
sam manning
@sj_manning
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Penelope, Otis, and Annie's dad. Senior Research Fellow @GovAI_
Newbury, MA
Joined February 2010
Many people are asking this. Some starter ideas here:
Serious question: if you believe there was >25% chance that Dario Amodei was right about AI eliminating tens of millions of jobs over the next 1-5 years including half of all entry-level white collar jobs. What would government do now? What would it do if this really happened?
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RT @Manderljung: The EU's Code of Practice for General-Purpose AI is out. As one of the co-chairs who drafted the Safety & Security Chapter….
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I agree with the high-level points here by @anton_d_leicht, give it a read!.
New Post on AI & Jobs: Two Phases of Automation. AI job policy faces a timing problem: We will need to develop policy on existential disruptions while facing a 'normal' automation wave. That makes for treacherous politics & credibility traps. 🧵
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RT @GovAI_: GovAI is hiring!. You can join us as a Research Scholar for a year, or as a Research Fellow on a more permanent basis. The dea….
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I also highly recommend this recent Foreign Policy piece by @vivekchil, which lays out a concrete policy vision for a US AI promotion strategy.
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The window of opportunity is currently open. The PRC still lacks the compute necessary to widely export and embed their cloud services and AI systems around the world (see work from @ohlennart below).
China's AI models are closing the gap—and will continue to improve. However, this misses America's strategic compute advantage. In my new commentary, I argue that the TOTAL compute advantage is what export controls preserve and—if leveraged correctly—provides the real edge. 1/
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.@VP, @mkratsios47 & @davidsacks47 say the US must be the world’s ‘AI partner of choice.’. Why is that a worthy goal—and how do we get there?. In The Republic, I describe how a "Strategic Promotion" agenda could.help ensure US AI and compute anchor the global economy for decades
The United States must not only dominate in the development of frontier AI capabilities, but also must ensure the American AI stack -- from chips, to models, to applications -- is adopted worldwide.
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RT @lucafrighetti: How concerned should we be about AIxBio? We surveyed 46 bio experts and 22 superforecasters:. If LLMs do very well on a….
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This is really good. Private sector has strong incentives here, but governments may still play an important role in providing key aspects of agent infrastructure. New piece by @_achan96_.
New blog post!. AI agents are becoming increasingly capable, but will need new protocols and systems in order to work effectively and safely. Who should build such protocols and systems?
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This is one of the most important papers on the labor market impacts of AI in recent memory. Awesome, clarifying work by @ProfNeilT and @davidautor.
A new paper from David Autor (@davidautor), in collaboration with Neil Thompson (@ProfNeilT), makes an important contribution to explaining how AI is likely to impact labor markets. Based on a rigorous model, confirmed with an analysis of 40 years of data, they provide a nuanced
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