Paweł Behrendt
@pawel_behrendt
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PhD, @InstytutBoyma,editor at @konflikty.pl, regular contributor to @NKonfederacja @Ukladsil Japan, East Asia, SouthChinaSea
Joined November 2015
My latest about Chinese cognitive operations and the Three Warfares (3W) concept. @Bjoern__M @Konflikt_Sicher @HeikoBorchert @Ch_Ru_GER @vtchakarova @MartinSkold2 @CFRP5 @eerishika @jeremy_garlick @DrGunaRock @fuhrmann_jan @CDAInstitute @PULIN0426
https://t.co/pTXs1eeF61
instytutboyma.org
Cognitive operations are becoming an increasingly significant and common element of non-kinetic military operations. States and other political players deliberately manipulate the way their actions,...
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There needs to be a reckoning of this crazy idea that, prima facie, doesn't even make sense until you realize that it is borne out of actual Western ethnocentrism and wishful thinking: that as a nation achieves economic growth and modernization (through industrialization,
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Globalna sprzedaż pojazdów elektrycznych wzrosła w listopadzie w najwolniejszym tempie od lutego 2024 r., podczas gdy w Chinach🇨🇳 sprzedaż osiągnęła poziom stabilny. @Lukas_Gacek @J_Jakobowski @d_mierzejewski @nawrotkiewiczj @pawel_behrendt @swiat_nie_spi
https://t.co/9OEvX6QZeT
reuters.com
Global EV sales grew in November at the slowest rate since February 2024 as China plateaued, while the end of an EV tax credit scheme in the United States set North America on track for its first...
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Holy shit... Stanford just proved AI can outperform human hackers in the real world, and nobody seems to understand how big this is 🤯 They dropped a paper where they threw 10 professional pentesters into a live university network 8,000 real machines, 12 subnets, production
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We cannot allow the CCP to overrun our platform with Propaganda by creating multiple accounts to spam the same posts over and over. X is blocked in China and Chinese people are not allowed to access it, we shouldn't have to put up with their constant propaganda. Please help to
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米国家安全保障戦略(NSS2025)は、米国が「全地域に等しく関与できない」ことを前提に、西半球(米国の安定に直結)・アジア(経済競争優先と軍事衝突回避)・欧州(欧州自身の第一義的責任)・中東(関与の優先度縮減)と整理しているが、地域的接続性や連動性を見出すことは困難。スライドまとめ。
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An amazing article came out yesterday. Seven German journalism students, as a continuation of their OSINT course project, tracked the movements of ships with Russian crews off the coasts of the Netherlands and Germany and linked them to swarms of drones appearing over European
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Lithuania has no intention of meeting China’s conditions related to the Taiwanese representative office in Vilnius, President Gitanas Nausėda’s chief foreign policy adviser Asta Skaisgirytė said on Dec 9, signalling continued deadlock in efforts to restore diplomatic
There have been no 🇨🇳 diplomats in Lithuania since mid-May. “As of now, there are no diplomats or staff members accredited to work at the People's Republic of China Embassy in Vilnius.” Until recently, a single 🇨🇳 diplomat had remained in Lithuania. But after a brief trip
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Interesting work and a recommended read. I have to think about this a bit more before coming to my own firmer view on JDME. But its rare to see this level of sober effort & detail in public analysis, and it is to be commended for that alone.
AllSource has identified and assessed the JDME Shipyard in Taixing City, China to be a critical component in the development of Chinese naval simulation technology supporting weapons development programs. Key findings and full report: https://t.co/Lz2LZGnpYg
#GEOINT #China
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1/3 Tak wygląda "bezkontaktową wojną o zasoby". Nagranie pochodzi z 22 lutego 2025. Argentyńskie 🇦🇷 samoloty marynarki wojennej P-3C Orion oraz C-12 Huron wykryły - według komunikatu - ok. 380 statków rybackich znajdujących się niedaleko od granicy wyłącznej strefy ekonomicznej.
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New: The U.S. has unsealed a California grand jury indictment exposing how Russian GRU hackers targeted critical infrastructure in the U.S. They hit a regional airport in Missouri, drinking water and water storage facilities in Texas, Pennsylvania and Indiana, and a meat packing
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Another map for Pearl Harbor Day, from six years ago. Originally inspired by Japanese maps that put the Pacific (east) at the top, another inspiration was thinking about the Great Circle route from Japan to Hawaii and forcing a new perspective of the Central Pacific.
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What are the core dilemmas shaping China’s trajectory in 2026? Our new @AsiaPolicy report shows a China that is dynamic yet constrained—balancing control with vitality, security with development, ambition with caution, and resilience with fragility What Will Xi Jinping's
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Is China’s Go Global 3.0 a National Strategy in Disguise? CGG 3.0 is not spontaneous private-sector expansion. It is a state-directed project: SOEs build the foundation; private firms drive market growth. The only change from past campaigns is that Beijing no longer declares it
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Współpraca informacyjna Rosji 🇷🇺 i Chin 🇨🇳 jako “oś dezinformacji” i realne zagrożenie dla europejskiej demokracji. W analizie opublikowanej przez ISPI (Włoski Instytut Badań Międzynarodowych) eksperci zwracają uwagę na zagrożenie jakie stanowi otwartość i dostępność
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China's structures in the Yellow Sea & harassment of South Korean vessels resemble “creeping sovereignty” grey zone tactics that Beijing employed in the South and East China Seas. How should the U.S. and Korea respond? See the @CSISKoreaChair analysis: https://t.co/uMA9fCaorG
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Excellent feedback recently on my "Central Pacific" map, which some are now calling the "funnel map." To the conversation about island geography, I would add my 2019 JFQ piece on the "Second Island Cloud." Download printable maps and get article links at https://t.co/lF7YNA5cGR
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So let’s do some simple maths: 190,000 Russian troops invaded Ukraine in 2022 + 40,000 from the banana republics + 300,000 mobilized in the fall + 150,000 who signed new contracts or volunteered that year + 350,000 who signed up in 2023 (conservative estimate, as Russians claim
Medvedev writes that "over 400 thousand" contract soldiers were recruited by the Russian army in 2025 and the goals for this year are practically achieved.
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My dyskutujemy o nakrętkach do plastikowych butelek - a Chiny otwierają kolejny wiadukt dla superszybkich pociągów. Gdzieś już to czytaliście? Zapewne nie raz, nawet niektórzy polscy politycy wchodzą w tę narrację. @Michal_Istel pisze w @tvn24plus ⤵️ https://t.co/pG3LwhRhxh
tvn24.pl
"Zachód upada", "Europa staje się skansenem", my dyskutujemy o nakrętkach do plastikowych butelek - a Chiny otwierają kolejny wiadukt dla superszybkich pociągów. Gdzieś już to czytaliście? Zapewne...
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Jak poinformowała Izba Handlowa Unii Europejskiej🇪🇺w 🇨🇳Chinach, europejskie firmy przyspieszają działania mające na celu dywersyfikację, uniezależniając się od chińskich🇨🇳łańcuchów dostaw. @b_goralczyk @a_bachulska @J_Jakobowski @Lukas_Gacek @DamianAdamus
https://t.co/vwAgultnSb
reuters.com
European firms are accelerating efforts to diversify away from Chinese supply chains as Beijing's self-reliance drive and export controls deepen global trade uncertainty, the European Union Chamber...
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War historian Antony Beevor explained in an interview with The Telegraph why Russia commits such atrocities in Ukraine: He argues that Russia has historically developed a belief that conspicuous cruelty is a necessary weapon of war. According to the historian, while Europe went
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