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'So [this brings us] to the most important question - how do you know then these calls are being SOLD, or being BOUGHT, since the heart of the argument relies that calls have to be SOLD where dealers are long gamma in inventory? This is literally the alpha in how the Citadels

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I'm pretty sure that nobody, neither in crypto nor in tradfi, has this type of analytics. IBIT is now almost 50% of whole bitcoin options market. You'd better start looking there as well.

FOMC week just got spicy. Markets now pricing >90% chance of a -25bps cut. + PCE dropped to +2.8% YoY + ADP jobs: -32k (small biz getting crushed) → The Fed is cutting. The only question is how dovish Powell sounds. But the REAL alpha is what happens AFTER Powell… 🧵 A

1) BTC Put Skew remains elevated on account of enduring Dec 85+80k Put caution. But recently, despite sentiment, Xmas 100k+ target has grown in appetite via additional purchases of Dec 100k+ Call spreads, adding to last report's colossal Dec26 100k+ Call Condor play. FED awaits.

Markets are surging after the NY Fed hinted at a rate cut, boosting risk assets and easing BTC volatility. $100k is the key level to watch for a potential end-of-year crypto Santa Rally. Read the full Amberdata Derivatives Newsletter 👇 https://t.co/xCVBX1MBBc

Over 100k dormant BTC moved as coins untouched since sub $20k finally hit the market. The surprise is who bought the dip. Onchain data shows major buyers stepping in. The analysis breaks down who absorbed the supply & why it matters for the next phase: https://t.co/Wc6MpcGsaS

On October 6th, 2025 ATH was the most bearish ATH in Bitcoin history. Spot price was pushing new boundaries, but the options market was signaling an exhaustion for upside demand. A breakdown of the structural divergence and why I think we are in "TradFization" regime: 🧵👇

Crypto is bouncing! After the NY Fed signaled a likely rate cut, BTC is positioning for a potential end-of-year “Santa Rally.” $100k is the key level as volatility eases and options positioning heats up. https://t.co/MtCpZJoCd0

Weekly Derivatives Snapshot: Macro, Crypto & Credit The whispers around risk assets are getting louder. The "global debt supercycle," a theme flagged years ago, is showing early tremors. 🇯🇵 Japan’s yield curve is bear-steepening. Long-end bonds are selling off hard, while the

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1) In the last month, BTC Options market flows have front-run the market moves. Large entity Call selling, and heavy Put protection. The OF entity has mysteriously disappeared from view. The Put holders continue to TP but roll down notional, cautious of further downside. 🧵

1) BTC bottoming ~99k with strong support, triggered some heavy Call trading, but most of it was restructuring and low premium 1x2s; one long Call spread was exited without commitment. Some Puts were sold on the bounce, but for the most part remain in place. Govt reopening hopes.

BTC option flows: '...the largest OI changes remain Call selling and Put buying. Either Funds remain cautious or this is the new normal.' Tradfi tends to call over-write and put protect long AUM, and as BTC becomes more institutionalized, this is being observed more.

The Amberdata Engineering & Product teams are together in Lisbon! A full week of sharing domain expertise, aligning on what matters most, and diving deep into workflows, product priorities, & technical needs. Workshops, presentations, & product demos are helping us make data

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If there is a large dead body yet to rise to the surface from 10/10, there will by now be large firms that can see the blurred body image underwater. Whether Crypto or Tradfi, there are ways of identifying if large firms are struggling/hiding/mitigating/exiting. In my former

🚨 Rumors are swirling that Wintermute, one of crypto’s largest market makers, is preparing to sue Binance over losses from the October 10 crash and could be the reason for today’s Bitcoin price action. The flash crash wiped out $600B in crypto value in 30 minutes, triggering

Altcoin volatility has been broken for years. Amberdata’s Altcoin Volatility Surface Methodology delivers reliable, unbiased, and consistent estimates across altcoins. Written by @genesisvol + @SinclairEuan + @samchepal 🔎 Learn more:

Markets Are Turning Bullish & Here’s Why You Should Care 📝 Markets are shaking off the October volatility scare. President Trump’s Asia trip has reignited trade talks and boosted risk sentiment. Softer inflation readings and a potentially dovish Fed have traders eyeing a

Long live economic freedom 🇦🇷

Massive volume and open interest piling into the Nov 385C $CRCL calls. Earnings hit Nov 12th. Term structure inverted. Call wing pumping. Feels like someone knows something… 👀 Government funding… strategic angle? Source: Amberdata Derivatives @genesisvol

Gold is literally on fire. It’s outperforming equities, volatility is at a 15-year high (GVZ 31%), and investors are taking notice. In a year where stocks have rallied +13.5% YTD, gold’s resilience is hard to ignore. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has been weaker since October 10, largely