Explore tweets tagged as #ge2024
@LordAPolls Projected seat result for London on this poll: 🟢 Grn: 33 (+33) 🔵 Con: 12 (+3) 🔴 Lab: 9 (-50) ➡️ Ref: 9 (+9) 🟠 Lib: 6 (=) ⚪️ Oth: 6 (+5) +/- vs GE2024
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Have added GE2024-LE2025 results to the Council By-Election Page, as well as a pre-emptive tab for the LE2026-LE2027 results. https://t.co/kryy0Ms44D
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Updated Current House of Commons Map: LAB: 404 (-7) CON: 116 (-5) LDM: 72 (=) Independents: 13 (+7) SNP: 9 (=) RFM: 8 (+3) DUP: 5 (=) GRN: 4 (=) PLC: 4 (=) + 6 Others (+1), 7 Sinn Féin, 1 Speaker, 1 Vacancy. Changes w/ GE2024. https://t.co/CgZUcrFPC5
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🗳️#GE2029 projection – English seats: ➡️Ref: 27% (+12) 🔵Con: 19% (-7) 🔴Lab: 18% (-16) 🟢Grn: 17% (+10) 🟠Lib: 12% (-1) – Seats – ➡️Ref: 280 (+275) 🟠Lib: 73 (+8) 🟢Grn: 66 (+62) 🔴Lab: 60 (-287) 🔵Con: 58 (-58) +/- vs GE2024
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Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 28% (+13) LAB: 21% (-14) CON: 20% (-4) GRN: 12% (+5) LDM: 12% (-1) SNP: 3% (=) Via @GoodGrowthFdn - New BPC pollster! - 13-16 Feb. Changes w/ GE2024.
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My Seat Model: PLC: 17 (+13) RFM: 10 (+10) GRN: 2 (+2) CON: 2 (+2) LDM: 1 (=) LAB: 0 (-27) Changes w/ GE2024.
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📊 More In Common MRP Poll puts Reform UK on course for a political earthquake ➡️ RFM: 381 seats (+376) 31% 🥀 LAB: 85 (-326) 21% 🌳 CON: 70 (-51) 19% 🎗️ SNP: 40 (+31) 3% 🟡 LDM: 35 (-37) 11% 🌍 GRN: 9 (+5) 8% 🌼 PLC: 5 (+1) 1% Changes w/ GE2024 Is Britain ready for Reform? 🇬🇧
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Updated Current House of Commons Map: LAB: 404 (-7) CON: 116 (-5) LDM: 72 (=) Independents: 13 (+7) SNP: 9 (=) RFM: 8 (+3) GRN: 5 (+1) DUP: 5 (=) PLC: 4 (=) + 6 Others (+1), 7 Sinn Féin, 1 Speaker Changes w/ GE2024. https://t.co/CgZUcrFPC5
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‼️NEW | MRP projects Corbyn losing to Greens 🟢 Greens: 32% (+27) 🟥 Your Party: 28% (-21) Via @ElectCalculus / @FindOutNowUK, 7 April --- (+/- vs GE2024)
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‼️#GE2029 forecast for Yorkshire/Humberside: ➡️ Ref: 37 (+37) 🟢 Grn: 8 (+8) 🔴 Lab: 3 (-40) 🔵 Con: 3 (-6) 🟠 Lib: 2 (+1) ⚪️ Ind: 1 (=) Projection based on rolling average of polls🗳️ (+/- vs GE2024)
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Small changes made to seat model following the Gorton and Denton by-election Greens relationship to the Muslim votes has been increased slightly - based on vote result, polling, and the model slightly undercounting this originally. It was trained on GE2024 data and the voter
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Looking at the GE2024 results, this is in the constituency of East Thanet The wards that make up the Cliftonville division are roughly: Beacon Road + Cliftonville East + Cliftonville West (half) + Kingsgate GE2024 estimate across these wards: Labour: 37.8% Conservative: 26.6%
Cliftonville (Kent) Council By-Election Result: 🌍 GRN: 38.8% (+26.7) ➡️ RFM: 33.1% (-7.0) 🌳 CON: 15.2% (-4.5) 🌹 LAB: 10.4% (-11.6) 🙋 Ind: 1.3% (New) 🔶 LDM: 1.2% (-1.9) No Ind (-3.0) as previous. Green GAIN from Reform UK. Changes w/ 2025.
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Gorton & Denton By-Election Result: 🌍 GRN: 40.6% (+27.4) ➡️ RFM: 28.7% (+14.6) 🌹 LAB: 25.4% (-25.4) 🌳 CON: 1.9% (-6.0) 🔶 LDM: 1.8% (-2.0) 🎩 MRP: 0.4% ☑️ ADV: 0.4% 🇪🇺 REU: 0.3% 🗽 LBT: 0.1% 🔴 SDP: 0.1% ⚒️ CLG: 0.1% Green GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ GE2024.
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@LordAshcroft In a supreme irony, the SNP would turn the tables on Scottish Labour and win 92% of FPTP seats (67 out of 73) with just 39% of the constituency vote, a reversal of fortunes from GE2024 when Scottish Labour won 65% of MPs (37 out of 57) with just 35% of the vote.
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📊 Net change in council by-elections since GE2024: ➡️ REF +91 🟠 LD +24 🟢 GRN +8 🔵 CON +7 ⚪️ IND -37 🔴 LAB -91 [Open Council Data/@LeftieStats] #ReformUK #UKPolitics
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‼️#GE2029 seat nowcast | Greater London: 🔴 Lab: 24 (-35) 🟢 Grn: 19 (+19) ➡️ Ref: 14 (+14) 🔵 Con: 10 (+1) 🟠 Lib: 6 (-) 🟥 Your: 1 (-) ⚪️ Ind: 1 (+1) +/- vs GE2024
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📉 Labour’s collapse is accelerating. If the election were held tomorrow, they’d crash to just 54 seats (-357) - their worst share since 1910 Their slump has been almost uninterrupted since GE2024 & at this rate the Greens (33 seats) are on track to overtake Labour (54) soon
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Green + Reform vote in Gorton and Denton was +42.1% from GE2024 The combined votes for Lab + Con was 27.3%, down 31% from GE2024 This is probably the lowest combined Lab + Con score ever in a by-election, lower than Somerton and Frome 2023 and Bermondsey 1983
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Reform would be the most voted against party, closely followed by Labour 64% of Green GE2024 voters would vote against Reform, and 52% of Labour and Lib Dem voters 65% of Reform voters and 54% of Conservatives would vote against Labour via @Moreincommon_
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🗳️ Current #GE2029 seat estimate for London: 🔴 Lab: 22 (-37) 🟢 Grn: 17 (+17) ➡️ Ref: 15 (+15) 🔵 Con: 10 (+1) 🟠 Lib: 6 (=) ⚪️ Oth: 5 (+4) +/- vs GE2024
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