Stephanie Valencia
@stephanievalenc
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Building Latino political power through media & innovation. Co-founder @EquisResearch, @Poderistas, LMN. #NMTrue 🌶️
Santa Fe, NM
Joined March 2010
Our dials are clear: Americans don't want Trump focused on foreign wars, they just want lower costs at home.
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So more canceled meetings, another two hours in the car, at least $100 uber to come get them. At least $1200 out of pocket, a lot of frustration and questioning why I’ve been so loyal.
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Booked my own hotel ($200 bc anything close to airport sold out and wasn’t about to stand in another 3 hour line). When I arrived to LA went to bag claim to get status of bags. Was told I have to come retrieve bags bc I flew on another carrier “due to policy” they won’t deliver
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Waited in line for 3 hours to try to get baggage. Was told it would be on a flight to LA today. Still has not arrived. Maybe 12pm flight. I rebooked on Southwest air for $800, because AA couldn’t get me to LA until Wednesday.
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. Dear @AmericanAir I’m a loyal customer. Platinum pro. Over 40 trips last year. Cancelled flight in Phx to LAX last night. Not directly due to weather but not enough gates to put our plane. Missed an impt interview this morning and another appt where I can’t get deposit back
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Tavern Research polled overnight and found Dems are on strong ground to demand an end to ICE abuses. A pretty Trump-friendly sample and the numbers are still strong. Full results here: https://t.co/sjmh1YjNbA
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Tavern Research polled the shutdown question last night, and found that the public supports a shutdown to achieve better oversight over ICE by a healthy margin. Full results here https://t.co/1C3rlXDURt
Shut down the government if you have to until: Masks off Prosecutions/independent prosecutors Out of MN now No funding increase Miller/Noem out Enough is enough.
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A statement from the family of Alex Pretti, obtained by CNN: "We are heartbroken but also very angry. Alex was a kindhearted soul who cared deeply for his family and friends and also the American veterans whom he cared for as an ICU nurse at the Minneapolis VA hospital. Alex
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Magaziner: How many US military veterans have you deported? Noem: Sir, we have not deported U.S. Citizens or military veterans. Magaziner: We are joined on zoom by a gentleman who is army combat veteran who was shot twice while serving our country in Panama in 1989. Earlier
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In the Miami mayoral, the Dem (Higgins) over-performed 2024 presidential in predominantly Cuban (+8), non-Cuban Hispanic (+9), Black (+9), and White (+11) precincts-- over-performance across the board. Results as of 7:43et.
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ICYMI: Our latest poll at @EquisResearch shows signs that Trump’s businessman image may be eroding among Latinos, and they’re losing faith in his ability to handle the economy.
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But many Latinos maintain a “wait-and-see” posture. And while Democrats gained trust on economic issues following the inauguration, there is a rising cynicism toward *both* major parties among swing Latino voters.
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Latinos favor increasing taxes for billionaires and big corporations over cutting social programs as a way to offset spending – precisely the opposite of the Trump administration’s approach.
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The TL;DR: Latinos are facing significant everyday economic challenges, and are looking for relief in the places they feel the squeeze the most, from groceries to healthcare. They’re losing faith in Trump as a good businessman and in his ability to handle the economy.
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🚨 NEW @EquisResearch poll out today covering the latest from Latinos on Trump and the economy. Check out the full public memo here:
weareequis.us
This memo summarizes key findings from a national poll of 1,614 registered Hispanic voters, conducted with Data for Progress from July 7 to 17, 2025. This poll has a margin of error of ± 2 pp.
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This is cool: cast vote records (CVR) in Washoe (NV) allow us to see the choices voters made on the whole ballot. Overall, 5.8% of Trump voters went for Rosen, 5.5% went "none of the above" or 3rd party, and 1% skipped. (And there was more splitting in Latino precincts...)
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*Clark County, NV*: Harris under-performed Biden across the board but most, seemingly, in densely Hispanic precincts. A large drop two prez cycles in a row. Rosen (like Gallego in AZ) came short of Biden '20 levels but out-performed Harris — most in the heaviest Latino areas.
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These types of critiques feel like shadow-boxing to me, disconnected from how '24 campaigns were actually run. Trump & Ruben Gallego played identity politics more than Harris did. But send me the memo, @SethLondon
Dems, keep an eye out for this doc …. Seth London, an adviser to Democratic donors and veteran of Obama’s campaigns and White House, has written a blistering memo aimed at the party’s elected officials pleading with them to learn the lessons of this election. “Parts of the
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Sharing a preliminary, step-back look at Latino shifts based on precincts & dense locales… Before I do, remember: we should study big Latino shifts, but that is separate from a diagnosis of how Trump won, which can't be reduced to any single demo. https://t.co/iW9KVRTk4i
@NickRiccardi We can tell two stories -- (1) huge, historic Latino swings, (2) uniform swing across demos that actually determined the election -- without conflating them. That's the kind of political education we need from our reporters & political scientists.
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1. All politics is identity politics. 2. There are clunky vs. resonant ways to do it. 3. Progressives need to speak to economic identities, not just ethnic ones. 4. If Dems were to cede to the forces of racial depolarization, they'd be cooked for the foreseeable future.
Progressive identity politics -- appealing to groups of voters based on racial threat or grievance, and targeting them with specific benefits -- is just totally cooked. It's not winning over Hispanics and Asians; it's pushing them away. Put a fork in it. https://t.co/P99Os7bFL0
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