Explore tweets tagged as #NGDP
https://t.co/bq2uWYmqr1 The Treasury Yield Floor is Higher Than You Think Historically, the five-year nominal GDP growth rate has been a reliable anchor for the 10-year Treasury yield. Even when smoothing for pandemic volatility, trailing five-year average NGDP growth is
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Why the Pandemic Was an Accelerant, Not a Turning Point, by @NGDP_Advice
https://t.co/lxKAsW7CHu
@AaronSepulvedaC @EconstratPB
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Tal cual. El mini Rallo no explica por qué los BC de las potencias mundiales (🇺🇸🏴🇩🇪🇯🇵🇨🇦🇷🇺🇨🇳) no han adoptado el NGDP targeting: es inviable. Recomiendo el vídeo. ⬇️
El NGDPT puede ser una buena herramienta de análisis de coyuntura macro, pero como política monetaria es inviable. Además, mantiene varios errores teóricos (incluso resaltados por la propia Escuela Austríaca) o supuestos que no se suelen cumplir.
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The US Treasury 10 year rate is not rising but is going up to converge with the 10 year US risk free rate. as you would expect in slowing economy. the ignorance over curve and rates is crazeee. with inf staying at 3% - the drop of 1% in risk free reflects a drop of 1% in NGDP
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The Paradox of Reform Without Freedom: Minxin Pei’s Broken China Dream, by @NGDP_Advice
https://t.co/fv7X5jFwBR
@AaronSepulvedaC @EconstratPB
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※미국 명목 GDP(NGDP) 대비 'IT 장비 및 소프트웨어 투자'의 비중 변화를 1947년부터 최근까지 보여주고 있습니다. ○ 데이터의 핵심 메시지: "역사적 고점이지만, 여전히 미미함" 현재 상황 (빨간 박스): 최근 AI 열풍으로 인해 IT 투자가 급증하며 GDP 대비 약 4.5% 수준에 도달했습니다. 이는
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Why everything feels “unaffordable” despite strong NGDP growth
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Been a long time since I've done a US macro summary so you get it the night before FOMC. This chart shows how US debt, M2, CPI, NGDP, and wages grow over time on a YoY basis. Most notably NGDP and M2 growth have finally converged on 5%, just above wages.
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Real GDP probably grew about 4% last quarter and I’d guess NGDP probably 6-8%
The freight market is screaming recession. Not sure why the Fed isn't more concerned - the data is very clear.
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The unemployment rate, at 4.44% in Sept, has moved up by one tenth every month since June. The index of aggregate weekly payrolls (a good proxy for nominal income growth which correlates well with NGDP growth) was +4.7% YoY, and +4.4 over the last three months (annualized).
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Divisia Dreams and Capital Nightmares: Why Smart Monetarists Chose the Wrong Tool, by @NGDP_Advice
https://t.co/57TAsKRe9E
@AaronSepulvedaC @EconstratPB
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To my NGDP targeting friends: How much should NGDP increase per annum?
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Why is a country with a ppp gdp of $85,000 and an ngdp of $37,000 growing at 8%. What are they doing
De-risking works!!! 🇹🇼 Taiwan’s GDP increased by 8.63% in 2025, up from 5.27% in 2024. Since 2016, China has used heavy coercive tactics against Taiwan. Taiwanese invested domestically and SEA supply chain after cutting their losses in China, unlike Europe (UK and Germany)
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