Hugh Osmond
@hughosmond
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43,455
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Restaurants, bars, once studied Medicine, investor in biotech and 10 years of working with actuaries. Not available when surf is good.
United Kingdom
Joined April 2013
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Pinned Tweet
Laws that make normal behaviour criminal, remove all freedom of choice and imprison people in their own homes should surely be resisted, regardless of the extent of any crisis.
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We've had 3 lockdowns, spent £370 billion that cannot now be spent on hospitals and schools, and damaged a generation of children. Why do Sage think a 4th lockdown and a few hundred billion more will achieve a better or different result?
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India Willoughby is a man. The end. More men need to support women in this fight.
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The problem for vaccines now is that everyone can see all around them that vaccinated people seem to be getting covid just as often and no less seriously than people who aren't jabbed. So vaccine and public health credibility is in tatters from evidence in front of people's eyes
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Switzerland just extended the period where post infection immunity is solid proof of immunity from 6 months to one year. They recognise the obvious fact that natural immunity is stronger and longer lasting than that provided by vaccines. Hello
@sajidjavid
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Rampant inflation is not result of the Ukraine war: it is result of dumb lockdown policies; dumb energy policies; dumb zero carbon policies; and ultra dumb extended money printing policies.
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For 3 year period March 2019 to now, Sweden has no excess deaths. Strongly suggests Covid only killed people who would have died anyway over this period. Suggests excess deaths in UK down to healthcare failures, lockdowns and non Covid causes.
@sajidjavid
@SteveBakerHW
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After 4 weeks of data in South Africa, it is found to be a mild disease; whether you are young or old, vaccinated or unvaccinated.
🚨🚨Please listen
Dr Angelique Coetzee of the South African Medical Association says TODAY
-
@TomSwarbrick1
@LBC
RT !
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Crowd of 70,000 watching England India in the stadium. Abandoned lockdown, no major vaccine program. Just gone back to normal.
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93% of all those who have died of covid in UK were over 60. Pretty much all the rest were being treated for serious prior medical conditions. All of these classes of people have now been offered the vaccine. If we are confident in the vaccine, it is time to open everything.
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Heating your house may cause a fire. Please protect the fire brigade this winter and freeze to death
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News: after unexplained 2 week delay, Court ruled our claim "academic" as would not be heard before 17th May. After the ruling, SAGE quietly released a report saying no evidence that UK hospitality venues were ever a major risk. A cover up.
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Without any irony, the Government now states that Covid symptoms are easily confused with those of hay fever or the common cold.
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If we don't bring in restrictions, we are worried that infections may fall without them....
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People continue to believe in lockdowns because it seems logical that reducing social interactions must work. But unfortunately most fatal infections originated in healthcare institutions, where lockdowns made no difference. This is at the heart of the big lie.
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30% of patients in hospitals actually first tested positive for covid more than 7 days after admissions. These are hospital acquired infections (not pubs, restaurants, clubs, shops, schools, parties, offices, etc)
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Matt Hancock summoned to High Court to justify opening shops before pubs
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If 100,000 uni students get infected, not a single one will die. If just 100 care home or hospital inpatients get infected, more than 20 may die. It is the failure to recognise this massive discrepancy that is at the heart of the total failure of western governments' responses.
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Sweden's no lockdown policy was a success; the Maldives are not underwater; UK GDP and £ have not plummeted after Brexit; unvaccinated communities did not all die of Covid. The fear-mongers have consistently been wrong.
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You cannot assume the worst case scenario for everything: every time you swim, you drown; every time you drive, you crash; every time it rains, you get struck by lightning; every time you eat, you get food poisoning; every time you get ill, it's fatal. Resist this thinking.
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Infections acquired in hospitals and care homes have led to around three times more fatalities than infections acquired in ALL OTHER SETTINGS PUT TOGETHER. Hospitality settings are irrelevant as sources of fatal infections.
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I was strong supporter of program to vaccinate the vulnerable. I will NOT support a program that attempts to coerce young people to be vaccinated against their will, when the evidence that benefits outweigh harms is unclear. If there is a legal challenge possible, I will back it.
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No politician or senior executive of NHS has the courage to own up and admit infection control in NHS is totally shit and has been for years; that NHS hospitals are hotbeds of Covid infections and have been the epicentres of the whole UK epidemic.
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I want to thank you for bankrupting 1/10 hospitality venues and costing UK £370 billion without actually achieving any health benefits, but causing immense damage to health and society.
I want to thank the extraordinary scientists and clinicians who provide the government and I with first class advice every single day.
You are a huge credit to our country.
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We will be issuing proceedings tomorrow against the Government. They said "data not dates". But they have relied on "fiction not facts". Directors of Public Health, House of Commons Committee, and Treasury's own research all agree that hospitality is not to blame for infections
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Perhaps the Medical Director of the NHS would like to explain why up to 60% of infections in December were actually acquired in an NHS hospital? Not in a pub, restaurant, shop, hotel, or anywhere in the community.
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Make no mistake: Covid testing is now a mega-billion dollar business worldwide. That's a lot of vested interest.
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It's obvious to everyone now that vaccines don't stop infections, so the concept of herd immunity via vaccination is dead. Which means vaccination of non vulnerable is pointless, wasteful and causing unnecessary divisions and strife.
@sajidjavid
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Just a reminder that SAGE forecasts were not just wrong, they were catastrophically, inter-galactically wrong. 67 million people deserve an apology and an explanation.
🚨🚨 Breaking - ONS deaths data for January shows actual deaths around 93% lower than the SAGE forecast if Boris did not introduce more restrictions.
➡️ They forecast 2,890 deaths per day as a central estimate - the reality was under 200 deaths per day
❌ Forecast failures
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If Delta is so bad, how come Indian cases have fallen from 400,000 mid May to 80,000 now? And don't tell me it's lockdown (ha ha go to India and check) or vaccines.
@BorisJohnson
@CMO_England
@MattHancock
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Why would everyone want 2 tests per week? What would it achieve? What would we learn? What would we do with the results? And tens of thousands of false positives would cause chaos and waste weeks of people's lives. Insanity.
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Close to 40% of hospital covid cases now infections acquired in hospital. We learn nothing!
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336 confirmed omicron cases in UK; none hospitalised. Not one
@sajidjavid
? So can we stand down on the panic and the extra measures before another swathe of the hospitality industry goes to the wall?
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Imagine if the Government spent £300 million on media showing continuous plane crashes, with bodies and wreckage and hundreds dead. Then they held an opinion poll asking the public if they backed more safety measures for airlines...
@SteveBakerHW
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Fact 1: CV19 seriously affects the very old and very ill, not the young and healthy. Fact 2: you find a lot of very old and ill people in care homes and hospital. Fact 3: Sage didn't consider this. Fact 4 lockdowns don't seem to reduce deaths. Conclusion: they totally screwed up.
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The middle aged comfortably off, with nice houses and secure jobs unaffected by lockdowns, preach to the young and the poor how they are being selfish not embracing restrictions that are trashing their livelihoods, their mental health and their futures. Who are the selfish ones?
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Maybe because he created jobs for tens of thousands of young people, built venues (using local British labour) where millions enjoy themselves every day, generated hundreds of millions in direct and indirect taxes that fund, amongst other things, NHS nurses. Enough?
Tim Martin (Wetherspoons boss) will receive a knighthood
Is anyone else confused as to why?
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Testing for covid has become a major industry and very profitable. A lot of vested interest in keeping it going and finding new things to test for. Very dangerous
@sajidjavid
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Deaths from Covid fell 4% over last seven days. Strangely this makes no headline.
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Less than 1% of all deaths last week were from Covid. Less than 1% of hospital beds are occupied by covid patients. >95% of the vulnerable are double vaccinated. It is now a disease affecting far fewer people than dozens of other medical conditions. We must live with it like flu.
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Half of "covid" patients now admitted to be not in fact covid patients. After nearly two years, truth keeps dribbling out.
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Liz Truss was a clumsy communicator but she didn't cause the gilts crisis. The real culprit was the Bank of England. We need a change of Governor.
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Every thinking human being knows Sharron Davies is right but many are too scared to say so. Let's all be braver and call out this rubbish wherever we see or hear it.
I’m so far down the rabbit hole of fighting injustice & misogyny in sport I’m past caring who says what about me anymore! Its a hill I’m prepared to die on after all my GDR years SO any company that I hear threatens athletes if they simply ask for fair sport I will name & shame!
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So we opened our restaurant for takeaway and (bottled) beers which people are taking for picnics in the gardens next door. We've had police, trading standards, parish council and all local busybodies. Are they protecting the NHS or just hating people having a nice time?
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Crap mathematical models enabled the financial crisis; crap mathematical models got every forecast of bird flu, swine flu and Covid completely wrong and caused disruption to the entire world; crap mathematical models are basis of destructive quest for Net Zero. Maybe bin models?
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The reason for lockdowns is not that they work. It is that they were dramatic public responses designed to convince the electorate that governments were acting decisively to address the perceived threat. Meanwhile, effective measures that should have been taken, were not.
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Let's be clear: the cost of Net Zero is higher cost to heat your home; higher cost of petrol and diesel; higher cost of food; higher cost of myriad essential manufactured goods. Meanwhile, the benefits are unknown, and entirely based on flawed theoretical models.
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The Government today asked the Court to refuse our request for expedition of our case. Mrs Justice Eady disagreed and the case will indeed be expedited as we had asked. Excellent news!
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Imagine standing up in the private sector or in sport and saying "well, we've tried this twice before and both times it's failed utterly; and lots of other people have tried it and it's failed utterly for them too...but we are going to try it again anyway. Rally round everyone!"
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We can categorically now say that lockdowns killed far more children than they conceivably could ever have saved.
🚨 Breaking
Deaths of more than 220 children in lockdown linked to abuse or neglect
191 serious incidents related to babies under 1 yr
NSPCC: “Stark figures highlight risk vulnerable children faced trapped at home”
@rwjdingwall
@UsforThemUK
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Nightclub bosses ready to take Government to court over Covid vaccine passports
@EssexPR
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Amount of testing in UK has ramped up massively. Positivity rate not so much. And hospitalisation rate lower. Totally manufactured panic.
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The split between covidians and sceptics was never about science or health; it was between those who believe the state should look after everyone and tell them what to do, and those who believe in freedom and that people should take responsibility for their own lives
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In 40 years of business I have found that the courts and UK legal system generally work and produce a fair result. So when a Judge directs that a case should be heard in the week commencing 19th April and it isn't, I find it worrying and disappointing.
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Council officials are having a ball inventing extra pointless rules for hospitality venues. None of them will save a single life, but they are royally pissing off customers and staff. Thanks
@BorisJohnson
@RishiSunak
@MattHancock
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The core of this entire epidemic has been infections acquired in hospitals and care homes. Community infections are not the cause of high fatalities. This is why community lockdowns make so little difference.
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Difficult to comprehend how Govt could accept a Sage recommendation for totally untried, unproven and unmeasurable action like lockdown, but reject a far more carefully and scientifically evaluated recommendation by JCVI not to use vaccines in children.
@CMO_England
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A massive, but often silent, majority know that men and women are biologically different, that biological men should not be allowed to compete in women's sport, use women's changing rooms or WCs, or be sent to women's jails.
Whereas it is a tiny, but vocal minority who try to…
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Zero Covid is like wanting zero colds, zero accidents, zero crime, or zero deaths. Not only unattainable but attempting it would be at an unimaginably high price to humankind. Viruses and bacteria are part of life.
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Cases are falling just as fast in countries where bars and restaurants are open
@BorisJohnson
This is persecution not science.
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80% of Covid hospital patients in June caught it while already in the hospital? 80%! And they want to delay full reopening of the hospitality? How about moving hospital patients into nice safe pubs instead?
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In 3-4 weeks time I believe it will be quite obvious the panic over omicron was once again complete and utter irrational nonsense hyped by the usual virtue signalling public health loonies. Just like last April. Meanwhile, we are all being royally screwed.
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There is zero sign of a "surge" in hospitalisations or deaths. Cases are of no relevance. NHS will not be overwhelmed- or at least not by Covid patients.
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Government consistently plays down the numbers who object to lockdowns. Media manipulation needs to be examined in Public Inquiry.
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As Sri Lanka collapses under absurd green policies, the Netherlands revolt against Net Zero also gathers momentum. Time to reject these childishly naive policies that assuage the faux guilt of comfortable liberals but bankrupt the poor.
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I have zero problem with vegans wanting to be vegan. I have a big problem with the increasing number of people who think they have the right to tell others what to do or how they should live.
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Sweden wins. Lockdown zealots lose. No compulsory lockdowns, society kept open throughout, no coercion to have vaccines. Sweden is the control against which other European countries should be measured.
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Boris is scared that a Public Inquiry will suggest he should have locked down sooner. But, done thoroughly, it will actually show that the entire epidemic has been centred around infections in hospitals and that lockdowns and community measures made little difference to outcomes.
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Threatening hospitality venues with compulsory vax passports and further lockdowns if they don't introduce them VOLUNTARILY? Anyone spot the contradiction?
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Anyone watching the total car crash in the Government debt (gilts) market should now realise it wasn't the unfortunate Truss who caused the problems. The useless Bailey and his merry men (and women) at the Bank of England have completely screwed up. Terrible analysis, hopeless…
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I keep watching this without quite believing what I see and hear...
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The Indian variant does not escape any of the vaccines. So there is zero reason it should be of concern. Psychological terrorism by Sage.
If the vaccine stops serious cases, then the NHS won’t be overwhelmed. Every time we unlock, SAGE become the prophets of doom and fill our media with fear. Behavioural scientists shouldn’t be anywhere near government policy. Life shouldn’t be lived in a controlled environment.
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The best Easter present I could have asked for: thank you to Mr Justice Swift (how apt) who seems agree that the hospitality industry is sufficiently important to ask the Government to work over the Easter weekend to respond to our claim by first thing Tuesday.
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Either vaccines work, in which case we can fully unlock. Or they don't, in which case we have to learn to live with the disease anyway. No other choices.
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It appears infection to symptoms in omicron is shorter - 2-4 days; and symptoms to admission averages <5 days. So lag in hospitalisations is half - yes half - what Harries claimed. That's massive misinformation.
@sajidjavid
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We are reaching the tipping point where the majority realise that most of the restrictions and measures are pointless and have no basis in science or evidence. Once this happens, non-compliance will take off and general disregard for laws will increase.
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Sir John Bell, regius professor of medicine at Oxford University: “…The long Covid thing has been slightly overblown and as soon as you start to do proper epidemiological studies, you find the incidence is much, much lower than people had anticipated…”
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The Sage modellers and advisers were too arrogant to listen to quality advice from South Africa. Time for them to be replaced.
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The idea that a 20-year-old who has 65 QALYs (Quality Adjusted Life Years) ahead of them is required to put that at risk to protect the 1 (or less) QALY of the 85-year-old stranger is fundamentally wrong at every level of ethics or morality.
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Get rid of all restrictions. Accept the problem was in healthcare institutions not in the community. Invest in infection control in NHS and care homes. Job done.
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BBC massively underplaying this as always. Hundreds of thousands are marching for freedom. Believe your eyes, not propaganda.
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Based on PHE and Sage data, I calculate that putting in place measures that had prevented just 10% of the total hospital acquired infections would have saved more lives than closing every school, university, pub and restaurant in the country.
@SteveBakerHW
@MattHancock
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The NHS is not overwhelmed and hospital occupancy is falling. End all restrictions now. And get children back to school after half term.
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The lockdown zealots are furious that Sweden has done so well. "If we'd tried this [obviously sensible and successful] policy in UK, it would have been a disaster" they claim, without any evidence or science behind their statements. Ugly petulant behaviour
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Sweden remains cancelled until death rates grow as demanded
Sweden's 7-day average COVID deaths have been at ZERO for about a month now.
I feel like its only a matter of time before the very existence of a place called Sweden is scrubbed from the internet.
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67 million people are still suffering major restrictions on their freedom and livelihood without any science or other justification. I don't give a shit about Boris's wallpaper.
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Caught and spread within hospitals and then exported into care homes: the true story of Covid gradually emerges.
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Sage models were fatally wrong. The only non-pharmaceutical intervention that would have significantly reduced death toll was better infection controls in hospitals and care homes. This would have been approx 1500x more effective than all other NPIs combined. Sage didn't model it
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Sad to say, Nadal's incredible victory after an amazing game does ring hollow, because nobody really thinks he would have beaten
@DjokerNole
They were playing for second place.
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Clinging on to the idea that lockdowns work despite the overwhelming evidence to the contrary will stop us learning the real lessons from the epidemic: we need to improve infection controls in NHS hospitals or we will get the same result next time.
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People laugh at supporters of Ivermectin, for which evidence is inconclusive, but then support lockdowns and vaccine passports, for which the evidence is zero. Curious.
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From the beginning, the epicentres of infections that led to severe illness were hospitals and care homes. But that could not be admitted. So hospitality has been the scapegoat and royally screwed. It's WMD - decisions affecting millions of people without any justifying evidence
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At some point those propagating deliberate misinformation to achieve lockdowns and restrictions on our freedoms need to be held to account. This is criminal fraud against the British people.
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The entire covid issue summed up in one article. Brilliant
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Children (and adults) already owed
@jk_rowling
a massive thank you for the Harry Potter books. Now they owe her an even bigger one for exposing the immense harm and abuse that has been inflicted on innocent young people by this appalling cult.
Absolute, total, shameless lies. Your ex-CEO referred children to the Tavistock gender clinic. Mermaids has repeatedly claimed puberty blockers are reversible, sent out breast binders to girls as young as thirteen and insisted publicly that unless children are affirmed in their…
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Patrick Vallance and
@CMO_England
saying they wish they had had better data from the beginning...Why? They generally ignore the data and just follow their hunches, prejudices and voodoo models.
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Yes please! And how about ensuring that there are some people in the Cabinet that understand science, maths and data?
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The covid response has cost the country £300 billion which is money that will not be available for investment in health, education, public services. For around £10 billion, we could build capacity for 100,000 "surge" beds available for annual flu or epidemics.
@sajidjavid
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