Quoctrung Bui
@qdbui
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Deputy graphics director for @nytopinion.
Brooklyn, NY
Joined September 2008
The One Big Beautiful Bill ratchets up work requirements for Medicaid. In the process it will force states to pay millions more to one company -- Equifax -- to verify that residents qualify for the program. Wild @sangerkatz @sarahkliff @a_elkeurti story here:
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@stefanoschen Evidence in New York’s own pilot and other cities suggests free fares drive more ridership. BUT those added riders can wipe out the time savings of getting rid of the fare. To reap time benefits, you’d need to add service. Which costs yet more $$.
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Rollet 2025 Fig 3b shows that the average upzoning raises FAR by 1.0, but only increases built FAR by 0.10 over ten years. Upshot: theoretical zoned capacity needs to be at least 10x bigger than the target amount of housing.
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I’m seeing a lot of fighting over this. I find it a bit weird. Ezra isn’t saying to run pro-life candidates in Michigan. He’s saying that if Democrats want to keep the GOP out of power, it means running candidates that don’t fit their platform on certain issues. That includes
Ezra Klein says the more worried you are about authoritarianism, the more willing you’ve got to be to run pro-life Democrats in red states. https://t.co/PweFiV8cSI
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Or it might be that Spanberger is the right candidate for Virginia and Mamdani is the right candidate for New York City, and elements of both need to be present in whoever becomes the 2028 nominee.
Democratic Party moderates see Virginia governor hopeful Abigail Spanberger as a more politically viable standard-bearer than the likes of New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani
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CBO put out their final distribution analysis of the reconcilation bill yesterday. If you combine those numbers with the most recent @The_Budget_Lab tariff burden estimates, you get a striking result: all income groups but the top decile are made worse off on net.
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estimated drop in new international enrollment to american universities this fall: -30/40% (!) contributing to a 15 percent drop in overall enrollment - nafsa: association of international educators
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Redfin: U.S. housing market now 508,715 more home sellers than homebuyers That’s the most home sellers have outmatched homebuyers in over a decade, according to Redfin
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Important piece from @davidautor & @gordon_h_hanson about the next "China shock" and how to deal with it. https://t.co/jSu5frB1Ea
nytimes.com
The Trump administration is fighting the last war while China marches toward dominating the industries of the future.
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This is really fascinating. Forest and grassland converted to crops in 19th cent. 20th cent urbanization. But also notice some re-forestation in TX and South East. After 1920, total forested land is fairly stable. This was a lot of fun to make. Data from @HanqinTian et al.
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Here's what's in the bill Congress just passed. More in my latest for @nytopinion
https://t.co/RSpfuJmYvI
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Full-day kindergarten increases maternal employment rates.
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We've updated our big, beautiful list of (almost) everything in the GOP bill. Link in reply, for twitter reasons. @aliciaparlap
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Since some drama about the "current policy baseline" is clearly headed our way this week, may I recommend this piece decoding that boring but consequential language using metaphors and illustrations? https://t.co/TgCQk99RgO
@aliciaparlap
nytimes.com
A maneuver so wonky that it might be best explained with sports cars and anime streaming.
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I have obtained new nonpublic data from ICE that shows that 2/3 of the people it had booked into detention facilities this fiscal year had no criminal convictions at all. Less than 7% have violent convictions. Most convictions were for immigration, traffic, and vice offenses.
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One important thing to note. Yesterday's report had revenue at $3.009 trillion. Now, with the add'l 50% tariffs on China, it's $2.843 trillion. We've now flipped to the right side of the tariff Laffer Curve.
Here's a quick update to the @The_Budget_Lab tariff tracker to incorporate the add'l 50% US tariffs on China & China's add'l retaliation. • The average effective US tariff rate is now 26.8%, the highest since 1903. • US real GDP growth is -1.1pp lower over 2025. 1/3
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NEW: There’s a dire situation in Vietnam, at the largest Agent Orange spill in the country. When Trump and Marco Rubio cancelled foreign aid, froze funding and began dismantling USAID, those who were cleaning up the Bien Hoa air base had to halt work. 1/
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A woman was assaulted at her job at a nursing home. She reported it to Michigan police. The police department alerted ICE, and now she's being deported.
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I remember reading about "peak populism in 2017, 2019, 2021 and 2023...
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Alternative version of the President map, by raw vote margin per square mile:
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