Gabriel S. Lenz
@GabeLenz
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Prof., UC Berkeley
Joined June 2009
New paper. In the 2020 campaign, at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic, Trump took a stance out of line, not only with the public in general, but even with his own voters. It’s been forgotten, but even Trumpers were scared and wanted masks and aggressive gov’t action in 2020. 1/
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Other examples of this pattern: Galápagos tortoises (177 yrs), quahog clams (507 yrs), red sea urchins (200 yrs), cave salamanders (100 yrs), trapdoor spiders (43 yrs), ant queens (Lasius niger, 29 yrs), and termite queens (Macrotermes spp., 20 yrs).
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If humans evolved underground in small bands, protected from other bands, etc., we might live much longer too.
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Yet another finding consistent with the external-mortality theory of aging. Naked mole-rats are mostly safe from predators, so it pays to invest scarce energy in cellular maintenance. They’ll typically live to see the benefits. 🧵
In my opinion, this is the most important aging-related paper of the year! It identifies a critical protein that could eventually extend lifespan by many years. Not surprisingly, it involves DNA repair and regulation of the immune response. Below is a breakdown of the key points
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my article "Equivalency Framing of Problems and Policy Solutions" with Laura Stoker and Amy Lerman was published earlier this year @PolBehavior. we investigate the effects of equivalency, or gain-loss, framing on political problems and proposed solutions https://t.co/r60m3ViVuh
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True for political science as well. It’s the most important plot you can check, but almost no one does.
For every econ paper you are skeptical of, replicate it and look at the partial regression plot of the main result.
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For every econ paper you are skeptical of, replicate it and look at the partial regression plot of the main result.
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@joshgans and I did an internal talk on AI for research. Mostly demos, so no slides, but broadly: 1) Research should be efficient, open & replicable. 2) AI helps will all three. 3) Always use the best model. 4) Structure your processes/tools/etc. so you can continue to do 3. 1/15
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The backlash to ABC/Disney canceling Kimmel has been swift, and severe. The whole episode underscores something I've been blogging about for a while: A lot of people just don’t realize how unpopular Trump is. This leads to simply terrible decisions in both business and politics
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Where has all the leadership gone? If not for university presidents, law firm managing partners, and corporate chief executives standing up against bullies, who then will step up for the first amendment? The “suspending indefinitely” of Jimmy Kimmel immediately after the
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Incredible parallels in this 2014 Berinsky & @GabeLenz paper. Politicians didn't stand up to Joe McCarthy in large part because they incorrectly inferred McCarthy/ism was extremely popular. Not standing up to McCarthy was a kind of 1950s Popularism link in reply (m*sk algo bad)
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A great post on the rise of right-wing populism that I totally agree with. In 2015 I gave talks about my research showing there was a large bloc of voters with far-right views on immigration who a future politician could appeal to. I was literally laughed out of some rooms.
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Just made a manuscript/PAP feedback GPT built from 150+ of my reviews - identifies problems and provides actionable feedback on the points that I raise most frequently https://t.co/CXVH44Hvcf Anyone can use - try it out! (Editors/authors: feel free to cut me out of the loop 😉)
chatgpt.com
A conversational AI system that listens, learns, and challenges
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Anonymity in p-hacking has become one of the academy’s core freedoms, safeguarded most complacently in the flagship economics journals.
In this draft we also did a careful job masking the original papers, so as to protect the right of authors to p-hack anonymously.
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Recently finished revisions for our paper "The robustness reproducibility of the American Economic Review", in which we replicated a year's worth of a flagship economics journal, and found that many key results are not particularly robust. Very proud of this one.
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One thing I really wish progressives and liberals would get through their head is that public order is MORE important to liberalism than to conservatism. Conservatives can retreat w/ their guns to gated communities and homesteads. Liberalism flourishes in cities and the commons.
During a presentation on crime at the DNC's summer meeting, a lady from left-wing think tank the Vera Institute tells them that "migrant crime and carjackings are things that don't matter to many Americans."
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America’s secret economic weapon has never been oil, tech, or cheap capital. It’s the rule-of-law premium: the trust that here, contracts mean something, courts are impartial, and power has guardrails. This administration is cashing it out.
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Honored to receive the Editors’ Choice award from PA.
We are pleased to announce the 2025 Editors’ Choice Award for the paper “How Much Should We Trust Instrumental Variable Estimates in Political Science? Practical Advice Based on 67 Replicated Studies” by @Apoorva__Lal, @lockhartm, @xuyiqing, and @zu_gary.
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