Announcement: Today PollCheck is releasing our Locals 2026 Coverage We've published ward-level predictions for every English council voting on 7 May. 37 councils are projected to change control. Labour is projected to lose over 700 seats, while Reform gains roughly that many

East Surrey Projection: Lib Dem: 25 Conservatives: 21 Residents' Association: 16 Independents: 3 Greens: 6 Reform: 1 Lib Dems 9 short of majority - any majority will likely need the cooperation of the Residents Associations of Epsom and Ewell, which has held control of the

Initial East and West Surrey Projections are up: West Surrey: Lib Dem: 39 Conservatives: 24 Independents: 7 Farnham Residents: 6 Labour: 6 Residents' Associations: 3 Reform: 3 Green: 2 LD 7 short of majority, Reform perform well in Addlestone after winning a by-election there

🚨The Wales Green Party have confirmed that the Party will be standing a full slate of candidates in each of the 16 constituencies in May's Senedd Election.

Lowest share for Reform from More in Common since July 2025, as per @LukeTryl Reform are now at 26% in the 7 poll average Worth noting they entered the 2025 Locals on 26%, meaning they could enter this years elections on virtually the same vote share as a year ago

Westminster Voting Intention: Reform UK: 27% (-1) Conservative: 20% (-1) Labour: 19% (-1) Liberal Democrats: 14% (+2) Greens: 12% (-1) Others: 4% (=) SNP: 3% (+3) Via: More in Common MOE: ±2.0% Field Work: 20 - 23 March changes w/ 13 - 16 March

YouGov Seat Projection for this poll: PC: 43 Reform: 30 Lab: 12 Green: 11 Con: 1

Senedd Voting Intention: Plaid Cymru: 33% (-4.0) Reform UK: 27% (+4.0) Labour: 13% (+3.0) Greens: 12% (-1.0) Conservative: 7% (-3.0) Liberal Democrats: 5% (=) Others: 4% (+2.0) Via: YouGov MOE: ±2.1% Field Work: 9 - 18 March changes w/ 13 January 2026

This is now live Check Council Control and by-elections by map, filter to region or authority type https://t.co/Y7WryhlnCF

Westminster Voting Intention: Reform UK: 23% (-2) Labour: 19% (+2) Greens: 18% (-1) Conservative: 17% (=) Liberal Democrats: 13% (-1) Via: YouGov MOE: ±2.0% Field Work: 22 -23 March changes w/ 15-16 March

Weekly Update: Labour and Greens are tied for third place Both Labour and Reform fell over the last 7 days, while Greens rose 2.3% At -45%, Starmer's approval has risen 3% since last week

Current 7 poll average: Labour and Greens are tied for third place Reform are down 2.7% over the last 30 days, while Greens are up ~4%

Westminster Voting Intention: Reform UK: 27% (-2) Labour: 21% (=) Conservative: 17% (+1) Greens: 15% (+1) Liberal Democrats: 12% (+2) Others: 5% (=) SNP: 3% (=) Plaid Cymru: 1% (=) Via: Opinium MOE: ±2.2% Field Work: 18-20 March changes w/ 4–6 March

New by-elections map tracker in progress

All info at

This represents aggregated regional sub samples from different pollsters Each pollster will break down support for each party into the regions respondents live. These are generally small samples of a few hundred and can have wide variance Here they've been averaged across

Locals 2026 Projection: Barnsley Reform: 30 (+30) Labour: 20 (-26) Lib Dems 11 (-1) Conservative: 0 (-1) Some thing to note here: Lib Dems are still likely to hold all 12 seats they have, their strong local presence in the 4 wards they control will be hard for Reform to

Greens also now lead 25-34, as well as 18-24 Reform leads all other age groups

In a 7 poll weighted average of sub samples, Greens are now second in London

Small subsample (226) but the latest Find Out Now poll has Greens leading in London