ian bremmer
@ianbremmer
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@eurasiagroup & @gzeromedia. political scientist, author. if you lived here, you'd be home now.
Joined July 2009
If you're not following some people you dislike, you're doing it wrong. I'm happy to help.
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“in the very probable event russia is ultimately not officially the losing party, it will, as history has shown in other cases, be legitimately asking for its sovereign assets to be returned.” - belgian pm bart de wever quite a statement. belgium opposes eu plan to support
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i’d like to be more optimistic on russia/ukraine. i’m not. this “peace plan” is headed nowhere good. @gzeromedia
https://t.co/faPxSWr2Sg
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@JDVance can’t think of anything more deep state/permanent washington than supporting regime change in venezuela. it’s not popular among the american public at large or with most us allies. but that’s a different story.
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military strikes on venezuela look imminent. no major allies support it. and the risks are substantial. @gzeromedia
https://t.co/ez95LqstyR
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the one reason most venezuelans favor removing maduro from power—that he stole a legitimate election—holds next to zero interest for president trump.
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@iamGermania you’re welcome. to be clear: i think unilateral us regime change by this administration would be a mistake. i hope i’m wrong, since it now looks increasingly likely. i genuinely feel for the millions of venezuelans living under the brutality of the maduro regime.
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maduro is a ruthless dictator. the venezuelan people decisively voted against him and he has refused to cede power. none of this is in doubt. the question—for several us administrations now—has been what to do about it. if president trump unilaterally decides on regime
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this statement from the us secretary of state is fully aligned with ukraine and nato allies in europe.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio: The end goal is obviously not just the end of the war, obviously that's essential and fundamental, but it's also about securing an end to the war that leaves Ukraine sovereign and independent and with an opportunity of real prosperity. So
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due to circumstances beyond his control, moose will not be available for walkies this morning
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this is utterly sensible. only problem is putin said the exact same thing about ukraine before invading.
NOW - Putin says Russia doesn't want to attack Europe and that "its laughable" and "a total lie," suggests that there are crooks telling this to the population to increase their ratings and "to serve the military industry interests."
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two national guardsmen shot in cold blood outside the white house. a tragedy like this should bring the country together. not today. and that’s almost as much of a tragedy as the shooting.
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this is nearly as unserious as the 28 point plan
The EU’s top diplomat, Kaja Kallas, warned today that Russia must reduce its military power and make serious concessions to achieve a “just and lasting peace” in Ukraine. https://t.co/Tgi1sDvybX
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former president jair bolsonaro has started serving his jail term. no longer a roadblock to a us-brazil trade deal, as president trump has pivoted to focusing bilateral relations on the economy.
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if you want the russia-ukraine war over as soon as possible and don’t care about the conditions of resolution, the correct strategy is maximum pressure on ukraine, the weaker party. unsurprisingly this is driving the europeans insane. and it’s increasingly worrying us asian
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if you see russia as a friend of the united states and not an adversary, there’s nothing wrong with the witkoff phone call.
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can’t see witkoff credibly engaging in negotiations with ukraine or europeans following leak of his call helping advise the kremlin. which was surely the intention of the leak.
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trump pardons two very ungrateful thanksgiving turkeys… @gzeromedia
https://t.co/uWcggDBwxw
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six months ago, trump’s tariff strategy looked dominant. today, inflation and leverage abroad are forcing retreats. the administration is on weaker footing. @gzeromedia
https://t.co/ujVvapEpZ1
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