Adam
@thebeaglebets
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Husband, Dad to 2 humans and 2 dogs. professional prop bettor specializing in nba and nfl. Opponent of the war on drugs
Joined May 2017
Big fan of Rob but defending Caesar’s blocking a guy’s withdrawal for putting on them blast publicly was a wild take to me. This isn’t a local bookie. A multi billion dollar company can’t hold your money hostage because you hurt their feelings.
Sports Betting Chaos This Week: Brutal Bookkeeping, Cold Takes & More | Presented by Kalshi (ft. @robpizzola, @jacob_gramegna, @gfienberg17 and @KirkEvans0)
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Kai Trump can still make the cut if Mike Pence has the courage
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Always loved gambling with an edge for the stories but sometimes Richard will drop a little nugget that is so valuable. “Variance is your friend” is a lesson I wish I had learned a long time ago instead of in the last few years.
New Episode w/ @RWM21 just dropped. It was an honor for myself and @Sports__Proj to have Richard on. We are both HUGE GWE fans and he did not disappoint on this podcast. Quite possibly the most electric bayesian update of the week yet along with incredible stories & advice⬇️
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NEW: Aaron Judge now has a 95% chance to win AL MVP on Kalshi ahead of Thursday’s award announcement. Is it over?
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Nuggets 6:1 can’t be a real bet. Last year I bet them over +600 to win single playoff series and the team they were facing likely got better this season.
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The aesthetics of indoor tennis are so much worse than outdoor tennis
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Fez surely you can see that the 2 sides are not equal and if a game closes +29 but open +30 that +29 is stronger and if it opened +28 than -29 is stronger?
LOL, no he won't. not unless 1/2 a point suddenly became worth more than 10 cents (magically). Maybe these are MAGIC 1/2 point grits that results in wins more than the value. I tell you what? How about we bet. On EVERY game you can have the closing line at bookmaker and you
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But for whatever reason he dislikes me a lot. Can’t please everyone in life and trying to is a fool’s errand. I enjoyed the distraction on what was a tough day for me, and he did get me DMs about possible partnerships so I appreciate that. But onward and upward.
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I have no idea why Porter dislikes me. He’s bet my stuff for the Super Bowl and we use to be on good terms. In fact a year and a half ago I had an absurd angle for a nba playoff game and shared it with him without even asking for anything down as I had already bet over 50k.
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First off this is not an apology of any sort. I encourage him to try and burn outs for me because 1) he can’t 2) if someone who does bet with me has a better fit I hope they leave. I have always wanted a good fit for anyone I work with.
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Going to write a short thread that will be the last I say on this because beefing isn’t good for my peace of mind. Porter just caught me on a bad day due to some real life stuff outside of gambling.
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Had never once checked my view count on a podcast episode I was a guest on but someone sent me this screen shot
@thebeaglebets @chinamaniac yes Mr bottom 10 all time viewed interview episode
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What are you going to do? Not give me $200 fills on Super Bowl props anymore?How will I ever recover from this.
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Socialism, but right wing
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I'm sure the investigation will be thorough
Update: federal regulators have flagged OVER 100 UFC fights this year for abnormal betting patterns, including 2 additional fighters on last nights card. Shit is about to get VERY ugly. Still working to confirm but it sounds like the Feds are moving to audit Herzogs fights
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you run a sports book buddy relax
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: “The core unlock that could happen with prediction markets is if you forecast the future better, you are pricing risk.” “If you can price risk, then you can make better decisions about the risk.” “And then also you can transfer it, you can hedge. And I
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If Cuomo got 1 vote for every anti Mamdani post that Elon promotes on the For You algo he might actually have a chance
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