Wow! I eagerly awaited this- an entirely new #PoliSci dataset to explore!

The pretty draft is now online (free)

From training schools and participatory labs to lectures and conferences, another academic year wraps up! A big thank you to everyone who joined us along the way. We wish you a restful summer break ☀️, and look forward to welcoming you back for our upcoming #EUPolSur events!

oh no

Currently in FirstView: In “Odd Profiles in Conjoint Experimental Designs: Effects on Survey-Taking Attention and Behavior,” @KCBansak and Libby Jenke consider how survey-takers respond to odd combinations of conjoint attributes.

⁉️In survey experiments, should you ask covariates before the treatment? ➡️@asdurso @TabithaBonilla & G.Bogdanowicz study the effects of placing sensitive items in different parts of the survey flow and offer guidance on optimal question order https://t.co/aaFbKMCeYt #FirstView

📈 SRC's @rnishimura will moderate 'Methods to Combine or Adjust Data to Improve Survey Estimates' at #AAPOR25 https://t.co/Ye0Q6xJS9n

Join us on the last session of @AAPOR's last day for a panel on the differences between Probability and Non-Probability samples, and its implications for survey research!

Partisanship of people 18-25, by gender, 1999-2025. Data from @gallup Social Series. It's remarkable how many attitudinal factors demonstrate thermostatic response.

Online survey data collection in its current form is cooked 🫠

Social science papers are too long. That's it.

The youth gender divide is real and important, but it can mask the fact that the populist right is gaining ground among young women as well as young men in many countries. AfD tripled their vote share among 18-24 year old men, but the same was true of young women.

I screamed with joy when I read William Easterly's reaction to my new book, "Raised to Obey: The Rise and Spread of Mass Education" (@PrincetonUPress) @bill_easterly writes:

🇬🇧🇪🇺 Published Today in EJPR 🇬🇧🇪🇺 @simonjhix @JuhoHarkonen and I find that 1/3 of the anti-Brexit shift in the UK can be attributed to the impact of cohort replacement (old voters dying, young people becoming eligible to vote)! 1/12 https://t.co/eX3O9f2GHv

May need to update this list of Trump studies papers: - Despite early impressions, Trump lost among low-income voters in 2016 - Clinton voters “report[ed] more economic distress than Donald Trump voters" according to @rp_griffin & @johnmsides - But economic hardship likely

I would be very happy if media stopped talking about surveys incessantly, and they started using alternative methods. Go use betting markets, LLMs, fundamentals. Bring that level of scrutiny to them. They will eventually fail; measuring human behaviour is hard, that is it.

Let's remember that the value of election polling is not just topline results. The obsession with using surveys to predict the future should not blind us of the real value of using them, for elections and beyond. Other prediction models tell us nothing beyond who will win.

We’re going to hear lots of stories about which people, policies and rhetoric are to blame for the Democrats’ defeat. Some of those stories may even be true! But an underrated factor is that 2024 was an absolutely horrendous year for incumbents around the world 👇

The Lumley book on surveys is so good! I hope the {survey} package has a longevity plan because I’m all in

No, survey evidence does not support the idea that Americans think political violence is ok ( https://t.co/Jtceux0pk3, https://t.co/lMValvQaG6) . No, there is not going to be a civil war in America after this election. And, for goodness sake, Texas isn't going to become a