Will Schryver
@imetatronink
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Geopolitics - History, Empires, and War - Macroeconomics and Markets - Music - Photography English / Italiano
Cedar City, Utah, USA
Joined March 2017
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📜 Never Going Back Again
The year of irrevocable changes.
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‼️ Welcome to the Big Leagues
I watched the Tucker Carlson interview of Vladimir Putin in its entirety. I will yet have much more to say about it.
For now, I will only say that I consider it one of the most important interviews of a national leader in my lifetime.
I will also…
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Over the span of modern history, I cannot think of another country that has made a more rapid transition from respected powerful nation to impotent international laughingstock than has Germany over the course of the past two years.
German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock with more tough talk:
- "I'm warning Iran, I'm warning Shiite militias in Iraq, I'm warning the Houthi in Yemen not to ignite and join in the terror"
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🧵Observations on the Ukraine War
2022-06-28
I've watched a LOT of drone footage from this war. I've seen, from a bird's eye view, the construction and logic of the field fortifications Ukraine constructed, with US guidance, over the course of eight years.
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In my view, Russians are the most misrepresented, misunderstood, and frequently misused great people on earth.
I do not understand it. It is ignorant.
Taken as a whole, Russia is a nation of great achievements, inhabited by a noble, brilliant, and extremely resourceful people.
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🧵Why the US/NATO could never win and will never fight a war against Russia – unless the
#EmpireAtAllCosts
cult somehow seizes the reins of power, in which case, it will become the biggest catastrophe in US military history, and likely result in a nuclear war:
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🚨 Flirting with Disaster
The USS Dwight D. Eisenhower carrier strike group has transited the Straits of Gibraltar and is racing to join the USS Gerald R. Ford CSG in the eastern Mediterranean. When it arrives, the US/NATO will have assembled a fleet of no fewer than 73 ships,…
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The only thing I have to say at this time about the death of Gonzalo Lira is that the United States could have, at any time over the past 8 months, and at a moment's notice, extracted him from Ukraine. They did not do it because they wanted him dead. It was cold-blooded murder.
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🤔🧵 The largest fleet of warships the empire has assembled in a great many years is gathering in the eastern Mediterranean Sea.
In addition to two US carrier strike groups and an amphibious assault force, several other warships from other NATO nations are joining its ranks.…
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The inhabitants of the so-called "western democracies" are the most easily deceived and thoroughly propagandized people in human history.
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“Man's most valuable trait is a judicious sense of what not to believe.”
― Euripides
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US Marine Corps to dispense with "Yes, Sir!" in deference to "gender identity" concerns.
The United States military is a hollow shell.
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German Chancellor Olaf Scholz drew a very impressive crowd at the UN.
Germany is racing towards failed-state status.
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I've now seen multiple reports of an intriguing development on the Ukraine front lines. NATO-affiliated "foreign volunteers" refused to resume futile attacks on Russian lines. AFU sent "nationalist" enforcers to "encourage" them. Fighting erupted; the "enforcers" were mowed down.
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‼️ The US Army War College published a summary of what will apparently be multiple detailed papers on the "lessons from Ukraine".
I have highlighted below two striking passages.
TLDR: The US is not remotely capable of "large-scale combat operations".
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🤔 Haven't seen this reported elsewhere, but a follower just replied to one of my posts with this very interesting link: earlier this month a Russian Su-30 freaked out an F-35 pilot over the Baltic Sea, appearing "out of nowhere", as it were.
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The Russian buildup in Belarus over the past two months has been massive: ~200k troops; 100s of aircraft; 1000s of latest-model tanks, AFVs, mobile artillery, and mobile air defense systems.
Today a Russian AWACS arrived.
I find it difficult to believe this is just a feint.
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‼️ Israel has launched multiple strikes against the Syrian airports at Damascus and Aleppo — presumably to preclude Iranian arms shipments into the region.
So the Russians have made available to the Iranians their airbase at Khmeimim.
This is a potentially MAJOR development.
⚡️🇮🇷 IRGC Linked A310 landed in Khmeimim Russian Air base, Syria 🇸🇾
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‼️ So let me get this straight:
The US/NATO spent almost a decade building and arming the most powerful proxy army in history, pursuant to its objective to inflict a massive strategic defeat against Russia, and hopefully break it up into easily exploitable pieces.
For the past…
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The "Battle of Mariupol" was the single worst Ukrainian defeat of the early stages of this war.
The drawn out "Battle of Kherson" likely exceeded it in terms of Ukrainian losses.
The "Battle of Bakhmut" has now almost certainly exceeded both. It has become a pitiless massacre.
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AFU commander Zaluzhny to the Economist: "I need 300 main battle tanks, 600-700 armored personnel carriers, 500 artillery pieces."
Translation: "I need an army, mine is gone."
Russia has now wrecked TWO Ukrainian armies since February.
(h/t
@NebojsaMalic
)
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"Rybar", one of the most reliable Russian Telegram channels, is reporting that Russia has closed a cash deal with rogue Ukrainian sources for an American M-142 HIMARS multiple launch rocket system.
🤣🤣🤣
Thus Ukraine.
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Anyone who seriously believes Xi Jinping is visiting Moscow to urge Russia to bring an expeditious end to the war in Ukraine is hopelessly naïve.
Xi and Putin are going to talk about little more than how to coordinate their future actions to expedite the demise of US hegemony.
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More concerningly, the Chinese have been watching all of these developments with great interest. They are almost certain to be emboldened to act decisively to secure their sphere of influence in the emerging multipolar world.
Great dangers now await in east Asia …
29/end
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The latest reports from Ukraine paint an unmistakable picture: the long-awaited "Kherson Counter-offensive" has been decisively repulsed with major losses for the AFU:
48 tanks
83 armored vehicles
~1200 soldiers
A massacre.
This will be the final AFU "offensive" of the war.
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Gonna be a cold, dark winter in Germany this year.
Good thing they'll have all those Ukrainian flags to burn.
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The End of NATO, American Imperial Hegemony, and The Rebirth of A Multipolar World
A short🧵
It's appearing increasingly likely that the Russians are going to remedy the "strategic depth" issue they perceive in eastern Ukraine -- and probably much sooner than later.
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One of the most stunning statistics so far in this war is that, whereas Russian "missing" are numbered in the dozens, Ukrainian missing are now up to 380,000 -- and increasing every week.
Add to that at least 100k KIA and 300k WIA.
It's a shocking massacre.
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Odessa is and long has been a Russian city. All of Novorossiya is overwhelmingly Russian. When the USSR disintegrated, Novorossiya should have been restored to Russia, but the empire lusted for it, and Russia was too weakened to fight for it then.
I expect they will do so now.
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Apparently US 6th Fleet undersea explosives specialists were "scoping out" the situation back in June.
🚨 “Experimentation was conducted off the coast of Bornholm, Denmark”
EXCUSE ME
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🗺️ The image below, in a full-color two-page pull-out, appears in my 1887 Chambers Encyclopedia.
There was no "Ukraine".
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⚡️ Apparently the French have had enough of dodging Yemeni attacks, and are therefore taking their fancy frigate back to the safety of its home port.
The captain noted they are not accustomed to "this level of weapons and violence."
The Yemenis "are perfecting their technique.…
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I never cease to be amazed by the pervasive belief that the US military is superior to any other on the planet.
Upon what basis is this faith founded?
The US has not engaged in a real war since Korea. No one in the US military has ANY experience with high-intensity conflict.
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Well that was the most lame attempt at a coup d'etat I've ever seen. A couple old tanks and a couple dozen trucks carrying a couple hundred disheveled "soldiers" in ill-fitting uniforms.
The modest parade was escorted by Rosgvardia into Rostov; Prigozhin pretended to "occupy"…
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💥‼️ This is arguably the single most impressive rant to yet emerge from this war.
A Russian soldier waxes eloquent on geopolitics and NATO military "supremacy".
If you do nothing else today, watch this epic 2.5 minute soliloquy!
⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
“Patriot fires 35 missiles into fake targets!”
-> Listen how this man explains the information control by America …
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I must confess I believe the US is now doomed to dissolution. In my estimation, the point of no return has been passed. America's geographic advantages render it effectively invulnerable to conquest by a foreign power, but I am persuaded it is destined to crumble from within.
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‼️ The Heart of Darkness Visits Africa
Mistah Kurtz-he dead
A penny for the Old Guy
So ... the inimitable Victoria the Hutt paid a visit to Niger.
Bear in mind that an unknown number of PMC Wagner forces are already there, and are at least "advising" the leaders of…
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🧵Ukraine War Thoughts – 2022_11_17
There are increasing signs the narrative field is being sown to condition the public mind for Zelensky's predestined fall from grace.
Ukrainian leadership is exuding desperation.
They know the true score.
They know time is running out.
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The "decommunization" of Ukraine is nearly complete. Almost all of the legacy Soviet infrastructure has been rendered inoperable.
Water, electricity, and heat are now unavailable for millions. The country is on the verge of uninhabitability.
Military collapse comes next.
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The Russians have been relentlessly striking BIG ammo dumps over the past few weeks.
Either the AFU has suddenly become remarkably careless, or Russian intel has dramatically improved -- or perhaps the depot locations are being deliberately betrayed to them. 🤔
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‼️ Very few people realize the Houthis have, over the past few years, shot down at least:
3 F-15s, 3 F-16s, 3 Tornados, 1 Typhoon, and 1 Mirage 2000
Plus over a dozen Apaches and Blackhawks, an Osprey, and several dozen US/NATO-made drones.
Now imagine what Iran could do ...
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Imperial sanctions against Russia have proven so effective that Russia now not only has the tallest building in Europe, but also the largest economy, surpassing Germany.
The Lakhta Center in St. Petersburg is also, imo, one of the most elegant modern skyscrapers ever built.
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Given the fact that — apparently — Prigozhin is not being arrested, and PMC Wagner is being deployed to the front lines in Belarus, I think we can confidently conclude that this whole thing WAS a psyop of some sort. Most likely a counter-intel operation to smoke out traitors.
@imetatronink
Leaving out the absolute nonsense from the "little dog in skirts" crowd & other breathless reports of "defections" from RFU to the Wagner side; the latest news that this is now "all over" & Prigozhin/Wagner are returning peacefully to assigned locations, makes me V suspicious.
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🧵The Strategic Irrelevance of Kiev
Given the myopic focus of the "Ukraine is winning" crowd on the alleged (and fallacious) Russian "defeat" at Kiev, I am reminded of how, during the US Civil War, Abraham Lincoln was ceaselessly frustrated with his early cadre of generals.
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‼️ The Ukrainian Telegram channel "Rezident" reports that, according to its sources, in the previous three days the AFU has lost over 150 units of heavy equipment, including 12 German Leopard MBTs and 15 American M2 Bradley IFVs.
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The Ukrainians are apparently determined to continue feeding their men and NATO's armor into this new Zaporozhye meat-grinder.
And, as widely predicted by many, neither the German Leopard 2A6 nor the American M2 Bradleys are a match for Russian firepower.
This is a massacre.
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My new friend
@witte_sergei
is not only a brilliant war historian, but his ongoing analysis of the dynamic developments of the Ukraine War is as valuable as any I've seen.
I give his latest piece my highest recommendation.
***** HIGHLY RECOMMENDED *****
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Well ... this throws a new wrinkle into the mix:
Apparently Gazprom has confirmed that Line B of Nord Stream 2 was NOT damaged by the sabotage operation last week.
Also that the damage to the other lines is reparable.
So ... what will Germany do NOW? 🤔
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Biden is the most prolific meme creator in internet history.
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‼️ I've just listened to this interview with John Helmer, who is convinced NATO is planning an ambush attack against Russia as soon as June 12th, under the guise of long-planned NATO exercises in Germany, Poland, and Romania.
Helmer believes this "ambush attack" will incorporate…
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Massive missile strike on Kiev overnight and into the morning.
Apparently the remaining Patriot battery was hit. Patriot PAC-3 missiles fell in various places around the city.
Won't be long now before US allies cancel their orders for additional Patriot systems.
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Living the monogamous dream with the perfect woman for forty-two years and counting ...
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It's now clear how Ukraine is using the longer-range M777 howitzers the US has provided in recent weeks: nothing but terrorist attacks on cities. They aren't targeting Russian forces, but they just lobbed 60 155mm rounds into Donetsk.
They will use the HIMARS systems similarly.
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The US has measured its battlefield mettle, for decades, against brave sandal-shod men with AK-47s, RPGs, and a certain savoir faire for constructing IEDs.
But they have *never* faced anything like Russian artillery or missiles. Not even in Hollywood movies or video games.
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‼️ The Russians are in the midst of executing the most intense, comprehensive, and protracted missile attack so far in this war.
They are also quite obviously operating on excellent intelligence and have inflicted dozens of crippling strikes on Ukrainian military targets,…
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🤔 One thing I've noticed over the years is that, on many occasions, if the US has some big military operation in the works, the Pentagon is always careful to wait until the US markets close on Friday afternoon before launching it. 📈
So, about 75 minutes from now ...
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Dmitry Medvedev posted yet another biting missive on Telegram wherein he mocked the Ukrainian request for submarines, concluding with the statement: "... soon the Kyiv regime will have no sea at all."
I remain convinced a land-locked Ukraine is a resolute Russian objective.
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🧵The AFU clown show in southern Ukraine scales new heights.
In arguably the most embarrassing debacle of the war yet for Ukraine, they apparently permitted themselves to attempt an MI6-designed and directed commando operation to seize the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.
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The Blinken Clown Show just happened to roll through Kosovo last week ... and "all of a sudden" we've got another European conflict bursting forth.
Imagine that.
#EmpireOfChaos
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Sergei Lavrov delivered a momentous speech at the UN Security Council on Monday — arguably one of the most significant speeches since the original founding of the United Nations.
We are living through a hinge-point in world history.
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‼️ I am watching with great interest the developing story of the alleged death of Yevgeny Prigozhin (and likely other PMC Wagner commanders).
I am withholding judgment for the time being.
As I have written multiple times in relation to Prigozhin and PMC Wagner, things are…
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‼️ In an interview with Turkish media, Azov commander reveals that the surrender of the Azov Regiment at Azovstal last year was arranged between the US and Russia in exchange for the withdrawal of several "high-ranking US officers" from the facility.
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🧵Playing With Fire
Over the course of the past several weeks we have learned the following:
* US intelligence operatives and special forces have been deployed in Ukraine throughout the ongoing war.
* These US troops are *directly* involved in attacking Russian targets.
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‼️ Yuri Podolyaka has been, in my estimation, one of the better correspondents of this war. His reports have been consistently restrained, mostly lacking hyperbole. That puts in proper context his shocking report of today's battle:
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I am convinced NATO will not survive the results of this war in Ukraine. Sure, they’ll “keep up appearances” for the time being, but there can be no doubt that most now understand that siding with a rapidly declining empire is fraught with great risk and minimal gain.
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But it is irrelevant. Because, since no later than the Korean War, the US has not faced a peer or near-peer adversary in a high-intensity conflict. The US military has not been, for almost three-quarters of century, truly tested “under-fire”.
This is an indisputable fact.
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Kremlin sources announce both Odessa and Chernigov regions will be annexed into Russia if popular referendums so choose.
This would seem to presuppose military occupation of both oblasts, and is therefore an expression of Russian intent. Expect Sumy and Poltava to follow.
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What sober military men in potential adversary countries across the globe see is that Russia has, with one hand tied behind its back, eviscerated the massive, relatively well-armed and well-trained Ukraine military. The US intimidation factor has been forever compromised.
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Oh, my!
Gazprom with an epic troll of the EU countries.
"And the winter will be big ..."
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The "counter-offensives" in Kherson & Kharkov have become catastrophic disasters. The Ukrainian's third attempt to take Liman was repulsed with horrific losses of men and equipment. AFU Version 2.0 is being destroyed faster than was Ver. 1.0.
My next blog post will elaborate ...
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In order to understand the world as it really is, you must come to grips with the fact there really are people with great power willing to destroy entire nations pursuant to their own selfish interests.
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The truth of the Kherson "offensive" is written on the maps for all to see: AFU attacks; Ru hits 'em hard, then pulls back; AFU advances; Ru hits 'em again, but pulls back more; AFU adds forces to salient; Ru flanks them in force & cuts off their rear; trap closed; turkey shoot.
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🤔There have been unconfirmed rumors swirling since yesterday that the remaining Patriot battery in Ukraine is to be (or already has been) evacuated from the country.
IF true, this would not only seem to confirm the Russian MoD's specific claims of the first battery's effective…
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After horrific losses of personnel and equipment, the AFU is now racing to evacuate its remaining forces from Soledar along corridors covered by Russian fire.
The Battle of Artemovsk (Bakhmut) has been catastrophic for Ukraine.
The full liberation of Donetsk is now inevitable.
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I confess I am somewhat unnerved by the extraordinary events of the past week.
Anyone who does not now recognize that Russia, China, and Iran are in a de facto multi-spectrum alliance is, in my judgment, patently mistaken.
Three potent civilizational powers against the empire.
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At least two things have become blindingly obvious today:
1) The Russians haven't yet exhausted their inventories of heavy precision-guided munitions.
2) The rumors of a "secret peace deal" were a baseless fantasy.
The outcome of this war will be determined on the battlefield.
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I feel deep compassion for these guys.
For Ukraine, this is a rich man's war, and a poor man's fight — and now primarily an old poor man's fight.
It will go down in history as one of the most despicable acts of the empire's accelerating denouement.
🇺🇦 The commander of one of the units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces ordered those who refused to move to positions to leave the ranks. Almost all the soldiers came out.
The level of morale of the Ukrainian army is clear.
In the continuation of the resonant video, the…
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Something few understand is that the US HIMARS is weak sauce compared to the more potent Russian Tornado GLONASS-guided MLRS platform.
Up until very recently, the Russians had used this system sparingly. If they now possess them in large numbers, it is a significant development.
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Looks like the US plans to ship M1A2 Abrams tanks to Ukraine to "turn the tide" on the battlefield.
To me, it is the functional equivalent of providing 1980s NFL equipment, uniforms, and a play book to a little league football team, and sending it to play the Kansas City Chiefs.
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Yesterday the governor of the Lugansk Republic claimed two-thirds of the AFU troops taking part in the northern offensive are "foreign volunteers".
Also reported yesterday that most of the vanguard troops in the southern offensive are foreigners.
This is a Russia/NATO war now.
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‼️ I have said it before, and will do so again: in my estimation the American Empire has become the most predatory hegemon in history. If most Americans understood this, they would be vehemently opposed to it. But they instead believe we are the champions of "freedom and…
Incredible, and maybe even unprecedented, answer by Arnaud Montebourg - former French Minister of Economy - to the question "what method do the Americans use to wage economic warfare against us?"
Here's the translation (by me):
"They use military tools. First of all, they use…
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But back to Ukraine’s apparent strategy for this war, and the apparent US influence on that strategy.
I will preface my commentary on this issue by stating that I am now thoroughly convinced Ukraine’s fatal blunder was following NATO's advice.
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I predict US forces in Syria and Iraq will be driven out within 2 - 3 years — even sooner should the US commence a war against any member of the Russia, China, Iran bloc.
And once they're gone, "ISIS" will cease to exist.
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🧵Kherson Counter-offensive Update
In a futile attempt to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat, AFU forces, over the past 24 hours, succeeded only in adding to the butcher's toll of the increasingly disastrous Ukrainian "counter-offensive" north of Kherson.
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No one disputes there have been Russian losses. But they are an insignificant drop in the bucket compared to the HUNDREDS of Ukrainians killed almost every day over the past several months.
The casualty disparity between the two armies in this war is almost unprecedented.
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"During intense fighting in the eastern Donbas region this summer, Russia used more ammunition in two days than the British military has in stock."
In a stunningly unforeseen geopolitical development, Russia has *significantly* demilitarized NATO.
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Lots of speculation regarding the content of Putin's speech tomorrow. It likely won't be as dramatic as many hope, but you never know.
That said, if I were in his place, I would formally announce Russian intent to annex all the Likely/Certain regions indicated below:
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Summer Solstice 2023
Summary Geopolitical Update
As we pass another solstice here on our increasingly vexed planet, I note the following salient developments:
1) The empire's proxy war in Ukraine is a lost cause, and Russia will emerge from it exceedingly stronger than when it…
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Rumors swirling that a Russian AWACS was damaged in a strike against an airfield in Belarus. If true, it is almost certain it was directly facilitated by the US/NATO. Putin warned about such things earlier this week.
These now become likely targets:
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In other words, they not only grossly underestimated their enemy, but they ignored centuries of history that they somehow convinced themselves had no relevance to their 21st century aspirations to defeat Russia militarily and take a great spoil of its resources.
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‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff
Here's why I think so:
Russia and China have now made their mutual defense alliance EXPLICIT.
But, as tensions with Iran rise to a boil, few seem aware that both Russia and China now regard Iran as a KEY…
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Javelins, NLAWs, and Stingers have been exposed as effectively useless against their intended targets. M-777 howitzers break down after just a few fires. GPS-guided “precision” munitions are routinely jammed by Russian EW counter-measures.
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This is why Ukraine now suffers hundreds of KIAs every day.
And why, for months, the Russians have suffered very few casualties – at least a 1 to 10 ratio. Probably much lower.
The artillery (with occasional air and precision missile strikes) is doing all the fighting.
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‼️ World War 3 In Progress
Over the past few weeks we have seen NATO military and ISR assets destroy a Russian Il-76 transport aircraft and two ships on Russian territory.
It also appears Iran is aiding the Yemenis to strike NATO commercial and military assets in the Red Sea…
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"Hit the road, Jack. And don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more."
⚡️BREAKING
In an unprecedented move, Iraq has refused the entry of additional US forces into its territory.
The start of negotiations to remove US forces are imminent, says Iraqi army spokesman
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Short🧵
The original NATO-trained AFU was ruined by July.
In late August there appeared a smaller army based on NATO training, equipment, and the cream of the AFU mobilization crop -- plus several thousand "foreign volunteers" -- including at least hundreds of Americans.
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‼️ Yet another big fire at a major US industrial site, this time a large refinery complex in Louisiana.
I'm reminded of the famous Ian Fleming quote:
"Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is enemy action."
🤔
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The Russian Lancet-3 attack drone has emerged as the most effective currently deployed weapon in its class.
Compared to the US Switchblade-600, the Lancet is 60% faster; 75% greater range; 25% larger warhead; autonomous "hunt and destroy" operation against both armor and UAVs.
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🤦♂️ This is one of the most disturbing and bizarre things the Ukrainians have done in this war -- and that is a high bar indeed: dressing up war amputees in tuxedos and parading them around with a porn star.
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I don't believe the Pentagon / NATO vassals want ANYTHING to do with fighting the Russians in Ukraine. The Russians have devastated the AFU with one hand tied behind their back. Any NATO attack would bring out the other hand. The costs would be catastrophic.
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They deluded themselves into believing the Russians lacked: strategic and logistical acumen, a sufficiently well-trained force, and – arguably the biggest miscalculation of all – sufficient stockpiles of ammo to conduct a protracted high-intensity conflict.
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