Tom Lubbock
@tmlbk
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Opinion Research, Insight and Strategy | Co-founder @JLPartnersPolls | #rstats | #tidymodels| #dataviz | via @UniofOxford
London
Joined March 2007
Herd this:
NEW J.L. Partners likely voters poll for @DailyMail Donald Trump: 49% (+3) Kamala Harris: 46% RFK Jr: 1% Chase Oliver: 1% Jill Stein: 1% Undecided: 2% 1000 LV, landline live call/cell live call/SMS-to-web/in-app, Oct 26-29 Data: https://t.co/qgx30v6qA0
https://t.co/1OtqGu1PDA
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‘If you would have done this research 10 years ago, you would have had nothing like this.’ Co-founder of J.L. Partners Tom Lubbock explains new polling that suggests that a majority of the British public believe in deporting all illegal immigrants.
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Exclusive new UK polling with @MartinDaubney @gbnews by @JLPartnersPolls Two thirds (66%) of Brits back the deportation of ALL illegal migrants Majorities of Reform, Tories, Labour and Lib Dem voters support the policy. Even more Greens do than not 2,000 UK adults, Nov 2025
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Labour still well clear of the Conservatives in our tracking
NEW: 🇬🇧 Voting Intention poll in @thesun 1,000 British adults, 1st-3rd Nov Changes w/ 26th Sept-3rd Oct 🟣 RFM: 30% (-1) 🔴 LAB: 23% (+2) 🔵 CON: 17% (-2) 🟡 LDEM: 12% (-1) 🟢 GRN: 10% (+1)
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The UK is definitely headed in the same direction as other western democracies (US, Germany, Portugal) with a growing gender divide among young voters Young men opting for the populist right and young women leaning towards the populist left Great 🧵 from Nicholas here
🚨NEW🚨 @JLPartnersPolls, KAS, and @ukonward polling of 5,000 16-40 year olds shows a widening gender divide in the UK. Men aged 16-25: Reform: 31% Labour: 24% Green: 14% Women aged 16-25: Labour: 27% Green: 25% Reform: 18% 👉 Read the report: https://t.co/yWOzuq1Wsv 🧵/
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🚨NEW🚨 @JLPartnersPolls, KAS, and @ukonward polling of 5,000 16-40 year olds shows a widening gender divide in the UK. Men aged 16-25: Reform: 31% Labour: 24% Green: 14% Women aged 16-25: Labour: 27% Green: 25% Reform: 18% 👉 Read the report: https://t.co/yWOzuq1Wsv 🧵/
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States where imports are the highest share of GDP: 1) Kentucky: 32.3% 2) Michigan: 24.5% 3) Tennessee: 21.9% ... and the lowest: 48) Wyoming: 2.5% 49) South Dakota: 2.2% 50) Hawaii: 1.9% Your state's data + potential tariff impacts 👇
pew.org
When the federal government imposes tariffs on imports, the effects often ripple far beyond cargo ships and customs offices. Tariffs have the potential to significantly influence state budgets by...
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Hitting more ‘life milestones’ no longer makes you more Conservative Young voters who work full-time, own a house, and are married with children are backing Labour over the Tories by a 2-1 margin Labour is becoming the new party of the establishment
Quite the graph: The old truth - that more life experience makes people more Conservative - no longer holds @JLPartnersPolls @ukonward polling of 5,000 16-40 year olds in @telegraph @kamalahmednews
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🚨🎙️Concilio x @JLPartnersPolls Better Places podcast In this episode, Nick Dines sits down with @jamesjohnson252, Co-Founder of JL Partners and former pollster to Theresa May, to unpack what’s really driving @reformparty_uk's surge in the polls. 🎧 Listen here:
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The average Conservative voter is almost 70 years old. Let that sink in. Here's what the party can do to win younger voters👇
If the Conservative Party has any ambition to return to Government as more than 'the pensioner party' they need to start winning younger voters again The average Tory voter was aged 43 in 2019, rising to 64 in 2024 and is now almost 70 A 🧵 on new JLP polling for @ukonward
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Me for @jlpartnerspolls on @TrevorPTweets @skynews: 🔵 The Tories have lost 40% of their support since the election; not hyperbole to say they are on brink of extinction 🔵 Pensioners are holding up Conservatives at c.18% of vote 🔵 The only road to recovery is by decisively
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"It has gone largely unnoticed that time spent on social media peaked in 2022 and has since gone into steady decline." By @jburnmurdoch
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🚨#BREAKING: Grading company owner, Jake Jarvis, confirms he and his 9-year-old daughter have now worked 365 DAYS FOR FREE rebuilding roads, bridges, and homes in Western North Carolina. They have refused to accept a penny from any of the victims they have helped. HEROES!!!!!
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ICYMI: Helene One Year Later Our special taking you across Western North Carolina is available online. I will never forget hearing the stories of the landslide survivors they are just now emotionally ready to share. #weather #wx #helene #wnc
https://t.co/gy2ztTL4Nv
spectrumlocalnews.com
Fall tourism could bring the economic boost the region needs, but the state is also fighting for federal funding support.
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🚨 J.L. Partners at Labour Conference 🚨 Join us on Tues 30th at 6pm for our event with @SME4LABOUR with exclusive polling on Labour’s path to victory in 2029 and a rich panel of discussion with @tmlbk @YasminQureshiMP @GraemeDownieMP @Bill_Esterson @DavidBSampson ⬇️⬇️⬇️
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The mystery of Lib Dem strategy laid out by @gavinantonyrice
Why is Ed Davey targeting voters who don't exist? Almost no-one switched from Tory to Lib Dem at the last election - the biggest defection by far was to Reform. And the ones that did are not posh, anti-Brexit social liberals. They are the opposite. My latest @Telegraph 👇
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Come and hear how Labour can hold onto their Hero voters for the rest of the parliament
🚨 J.L. Partners at Labour Conference 🚨 Join us on Tues 30th at 6pm for our event with @SME4LABOUR with exclusive polling on Labour’s path to victory in 2029 and a rich panel of discussion with @tmlbk @YasminQureshiMP @GraemeDownieMP @Bill_Esterson @DavidBSampson ⬇️⬇️⬇️
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👀👀👀 Really excited this is kicking off in SW1 from 10! 👇- in Playbook Thrilled to have helped bring together some brilliant US visitors to discuss the strategy of the centre right Speaking @oren_cass
@michaelgove
@RobertJenrick
@NJ_Timothy
@CitySamuel 1/2
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Central London is full of people looking lost because of this tube strike, none sadder to see than the parents and children trying to get to school
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