Is it possible to separate the effects of economic shocks from cultural concerns in voting behavior?. 🚨New paper at @cps_journal🚨Italo @PStanig & I address the methodological difficulties in making such distinctions and provides new evidence on the globalization backlash. 1/5

RT @matt_haslberger: Great start to #EPSA2025 chairing a packed panel on "Regulation and Governance of AI," with papers by @paolo_agnolin,….

Excited to share that next year I’ll be joining @Princeton as a Postdoc, affiliated with ICEA @PrincetonSPIA. I'm deeply grateful to the mentors and friends at @Unibocconi & @DukePoliSci who supported me throughout this process. Your guidance and support have meant the world.

Un ringraziamento speciale anche alle Cucine Economiche Popolari @CEP_padova e alla Comunità di Sant'Egidio @santegidionews per aver aderito all'iniziativa e condiviso la loro preziosa testimonianza.

Un sentito grazie ai rappresentanti d'Istituto per l'invito e, soprattutto, agli studenti per il loro interesse e la partecipazione: è stato davvero bello!.

È stata una grande emozione tornare oggi al Liceo Corradini di Thiene, dopo diversi anni, questa volta come relatore in un'assemblea di Istituto. Ho avuto il piacere di incontrare gli studenti per discutere insieme di economia e disuguaglianze nella società.

Check out this fascinating paper on how community dynamics influence the political impact of economic shocks! It’s also a great example of effectively combining quantitative analysis with qualitative fieldwork.

RT @BeaMagistro: Excited to share our open access new article in the American Journal of Political Science (@AJPS_Editor) with @SBorwein, @….

RT @benwansell: Very glad we published this in CPS. An important rejoinder to the horse-race view about economics, culture and populism.

RT @PStanig: New paper with @paolo_agnolin and Italo Colantone: in a way, I wish we didn’t have to write it --it's just another primer on p….

Takeaways: culture and the economy are deeply intertwined, making it hard to disentangle this nexus when studying voting behavior. Simpler models, without post-treatment controls, may offer more relevant policy insight than complex models that try to test multiple stories at once.

And while we are at it, we also present some new evidence on how the China shock might have affected some cultural attitudes ---nativism, or impatience with representative democracy--- in western Europe. Link to paper👇.

Using principal stratification, we try to clarify what the ignorability assumptions for causal mediation really mean in substantive terms

We show that adding post-treatment controls, like cultural factors, changes conclusions about economic drivers of the backlash. But that's because post-treatment variables introduce bias. We illustrate this by reanalyzing key studies and using a step-by-step contrived example.

RT @NoamLupu: We have a forthcoming @BJPolS paper and a new dataset on the gender, education, and occupational backgrounds of lawmakers in….

RT @R_Blundell_UCL: Dimensions of Inequality: The IFS Deaton Review @TheIFS The whole evidence volume of the Review, including all the rema….

RT @SiljaHausermann: 📚 Our book on the transformation of the Left in emerging knowledge societies is out 📚. OPEN ACCESS .

Huge thanks to @BeaMagistro, @rmichaelalvarez, @PeejLoewen, @bartbonikowski, @SBorwein and Sabrina for organizing such a successful event.

Had a stimulating couple of days at @Caltech discussing automation and AI. 🤖🧠 Great to reconnect with the growing community of bright minds working on this topic. And yes, my mentor did take me for a run on Venice Beach!

RT @gonzalezrostani: Just left the Political Economy of AI conference feeling inspired by all I’ve learned and the amazing community formin….