Howard Aulsbrook
@HowardAulsbrook
Followers
918
Following
43K
Media
2K
Statuses
31K
Retired Navy Chief & engineer with a heart for caregiving. I share easy-to-grasp, valuable advice from a rich life of overcoming hurdles.
USA
Joined July 2009
Democrats are not fighting to lower health care; they're fighting to keep the government paying insurers. Obamacare, which was passed during a government shutdown, allows insurers and pharmaceutical companies to raise rates and charge exorbitant fees.
Democrats are fighting for lower health care costs for American families.
0
0
0
The economy is unbelievable because the stock market is in the biggest bubble in history and the underlying structural problems are becoming amplified.
TRUMP: ECONOMY IS UNBELIEVABLE
0
0
1
The problem with chips, GPUs, and TPUs is they require replacement every 1-3 years. This is a huge CAPEX and will lead to a massive landfill needs. No one is talking about either problem.
we’ve gotten some amazing lift out of applying our models to chip design:
0
0
1
As countries move away from dollar hegemony, Russia and China have a vested interest in economic cooperation despite past differences. Based on the current situation, the likelihood of Russia collapsing from a loss to Ukraine appears slim to none.
I have a master's degree in Asian Studies/Chinese. I learned Mandarin Chinese, lived with Chinese people, was certified by the U.S. Army as a Foreign Area Officer (FAO) for China, served as a military attaché, and traveled to China several times. In other words, I know a thing or
0
0
3
LLMs can only reiterate the prompt and outcomes; they can't learn from past iterations. This is why so-called reasoning models use so much computing and energy. LLMs are like supercharged librarians with a knack for guessing.
🚨 Meta just exposed a massive inefficiency in AI reasoning Current models burn through tokens re-deriving the same basic procedures over and over. Every geometric series problem triggers a full derivation of the formula. Every probability question reconstructs
0
0
4
The G7 BRICS War has been driving global economies since 2019. Proxy wars and sanctions have turned supply chains upside down. The only thing keeping AI propped up is the bogus circle jerk valuations among the Mag 7 as they incestuously invest in each other.
In his speech today, Miran argues that trade policy changes, by boosting savings, are a factor that will reduce the neutral rate of interest (among several others). In this op-ed last year, Miran and a co-author took a somewhat different view, where he outlined at least two
0
2
3
This is why the Nord Stream pipeline was blown up. #G7BRICSWar
This is what they sacrificed hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians for.
0
1
1
A soft landing was unlikely because of a 40% monetary injection, the limited supply chain from war with BRICS, and the resulting entrenched inflation.
Agree…then the Fed is not technically achieving a soft landing, if it was not about to hit the target in the first place.
0
0
0
Sanctioning China is like walking a tight rope, as it controls the majority of precious metals and mines required for high-tech weapons and microchips, plus the supply chain for such.
“If China cut off aid to Russia, the war would end tomorrow” - Keith Kellog - US Special Envoy to Ukraine So why aren’t we sanctioning China?
0
0
1
It's pretty odd between the government and media how badly they are pushing the Charlie Kirk murder and attacking those who disagree with their narrative. At the same time, the Democrats force a different one, creating massive polarization. Why?
In loving memory of Charlie Kirk, a fearless patriot & man of unwavering faith who dedicated his life to America. "It's bigger than you, I want you to remember that... It's bigger than me - you are here to make somebody else's life better, the pursuit of liberty & freedom."❤️
0
0
1
2024 data was all about trying to get Harris elected and push the appearance of the economy being better than underlying economics were showing.
0
0
1
NATO doesn’t have the balls to deal with the body bags coming home in planes to send a meaningful force to fight Russia in Ukraine. 😂
Amid all the talk about NATO inserting forces into Ukraine, or seizing Kaliningrad, I think one thing is certain: The US/NATO would attempt to punch through Russian defenses with mass — air, sea, and land. But they could only sustain it for mere days, with catastrophic losses.
0
0
1
The central finding is that the reduction in junior roles at adopting firms arises mostly from reduced hiring rates after 2023 Q1, not active layoffs. The study also does not take into account how firms overhired post-COVID-19. The AI narrative is being inferred, not proven.
Called it last year. Junior roles down 23%. Senior roles up 14%. Harvard study tracked 285,000 firms. Results: Before AI: 1 senior + 3 juniors = 4 person team After AI: 1 senior + Claude = same output
0
0
1
The "GPT-5 is a bust/AI is hitting a wall" takes are from GPT-5 not living up to the Sam and OpenAI hype. Where's the whale?
I'm surprised by how much demand there is for "GPT-5 is a bust/AI is hitting a wall" takes. Some of it is wishful thinking or motivated reasoning, but some of it feels like a deep yearning for equilibrium -- people really don't want to live in a world that is constantly
0
0
1
The US government is frantically looking for anything to boost productivity. It's tried EVs, "Green" energy, blockchain, mRNA, and AI. Each has failed! The only thing left is war, but forces are strained, recruiting is bad, and forces are shambling.
Hard pill to swallow: ALL existing AI chatbots produce false information presented as “facts,” yet: - Companies pressure employees to use them or get fired - Teachers incorporate them into the educational system - Millions rely on them for therapy and companionship - Students
0
0
2
The US is at war with BRICS and has been since Zelensky accepted money and weapons from the West. These tariffs are economic weapons to slow growth and cause instability to decelerate the shift away from the dollar. The focus is BRICS, not the home front.
Can’t stop the winning And for those who think tariffs are a one-off tax pass through: this will be passed through in stages precisely to delay/avoid consumer demand destruction, and it is exactly this phenomenon that touches off *expectations* that more future price increases
0
0
1
We won’t possess the energy needed to automate all manual jobs. We haven’t created an AI model with the capacities to fully replace a single job, let alone the fantasy of replacing all manual jobs.
By 2030, all jobs will be replaced by AI and robots. Easily. The US labor force is about 170 million workers. About 80 million of those jobs include hands-on work. Automated systems can work four shifts a week. Replacing all physical labor would require about 20 million
0
0
5
Iran has proven it can attack US forces if needed. It has also proven it can overwhelm the so-called Iron Dome. This pullout is reminiscent of the Afghanistan withdrawal in preparation for the war in Ukraine. This indicates we may see a Middle East escalation in the near future.
The US is trying to limit the exposure of its people to Iranian/Iraqi militias fire when the big war finally breaks, perhaps imminently. After that war, the US will have precisely 0 troops in the Middle East
0
0
3
This has all the appearance of a government bailout of Intel, not a strategic investment. The last time the US had an equity stake was with GM, resulting in a net loss of $11.2 billion for the American taxpayers.
BIG NEWS: The United States of America now owns 10% of Intel, one of our great American technology companies. This historic agreement strengthens U.S. leadership in semiconductors, which will both grow our economy and help secure America’s technological edge. Thanks to Intel
1
0
4
This is the correct take. Powell is simply placating to short term sentiment. In the context of inflation, everyone seems to tip toe around the G7 BRICS War. Ignoring the US being at war doesn’t make it go away and this is driving global economies.
I think Jay Powell was not being dovish today, and this is the sort of speeches that people will realize how hawkish it is with time to digest. And this kind of knee jerk reaction, only to be reversed later, had happened before.
0
0
1