio State
0.98
@umichbball
at Michigan State
0.98
@AuburnMBB
at Tennessee
0.96
@UNC_Basketball
at Tennessee
Completely random, but nonetheless interesting college basketball nugget.
@KPIsports
currently lists the Texas Tech, Arizona St. and Oklahoma St. wins at Kansas as the three best wins in college basketball this season.
0
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D-I MBB KPI Rankings Top 10 as of 1/6:
1. Duke
2. Kansas
3. Auburn
4. West Virginia
5. Butler
6. Maryland
7. Florida State
8. San Diego State
9. Oregon
10. Baylor
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Games decided by ONE POINT per NCAA Tournament over the last four seasons:
2012: 3
2013: 2
2014: 3
2015: 4 (ALREADY!!!)
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D-I MBB KPI Rankings thru 2/6:
Top Wins from Tue 2/6:
.90
@Vol_Hoops
at Kentucky
.82
@XavierMBB
at Butler
.68
@KUHoops
vs TCU
.66
@NUMensBball
vs Michigan
.59
@HailStateMBK
vs Alabama
.59
@BaylorMBB
at Oklahoma State
.58
@GoBearcatsMBB
vs UCF
0
5
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BREAKING: 2017
@ManagerGames_
Postseason Tournament Bracket Released:
Vote Now via Twitter polls at
@ManagerGames_
!
0
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BREAKING: Manager Games Postseason Tournament To Debut in March. Full release:
@JayBilas
@ESPNDanaOneil
2
13
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Updated D-I MBB KPI (thru 1/15):
Top KPI Wins (1/15)
1.05
@SetonHallMBB
at Butler
.94
@AlabamaMBB
vs Auburn
.80
@TUMBBHoops
vs Wichita St
.71
@RutgersMBB
vs Indiana
.66
@TexasMBB
at Oklahoma St
.61
@GeorgetownHoops
vs Creighton
.61
@MarquetteMBB
vs Xavier
0
6
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Three MBB teams who were the
@AP_Top25
preseason No. 1 fell from the top spot in the next poll without losing:
1977-78 UNC (replaced by Kentucky)
1980-81 Kentucky (replaced by DePaul)
1983-84 UNC (replaced by Kentucky)
Does anybody know if a preseason No. 1 team in the AP poll has ever dropped without losing?
Researching this morning but can’t find a definitive answer. I’m asking because, I think, it might happen to Kansas tomorrow.
12
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.
@CycloneMBB
scored 59 points in the 2nd half tonight. That's more points than 2,440 teams scored in an entire D-I MBB game this year.
2
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At this moment, there are only two D-I MBB teams with two road wins: North Carolina and Stony Brook.
Home teams are 195-33 (.855), including an 86-1 mark vs. Non D-I teams.
How about Stony Brook? Went to GW Tuesday night, fell behind 22-0 to start the season, roared back to win in OT. Then went to South Carolina and won tonight. That's one hell of a 2-0 start,
@JeffBoals
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