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AI Bracketology πŸ€

@AI_Bracketology

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#BracketologyBot πŸ€– | Using AI to predict the NCAA tournament field

Joined February 2023
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 month
Gameday! Hoping for a great one between Houston and Florida tonight πŸ€. Here's how 32-Point Challenge Leaderboard currently stands, with the following scenarios: . 1) Clayton's stat total is less than 26 and Houston/Florida combine for 23 or less three pointers: @Bubbie121410
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
January.February.IZZO.April.May .June.July.August.September .October.MOSER.December.
@madeformarch
Made For March
3 months
Porter Moser at Oklahoma:. November: 26-2 (92.9%).December: 18-5 (78.3%).January: 12-20 (37.5%).February: 8-20 (28.9%).March: 6-7 (46.2%).
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 years
Teams with no Q3/Q4 losses and at least 2 signature (Q1A) wins, by #BracketologyBot seed line:.1: Bama, KU, Purdue.2: TX, Ariz, Baylor.3: Tenn, Marq, KSt.4: Iowa St.5: Ind.6: NW.8: Ill, Prov.9: Mizzou. Nebraska.#Bracketology.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 years
Pretty much spending my morning plotting out the path for @HuskerHoops to make the tournament.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
🚨Introducing KenWAB: A new way to look at a team's tournament chances!. As many have pointed out this week, ESPN's Bubble Watch article has been using their own BPI metric to determine how likely it is a team will make the NCAA Tournament, resulting in some strange odds (looking
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
πŸ€–Stat of the Day: Teams that haven't lost a game by more than two possessions (6 points):.- Houston.- Duke.- St. John's.- Maryland. Everyone probably could've guessed these teams (besides maybe Maryland), but who knew the other four teams that also have not lost a game to D1.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
A Fran McCaffery tech marks the official start of Big Ten play.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– New-ish graphic to share some tournament forecasting!. Again using WAB to calculate the odds each team will make the tournament. This time, I've shown the bracket that KenWAB currently projects, with West Virginia being the last team IN and Georgia the first
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
🚨 Bracketology 32-Point Challenge 🚨. Thought it would be fun to create a new type of game this year as you fill out your bracket. πŸ€ Pick any 5 players in the tournament, but their team seed total must add up to at least 32!.πŸ“Š Simple scoring: 1 point per PTS, REB, AST, STL,
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Didn’t realize until Lunardi just said it during halftime show, and I know it’s Kansas, but Bill Self never being lower than a 4-seed since he was hired in 2004 is absurd.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Fun fact: Maryland, a team right next to SC in KenPom rankings, is 3-9 in games decided by six points or fewer this year. SC ranks 3rd in luck.Maryland ranks 349th in luck. Sometimes, the bounces just go your way πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ.
@JonRothstein
Jon Rothstein
1 year
South Carolina is now 10-3 this season in games decided by six points or fewer.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
4 months
@T3Bracketology win of the day so far IMO. Cyclones felt dead so many times, crazy win prob chart
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 03/09/2025 Update. 7 Days Until Selection Sunday!. Congrats to Nebraska Omaha and SIU Edwardsville for clinching their first ever tournament appearances yesterday! Both currently project as a 16 seed, teams that have clinched a spot now shown in Italics in
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Top 75 NET Rankings with SOR 50/50 split applied. This was quickly done (definitely not the most elegant solution), but what do we think?
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@madeformarch
Made For March
1 year
As the lean to the predictive side is so heavy, of course beating up on bad teams by 35+ is going to matter. This is why the NET tracks so closely to the other predictive metrics (BPI & KenPom). Don't eliminate the predictive/efficiency component of the NET, just don't skew it so.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 02/18/2025 Update. 26 days until Selection Sunday!. - The 1 seeds stay the same after the weekend. Probably in the minority here, but I still have Alabama holding onto the #2 overall spot behind Auburn. - Iowa State gets back to the 2 line with Purdue's loss
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 02/05/2025 Update. New format 🎨. I've now fully automated everything, from my seed list each morning to the final bracket post for this account! Took a bit of time to go through and store the team logos and colors, but a bit of code behind the scenes does
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Won’t get them into the field, but good win for K State to jump back into the bubble conversation 🫧. Also good result for Nebraska, who can potentially claim a Q1 road win if K State climbs into the NET Top 75.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
In my opinion, these are the only possible bubble teams. Every team above Baylor is very safe, and every team below SMU is eliminated from at-large contention. Graphic below shows the order I have them + upcoming games for each ‡️. - San Francisco would be eliminated tonight with
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 03/10/2025 Update. 6 Days Until Selection Sunday!. Congrats to Drake, High Point, and Lipscomb for securing their dance tickets yesterday! πŸ’ƒ. Here is how we are looking heading into Championship Week:.- A few games from Saturday did not make it into my
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - Bubble Watch 03/12/2025. A bunch of important bubble games today!. 18 teams for 9 spots ‡️. - Nebraska and San Francisco have been removed. No shot for an at-large now with both their seasons having ended. - Being generous, but decided to add Cincinnati. It's
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
Know this has been said a few times, but the top seeds could be facing some real tough competition in the second round this year. Look at the projected 8 seeds in @T3Bracketology latest seed list compared to the past 5 tournaments. You either get:. - 2-time defending champion
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@T3Bracketology
T3ℒ️
3 months
NEW Seed List - 2/21. Last 4 IN: Vandy, Ohio St, VCU, OU.First 4 OUT: UGA, TCU, Arkansas, IU.Next 5 OUT: Xavier, UNC, SMU, San Francisco, Boise St. Extended bubble & toughest seed areas in the comments.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 03/15/2025 Update. 1 Day Until Selection Sunday!. Updates:.- Alabama could be the final 1 seed with win over Florida today.- St. John's breaks through and takes the last 2 seed.- Maryland and Wisconsin jump into the 3 line with big wins yesterday. TBD if they
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
More KenPom fun, every champion since '01 entering the tourney has had:. AdjOE > 111.0.AdjDE < 96.0.Lowest KP rank loss < 138. Teams that qualify this year:.Purdue.Houston.UConn.Iowa St. Auburn.Tennessee.Marquette.UNC (but GT loss is currently 137).San Diego St. Michigan St. πŸ‘€.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
The winner of this game can go ahead and book their travel plans to Dayton next month
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
I've had Oklahoma in my projected field all season long because of their non-conference performance, even as they sat at 3-10 in the SEC in late February. It looked especially dim a week ago, but three wins later and Oklahoma has all but locked up their tournament spot. What a.
@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - Bubble Watch 03/12/2025. A bunch of important bubble games today!. 18 teams for 9 spots ‡️. - Nebraska and San Francisco have been removed. No shot for an at-large now with both their seasons having ended. - Being generous, but decided to add Cincinnati. It's
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
Assuming Wisconsin is a 3 seed with a win today, the final 3 seed spot will likely be between Iowa State and Texas A&M. Iowa State: NET #10, Top 10 in all predictive metrics, 18.0 resume average (including #18 WAB). Texas A&M: NET #18, 13.7 resume average (including #11 WAB),.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 02/28/2025 Update. 16 Days Until Selection Sunday!. - Michigan State has arrived! The Spartans will still have work to do to get to a 1 seed, but they are now closer to the top 6 teams than they are to the teams directly below them after the crazy win at
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 03/02/2025 Update. 14 Days Until Selection Sunday!. - New movement on the 1 line, as my model now projects Houston as the #2 overall seed following yesterday's results (personally, I'd be surprised if a 3-loss Duke isn't the second team mentioned on Selection
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
@T3Bracketology 2010ish era of Big East basketball >>>
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
@jacob_scheck @GrahamDoeren the 4 teams that had 6‡️
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - KenWAB Tournament Forecast 02/20/2025. Changes from yesterday:.- Oregon locks up a spot πŸ”’.- New Mexico still safe after loss to Boise State, only falling from 89% -> 84%.- Nebraska takes the biggest hit, falling from 73% -> 53% πŸ“‰.- West Virginia gets some
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 03/10/2025 Update. 6 Days Until Selection Sunday!. Congrats to Drake, High Point, and Lipscomb for securing their dance tickets yesterday! πŸ’ƒ. Here is how we are looking heading into Championship Week:.- A few games from Saturday did not make it into my
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 2/26 Update. * Reposting (full updated metrics didn't load in correctly 😬, oops).* Not much movement among Top 4 seeds πŸ†.* UK, Wake πŸ“ˆ BYU, NM πŸ“‰.* St. John's back on bubble graphic 🫧.* Auto-bid not out of picture for Princeton, JMU
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 02/24/2025 Update. 20 Days Until Selection Sunday!. - Top 6 teams stay put. Almost 100% certain the four 1 seeds will come from these six teams πŸ†.- Big shake-up after that. The two big winners: Michigan State and St. John's. Both jump a line (3 -> 2 and 4 ->
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
@SickosCBB Winning a road game on Kashyyyk vs a Wookiee starting 5? Like 90s Big East ball.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– Final Thoughts. 66/68 teams correctly placed in.45/68 teams on the correct seed line. The Good.- North Carolina. I correctly predicted the Tar Heels to be in the field, leaning into WAB for selection this year. Don't personally love it, especially at the
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - Bubble Watch 03/13/2025. 14 teams for 7 spots ‡️. Updates from yesterday:.- Baylor and Oklahoma are now locks πŸ”’ Can't see them missing the tournament even with losses today. - West Virginia took a bad loss yesterday but will be OK. Definitely helps being
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
St. Thomas/Omaha CBS crew talked about something I've always been curious about: how closely do these projected lower seeded teams follow the other conference tournaments to monitor their odds of moving up the seed list?. Omaha is currently a 16, but could move to a 15 with some.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
@T3Bracketology UNC odds actually went down after beating Pitt lol. Was 89% according to same article on Friday.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Genuinely curious if next year’s committee is watching this thinking about how KenPom and other predictive metrics should be used to select tourney teams.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
100% agree with what @madeformarch says here about formulas. When I started toying with bracketology, I tried using one formula to apply to every team across the board and it was terrible. From that, and using some some of my comp sci/robotics background, I now use one large.
@madeformarch
Made For March
3 months
An administrative note here on my process before we get started:. There are no wrong ways to do bracket projections, and everyone you see on this app does things uniquely, which is really the true beauty of this all. For me, I literally deconstruct the bracket and rebuild it in.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
6 months
The 1 seeds, a week into the college basketball season:. Auburn.UConn.Kansas.North Florida.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
4 months
There's never been a season where two college basketball teams finish the year having a KenPom AdjEM over +35.00. Auburn and Duke are both currently tracking to be two of the top 5 highest rated teams of all time.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
4 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 1/31/2025 Update. - Easy pickings for the 1 seeds, same as last week.- Some shuffling around the next few lines. The biggest name: Houston, who I had as a 5 seed last week, finally collects now 3 Q1 wins to complement their #1 across the board quality metrics
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
Spot the outlier πŸ™„. Also, as much shit as BPI gets, I’m not a huge fan of SOR. With the other two resume metrics, you can easily find the actual values and predict how much a team will move in the rankings (e.g. Missouri will be ~15th in KPI and ~11th in WAB if they hold on vs
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
OK, here we go. #BracketologyBotπŸ€– - Selection Sunday Morning Update. I'll put one more out before the show this afternoon as things could change with the few games we have today. But, this is where I currently stand:. - The 1 seeds are set. I still have Auburn #1 overall, but
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - Final Selection Sunday Update. Thanks for following along this year! Almost hit 1k followers for this silly little hobby πŸ’ͺ. I never expect to be the most accurate, especially since I'm using a series of algorithms to predict everything, but it's still fun to
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
ESPN+ having a CBB RedZone-type channel for all these late, close conference tourney games would be clutch right now.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 years
Would have preferred a 20 pt win to help some low metrics, but Nebraska continues to avoid their first Q3/Q4 loss and the long shot dream stays alive for now. 5-1 this month. Next up for @HuskerHoops: home vs @MSU_Basketball #bracketology.
@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 years
Teams with no Q3/Q4 losses and at least 2 signature (Q1A) wins, by #BracketologyBot seed line:.1: Bama, KU, Purdue.2: TX, Ariz, Baylor.3: Tenn, Marq, KSt.4: Iowa St.5: Ind.6: NW.8: Ill, Prov.9: Mizzou. Nebraska.#Bracketology.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
This was a pretty accurate estimate. UConn WAB now at 0.35, a hit of -0.95 for the Seton Hall loss. Now 43rd in WAB ranking. Again, they’re fine. But does validate some of the WAB estimations I’ve been doing for tourney forecasting 😎.
@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
Tweeted two days ago that UConn having tourney odds of 74% per KenWAB felt low, and with their 4 Q1A wins + weak bubble I still think they are pretty safe. But that WAB is going to take a big hit today. Started the day #36 in WAB at 1.30, and with a projected WAB hit of about.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
And corresponding KenWAB Tourney Odds for these teams‡️. Confirms my belief that there is a gap after Wake Forest! . And K-State still only at 2.15%, you're fine @JBRBracketology πŸ˜…
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - Bubble Update 02/12/2025. - SMU moves IN, San Diego St. moves OUT.- Arkansas needs to hold serve at home vs LSU tonight.- Small gap between Wake Forest and VCU; all teams in Next 4+ OUT are probably a couple wins (or one big win) away from jumping into the
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Looking at some remaining schedules for bubble teams, and Cincinnati stands out. 3 Q3 must-win home games.3 Q1A tough road games. 4-2 get the job done? Would be 20-11 (9-9) with 3 Q1A wins. Teams with at least 3 Q1A wins and 20 total wins have never missed the tourney.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– 02/24/2025 KenWAB Tournament Odds. Updates:.- Now 28 Locks πŸ”’ Welcome UCLA, Clemson, Louisville, Saint Mary's, Kansas, Utah State.- BYU goes from 59% on Friday to 89% today πŸ“ˆ.- As always, KenWAB high on Oklahoma following the win over Mississippi State and
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 03/07/2025 Update. 9 Days Until Selection Sunday!. - Welcome back to the 1 line Florida Gators! Alabama falls to a 2 🐊.- Texas Tech takes the rotating spot at #8 overall. I do think a St. John's win Sunday at Marquette will be enough to vault them into this
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Maybe the quickest I’ve ever bookmarked something.
@HeatCheckCBB
Heat Check CBB
1 year
Champ Week is right around the corner!. Make sure you have our college basketball TV schedule saved to keep tabs on all of the action!. Full interactive schedule:
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
4 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– Top 4 Seeds 1/8/2025. - Auburn, Duke, Iowa State are the clear top 3. - Looking at the whole body of work (and not just last nights blowout loss), the computer still likes Tennessee as the fourth 1 seed. - Alabama, Florida, and Marquette are also clear picks
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
Bubble is getting messy πŸ‘€. UC Irvine and Dayton haven't even played a game yet!.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
It would be a real shame if both these MVC teams were not in the NCAA Tournament. Stressful upcoming week for Indiana St fans.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 03/14/2025 Update. 2 Days until Selection Sunday!. Updates:.- The battle for the last 1 seed will continue today with the top dogs in the SEC starting play!.- Iowa State and Texas Tech both lose but remain on the 3 line. The door is open, however, for the
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
4 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 1/10/2025 Update. - A few changes to the top 4 seeds I posted on Wednesday morning!.- Alabama grabs the final 1 seed. Iowa State was holding on with better predictive metrics, but Alabama winning by 20 on the road made up enough of the difference. Those two,
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
🚨 #BracketologyBot Official 1 Seed Odds 🚨. Earlier during the Auburn/Alabama game, ESPN put up a graphic stating Auburn only had a 49.5% chance of securing a 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. I thought that seemed low, especially since current betting markets had them at -10000
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
@kerrancejames I couldn’t believe when I saw that. Need to bully them to fix that like their tournament odds πŸ˜‚.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 02/07/2025 Update. 37 Days until Selection Sunday!. - No changes at the top since Wednesday. Tennessee secures their spot as the final 1 seed with the win vs Missouri 1⃣.- 2 through 4 also maintain positions on seed lines, although slightly different order
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
A team I seem to be much higher on than others: Ole Miss. I get the poor predictive metrics, but they have a top 25 resume average, 3 Q1 wins, and no Q3/4 losses. Since 2019, all 61 teams that meet that criteria have been a single digit seed.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
If you start The Dark Knight at 9:47:38PM this evening, you’ll watch this scene as the calendar turns to March. @JonRothstein
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
Updated KenWAB Tournament Odds for 02/13/2025 ‡️. I've broken this down into the following tiers this time!. Tier 1: Dark Gold πŸ”’ (Auburn to Michigan St.).These teams will be in the NCAA Tournament. Tier 2: Gold (Illinois to Louisville).Barring an epic collapse, these teams will
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
🚨Introducing KenWAB: A new way to look at a team's tournament chances!. As many have pointed out this week, ESPN's Bubble Watch article has been using their own BPI metric to determine how likely it is a team will make the NCAA Tournament, resulting in some strange odds (looking
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Greg Gumbel announcing the field this Sunday will be missed 😒 hope all is well with his family!.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
Team I’ll be keeping on eye on today: Gonzaga. Top 10 in the country with a predictive metric average of 10.7, and the Bulldogs will end the season with the following three games. Will anyone really be shocked if Gonzaga is a 4 seed in the Seattle pod this March?
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 02/21/2025 Update. 23 days until Selection Sunday!. Updates:.- Duke regains #2 overall spot from Alabama.- Wisconsin jumps to a 2 seed with 20-pt win over Illinois πŸ“ˆ.- After that, gets weird. I have the teams from Iowa State to Arizona all very close, can
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 years
For all my new Nebraska @HuskerHoops fans: The bot currently has them as the 18th team out with a TON of ground to make up. Let's blowout Minnesota today! #bracketology.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 3/15 Update. Here we go!. * 14 AQs now in the field πŸ†.* Dayton loses its AQ designation to VCU as the bubble shrinks by one spot 🫧.* Didn't notice this the other day, but I actually have Houston-UConn-Purdue as order for 1 seeds 😳 It's close enough to
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
Buckeyes were one of 47 teams with a positive WAB entering today, will no longer be the case tomorrow after a ~0.70 hit tonight. Frankly should be even lower with Northwestern being Barnhizer-less.
@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - KenWAB Tournament Forecast 02/20/2025. Changes from yesterday:.- Oregon locks up a spot πŸ”’.- New Mexico still safe after loss to Boise State, only falling from 89% -> 84%.- Nebraska takes the biggest hit, falling from 73% -> 53% πŸ“‰.- West Virginia gets some
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 02/21/2025 Update. 23 days until Selection Sunday!. Updates:.- Duke regains #2 overall spot from Alabama.- Wisconsin jumps to a 2 seed with 20-pt win over Illinois πŸ“ˆ.- After that, gets weird. I have the teams from Iowa State to Arizona all very close, can
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
I’m sure almost no one will relate to this, but nothing worse than being temporarily banned from KenPom…. (wrote a script to automatically pull some data for a project and forgot to put a timerπŸ€¦β€β™‚οΈ).
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 years
@husker_prodz @HuskerHoops it’s a very long shot haha, but obviously starts with beating Minnesota handily tomorrow to start lowering ranking in NET, KPI, and other metrics committee uses. win next 3 and it’ll at least make it interesting heading into B1G tournament.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
"Michigan should be a 4-seed with a win today, but has likely already been slotted as a 5 seed". That bothers me so much. How can the committee say every game matters every year and then stop caring about results come Friday of conference tournament week?. Since 1985, 12-5 upsets.
@ESPNLunardi
Joe Lunardi
2 months
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Ohio State… tournament team???
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
Future project idea for me: looking at individual plays in a game and determining how they change a team’s odds of making the tournament. From the example below, Georgia went from 28.5% to 53% odds of winning vs Florida today on that Cain shot. Combine that with Georgia’s.
@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
Absolute meltdown in the last couple minutes from Georgia, but Blue Cain hits the big 3 and they find the win in the end. Massive shot to completely change the bubble picture and Georgia’s tournament hopes.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
@JBRBracketology A 60-pt loss to Wake adds nicely to GT’s β€œfunniest resume” award.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Definitely don’t think my bracketology model is perfect. Just this morning, I wasn’t thrilled with it giving Colorado as the last team IN. But it’s nice knowing I’m putting something out completely free of outside influence or bias, even if I don’t always agree with it.
@madeformarch
Made For March
1 year
Always think about this at this time of year:. The proliferation of bracketology and a community surrounding it, and whether those create a hive mind, so to speak. Let's do a 🧡.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
@JBRBracketology typo, missing a decimal. should be 8.9%.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Recap here on how the model performed yesterday against the committee's released S-curve. Positive numbers = Overseeded teams by bot.Negative numbers = Underseeded teams by bot. The Good.* Seeds 1 through 4 were pretty good. There was talk of Iowa St being a 1 seed, but I
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
38/68 exact.60/68 off by 1.67/68 in the field. Missed FAU for Oklahoma. Not terrible, but obviously way too high on the MWC.
@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - FINAL UPDATE. Nothing really changes from the morning as the final AQs are locked in! Happy Selection Show!
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
4 months
@madeformarch I’m dreaming higher… β€œand the final one seed, in the West region, coming off a win earlier today in the SEC Tournament Championship, the Texas A&M Aggies”.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
6 months
The 1 seeds, a week into the college basketball season:. Auburn.UConn.Kansas.North Florida.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
My bracket is a machine learning model trained on the previous years of committee decisions. All I do is refresh the metrics each morning and make a pretty graphic to show what it looks like πŸ€”.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 3/16 Update. 1 day until Selection Sunday! πŸŽ‰. Feel pretty confident that every team down to Michigan State will be in the field πŸ”’. That leaves 7 teams for 4 spots. New Mexico and Virginia are in OK-ish spots for now. NM can obviously take the decision out
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 months
Bubble teams to Duke ‡️
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
Very cool of @SethDavisHoops to join @T3Bracketology today to debate tournament expansion. I’m still opposed, but if it did happen, would hope it would look something like below instead of making every 15 and 16 seed have to play a play-in game. Really hate the current β€œPower 5”.
@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
@jacob_scheck @SethDavisHoops let's try this one more time. if we absolutely had to expand, this is how it should be done. @SethDavisHoops feel free to send to the @NCAA
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Nebraska finally adding a B1G road win to resume??? πŸ‘€. Tominaga cooking, Hoosier fans booing
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
6 months
Finally, starting with the 1 seeds, teams are automatically selected using an expanded data set (all above data, Home/Away splits, H2H, conference affiliation. ) When a team is selected, it is removed from future pods, and the process repeats for the next seed line πŸ€–. Looking.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 3/1 Update. Happy March!. * Kentucky climbs to a 4 seed πŸ“ˆ.* TTU falls from a 5 to an 8 πŸ“‰.* Arizona takes final 1 seed but it's close. Tennessee might grab it with win @ Bama this weekend 1⃣.* Memphis rejoins bubble graphic 🫧
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– Bubble Update 3/10 🫧. * Iowa likely enters field with win today πŸ“ˆ.* A&M, NM, Nova, Providence obvious must wins in 1st round of conf tourneys .* Wake/Pitt potential elimination game in ACC quarters.* Right column = Needs a lot of help πŸ†˜. Full update tomorrow
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 years
@eamonnbrennan β€œNo games vs Top 10 NET teams” actually made me lol.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
No major changes from yesterday's update besides Michigan dropping to a 4!. For those unaware or any new followers, I run my bracketology model in two parts: 1) An initial team score formula that pods teams into different groups and 2) A unique algorithm for each pod that more
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
3 months
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 03/02/2025 Update. 14 Days Until Selection Sunday!. - New movement on the 1 line, as my model now projects Houston as the #2 overall seed following yesterday's results (personally, I'd be surprised if a 3-loss Duke isn't the second team mentioned on Selection
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Last 4 Byes: UVA, Providence, Seton Hall, Gonzaga.Last 4 In: New Mexico, Colorado, Wake Forest, St. John’s.First 4 Out: Utah, Ole Miss, Drake, Syracuse.Next 4 Out: Nova, Oregon, Iowa, Kansas St. Will run a full update tomorrow morning!.
@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 2/26 Update. * Reposting (full updated metrics didn't load in correctly 😬, oops).* Not much movement among Top 4 seeds πŸ†.* UK, Wake πŸ“ˆ BYU, NM πŸ“‰.* St. John's back on bubble graphic 🫧.* Auto-bid not out of picture for Princeton, JMU
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 2/9 Update. * Arizona's turn to hold the last 1 seed with win @ Utah.* FAU falls to a 9 with UAB loss.* Since Monday, only actual movement in and out of field this week was Colorado falling to first team out and Nevada taking their place. Thoughts?
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Man, South Florida up 13 late 2H at Charlotte. I still don’t think there’s a path to an at-large for USF, but if they win out and lose to FAU in the AAC title game? Feel like they’re the most likely candidate to surprise everyone and pull a 2016 Tulsa πŸ€”.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
#BracketologyBotπŸ€– - 3/11 Update. Best two weeks of the year coming up!. * Last 1 seed still up for grabs 1⃣.* 2/3 cutline close (Creighton, ISU, Marq, Bay). Not adjusting for the Kolek injury currently. * Colorado and up = pretty safe πŸ‘. Bubble talk to follow 🫧
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
1 year
Bubble update as Sunday slate gets underway. * Nova, Utah enter the field πŸ“ˆ.* Wake, New Mexico fall out πŸ“‰.* Iowa πŸ‘€.* UVA did not fall as much as expected with blowout loss to Duke .* TCU appears on graphic 🫧.* NOTE: Conf AQ goes to high NET, so this assumes no bid-stealers 🚫
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 years
@espn @KUHoops Best team in the country? πŸ‘€.
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@AI_Bracketology
AI Bracketology πŸ€
2 years
@madeformarch saw a tweet today that Kansas hasn’t lost a senior night game since 1983. absurd.
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