Erin Covey
@ercovey
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U.S. House Editor at @CookPolitical. Contributing author to @The_Almanac. Formerly @InsideElections, @NJHotline, @NPR, @CSPAN.
Washington, DC
Joined January 2016
Now that Indiana is off the table, the end result of all this mid-decade redistricting is likely to be a wash, with neither party netting seats. Assuming we get new maps in FL and VA that cancel each other out, the range of outcomes is about R+5 to D+4. https://t.co/iBEy1Nimga
cookpolitical.com
The Cook Political Report redistricting tracker is following developments in every state taking up redistricting, or considering it, over the next several months — as well as the gains that each...
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Democrats continued their streak of special election overperformances in Tennessee Tuesday night — but not by enough to pull off an upset. Read this analysis from @ercovey: https://t.co/A5MRjVPLqS
cookpolitical.com
Democrats continued their streak of special election overperformances in Tennessee Tuesday night — but not by enough to pull off an upset.Republican Matt Van Epps, an Army veteran and former state...
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A common misconception! Cook PVI measures the partisanship of the district relative to the nation as a whole — not the margin between the two parties in the past presidential election. So a district that Trump won, on average, by about 20 points in the past two elections, is R+10
Johnson on Van Epps winning special election in TN: Johnson: We’re excited about the win. A lot of people are not reporting that Cook rates that district as an R-plus-10. It’s not an R-plus-25. The President won it by 22 points. It’s actually rated to be a slightly Republican
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Sleigh the season with the most personal gift around. Get them a Cameo video!
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There’s two paths to the primary ballot in Utah: winning the support of enough delegates at the party convention or gathering 7,000 signatures. Filing deadline is Jan. 8
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The real competition will be in the primary. At least 3 Dems are taking a serious look at running — former Rep. Ben McAdams and state Sens. Nate Blouin and Kathleen Riebe. McAdams would be well-funded but had one of the most conservative records of any Dem in Congress 5 years ago
New @CookPolitical: new court-ordered Utah map moves #UT01 from Solid R to Solid D. Full analysis by @ercovey:
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New @CookPolitical: new court-ordered Utah map moves #UT01 from Solid R to Solid D. Full analysis by @ercovey:
cookpolitical.com
Democrats notched another win in the mid-decade redistricting wars in Utah late Monday night, when a district judge approved a new congressional map with a solidly blue district.
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Prop 50 passed by a comfortable margin, codifying a freshly-gerrymandered congressional map. As a result of the new district lines, we move 11 ratings — all but one shifting in Democrats’ direction. Read this from @ercovey: https://t.co/33C2FDV3jG
cookpolitical.com
California voters have passed Proposition 50 by a comfortable margin, codifying a freshly-gerrymandered congressional map for the rest of the decade.The passage of this new map — which is designed to...
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My weekend column: House Rs have advantage in redistricting wars. Despite that hype, @CookPolitical & @InsideElections only rate it as a net +6-9 seats. If this is '20-'22-'24, that can help. But if '26 reverts to normal midterm, that will be like lipstick on political pig ...
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AI is reshaping energy demand, and we’re ready. Our Chairman & CEO Mike Wirth shares how we’re powering the future.
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TONIGHT! If you’re in DC, come see me, @JMilesColeman, @ercovey, and @bridgetbhc talk about the upcoming off-year elections! Details and RSVP in next tweet.
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Trump would've carried the new NC-01 by 12 points. Would be quite difficult for Davis to win reelection if this map goes into effect. The new NC-03 — which now includes Davis' home, Greene County — isn't much worse for Dems. Trump won it by 14 in 2024. https://t.co/EuSLdLZrXK
Newly proposed #ncga Congressional redistricting map just dropped. Looks like it swaps a few counties in the east to make NC-1 into a district where Trump got 55% last year, while moving Rep. Don Davis' home county into GOP Rep. Greg Murphy's district #ncpol
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Unfortunate to see what happened to sports coverage and its near-total subjugation to betting markets replicated here. If you actually want to know what's going on with the battle for the House there are really great reporters and analysts you can follow and read:
Democrats' chance of taking the House in 2026 have plummeted, while GOP chances have skyrocketed over the last 6 months... Why? 1. Dems aren't keeping up with the pace they set in 2017 on the generic ballot. 2. GOP may be looking at big gains from mid-decade redistricting.
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Join us in Washington for a conversation decoding what this fall’s state elections might reveal about the nation’s political climate. Moderated by IDJC Visiting Fellow @baseballot, he'll be joined by @bridgetbhc, @JMilesColeman and @ercovey. 📧RSVP: https://t.co/gS5G7O86yR
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#NEW: The new Utah congressional map has passed the Utah House and Senate and now goes to Governor Cox for signature. https://t.co/yLcYRnN6gz
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another round of redistricting would mean North Carolina will have used 6 different congressional maps in the past decade
! 'Top Republican North Carolina state Senator Phil Berger is expected to accept an endorsement from President Donald Trump in his 2026 primary challenge in exchange for redrawing congressional maps, several sources told CBS 17 on Thursday.' https://t.co/Ueyp6rzbup
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New @CookPolitical: our rundown of redistricting possibilities in each state, by @ercovey. Bottom line: a GOP net gain of 5-8 seats from new maps seems most likely, with CA & FL the biggest variables.
cookpolitical.com
The Cook Political Report redistricting tracker is following developments in every state taking up redistricting, or considering it, over the next several months — as well as the gains that each...
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BREAKING: Judgement released on Utah redistricting case over Congressional boundaries ruling in favor of Plaintiffs including LEAGUE OF WOMEN VOTERS OF UTAH, MORMON WOMEN FOR ETHICAL GOVERNMENT Judge states, "The Legislature is directed to design and enact a remedial
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We’ll wait until a map is enacted to update our race ratings. But here’s an early look at how the battle for control of the House might play out in Texas next year under these new lines. Read more from @ercovey: https://t.co/ZCP6wTL4y4
cookpolitical.com
At first glance, Republicans have drawn a Texas congressional map giving them five promising pickup opportunities in the Lone Star State next year — without endangering any sitting Republican...
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A must-read by @ercovey on how many seats the GOP could realistically draw for themselves in TX. https://t.co/812Wbl8mcq
cookpolitical.com
More than 20 years ago, Republicans took control of five U.S. House seats in Texas after dramatically redrawing the state’s congressional map. The mid-decade redistricting plan, orchestrated by...
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In the #txlege proclamation, Abbott references a DOJ letter about "constitutional concerns" related to certain congressional districts -- TX 9, 18, 29, 33. Here's the letter: "It is the position of this Department that several Texas Congressional Districts constitute
New: Flood response, THC regulation, Congressional redistricting on the 89(1) call from @GregAbbott_TX. #txlege
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