
Lennart Heim
@ohlennart
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managing the flop @RANDcorporation | Also @GovAI_ & @EpochAIResearch
Washington, DC
Joined February 2013
RT @sj_manning: The window of opportunity is currently open. The PRC still lacks the compute necessary to widely export and embed their clo….
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RT @sj_manning: Read the full piece: "Beyond Export Controls: How Strategic Promotion of American AI Abroad Can Protect the Homeland & Chec….
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This is an important and good paper! As someone often seen as an advocate for training compute thresholds, I'm glad to see criticism focused on what matters most: the regulatory target. But some comments:. First, I shared similar reflections a few months ago after leaving.
Frontier AI regulation should focus on the handful of large AI developers at the frontier, not on particular models or uses. That is what Dean Ball (@deanwball) and I argue in a new article, out today from Carnegie (@CarnegieEndow).
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RT @KonstantinPilz: We took a look at Chinese government efforts to accelerate AI. TL;DR: They are subsidizing at every layer of the stack….
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RT @jacob_feldgoise: NVIDIA's latest chip architecture (Blackwell) achieves 10 TB/s die-to-die bandwidth—nearly 20x faster than the 910C's….
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My colleagues just launched their new Geopolitics of AGI Substack! I recommend following. Expect relevant analysis from @RANDCorporation's experts, such as their recent "AGI's Five Hard National Security Problems" or their thoughtful take on "mutually assured AI malfunction.".
The geopolitical and national security implications of advanced AI / AGI will be difficult to navigate. That’s why @RANDCorporation launched the Geopolitics of AGI Substack—insights, hypotheses, and ideas that inform the public debate. Check it out:
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Plot twist: Replace "shipbuilding" with "chipbuilding" and swap China for that small island neighbor. Same story, different industry.
🚨 NEW EPISODE 🚨.This week on the Dynamist, we brought on @rSanti97, @Chris_Griz, @kelvinotcelsius, and @JoinFAI's Robert Bellafiore to discuss the Techno Industrial Policy Playbook (TIPP), a project whose urgency can be summed up by one graph 🧵
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RT @GregHBurnham: The core idea is simple: building a broad and deep understanding, bit by bit, over time, is worthwhile. In particular, i….
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me defending my most recent estimates.
@dylan522p if you can't round away a few orders of magnitude do you even work in ai?.
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We're planning to review the first batch of applications next week (Monday 6/23)! .Make sure to apply if you're interested in crunching numbers for better AI policy.
My team at RAND is hiring! . Technical analysis for AI policy is desperately needed. Particularly keen on ML engineers and semiconductor experts eager to shape AI policy. Also seeking excellent generalists excited to join our fast-paced, impact-oriented team. Links below.
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RT @tbpn: Morning. Here are our guest call-ins today:. - @BerntBornich (1X Tech).- @Emily_Sundberg (Feed Me).- @JoshuaSteinman (Galvanick)….
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If China produces 200k Ascend 910Cs annually, filling the UAE's planned 5GW would require 15 years of production (3.1M chips) while delivering only ½ the performance. Or match performance with 7M chips consuming 2.2x more energy. China cannot backfill projects at this scale. 1/.
BIS Undersecretary Kessler to Congress, echoing Secretary @howardlutnick, "Our assessment is that Huawei's Ascend chip production capacity for 2025 will be at or below 200,000, and we project that most or all of that will be delivered to companies within China."
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RT @KonstantinPilz: People keep asking me ‘Konstantin, where are all the data centers?’ Today, I can finally give you the answer. Explore….
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