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(((Harry Enten))) Profile
(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten

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Son of a man who was far from perfect, but I loved him anyway. Host of CNN's Margins of Error, a podcast about statistical stories. https://t.co/9MdpDsMxJd

I trust no living human, but I do trust the polls.
Joined April 2010
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
7 years
Let's start a cute dog thread. Whose got a pup photo they wanna share?.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
47 minutes
This one surprised me a bit, but Americans say Democrats cannot hack it on foreign policy. The GOP holds a 6 pt lead in July on who is more trusted. The same as Trump's lead over Harris in 2024. Also, net approval of the U.S. airstrikes on Iran has risen & is now at a +2 pt.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
20 hours
What a tremendous country we live in. I just purchased three A&W Ice Cream Sundae Zero Sugar. (You can see in the cart below.) . There will be a review of this product in the upcoming days.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
3 days
Trump's drop w/ indies is his biggest danger sign. There seems to be no bottom. He owns the worst net approval w/ indies 6 months into a presidency (-29 pt), beating his own record. Wave adios to the GOP House majority if his net approval on inflation w/ indies (-45 pt!) holds
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
4 days
Reality Check: Trump hates South Park, but Google searches for it are up 670%! It was the most searched topic with Trump this afternoon. And unlike what Trump said, South Park's still popular. It's a top 20 streaming show! . Also, many GOPers like the show (unlike Colbert).
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
4 days
As a soda expert, I think this whole thing about people preferring cane sugar coke to corn syrup is a crock of baloney. We need blind test tastes. I conducted one. My focus group preferred corn syrup Coke to cane sugar Coke. People prefer the idea of sugar, not the taste.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
5 days
A new low for Trump, as the USS Donald Trump takes on a lot of water. His net approval has dropped 17 pt since January to -11 pt now. Underwater on all major issues from immigration (-5 pt) to Epstein (-37 pt). Only presidency with worse ratings at this point? Trump term 1.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
10 days
Jeez louise, Musk's 3rd party looks close to dead on arrival. He's suffered a 66 pt drop in his net favorable since entering the politics scene. At a -37 pt net fav now!. With the GOP, he's down 55 pts in just 4 months to just a +6 pt net fav. 74% oppose a Musk-led 3rd party!
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
11 days
X isn't real life. Post-Epstein saga, Trump's approval with the GOP (~90%) may actually be slightly up. He's at/or near his apex w/ the GOP. How? Just 1 respondent said Epstein was the top problem facing the U.S. Cong Dems, OTOH, are at their worst standing with Dems ever.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
12 days
Reality check: Dems are way behind their 2006 & 2018 pace on the generic ballot at this point in the cycle. Ahead by only 2 pt vs. 7 pt in 2006/2018 cycles. Seat-by-seat analysis actually reveals more GOP pickup opportunities than Dems! Very much unlike 2006 & 2018 at this pt.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
13 days
Re: Epstein, Trump's election success has been dependent on conspiracy believers. Doesn't win 2024 without QAnon believers. Led 'em by 61 pt. Lost others by 16 pt. '24 primary: Led with 67% with those who said Biden's 2020 win wasnt legit. Was at 16% with those who said it was
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
14 days
The word to describe Trump's net approval on immigration "oof". Ranging from "horrible" (-27 pt) to "bad" (-7 pt), he's lost a ton of ground on what was his best issue. Could be a reason Trump's overall net approval among Hispanics has fallen: -2 pt in Feb to -26 pt in June.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
17 days
The Trump admin's handling of the Epstein files has been a massive unforced error. Trump may wish it goes away, but Google searches for Epstein are up 1,200% this week. It's the top topic searched with Trump today. More have Googled Epstein this week than Grok or tariffs.
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(((Harry Enten)))
18 days
Climate activists have failed to make the case on climate change. Despite all the bad weather, just 40% of Americans are greatly worried about climate change. The same as in 2000. The % who worry about being a natural disaster victim has dropped from 38% in 2006 to 32% now.
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(((Harry Enten)))
19 days
What do you think of the TSA allowing shoes to be kept on at airport security? Polls say most will like it. -59% agreed airport security is too much of a hassle.-Just 26% said removing shoes at security was a very effective security measure (ranked last on this measure)
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
20 days
Why does Trump delay tariffs? Voters feel about them the way they felt about New Coke: love em in theory & hate em in practice. Trump's disapproval on trade has rocketed up from 40% in January to 54% now. Last tariff war in April saw Trump's net approval drop 6 pts in 2 weeks.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
21 days
A Musk-led 3rd party makes as much sense as selling sand in the desert. Such a 3rd party's base is calculated to be just 4% (i.e. voters who like Musk & dislike the GOP). 3rd parties have won just 0.2% of all races for Congress. Musk would most likely be a spoiler to the GOP.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
24 days
On this July 4th, Democrats who are extremely/very proud to be American has fallen through the floor to a record low of 36%. Down from 80% in 2015. This is driven by Gen Z Dems of whom just 24% are proud to be American. Meanwhile, 92% of the GOP are proud to be American.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
26 days
Re: Mamdani & Israel, Democrats are longer pro-Israeli when it comes to the Israeli/Palestinian conflict. Dems sympathized more with Israelis by 13 pt in 2017. Now, it's Palestinians by 43 pt. Among Dems under 50, it was Israelis by 14 pt in 2017. Now, Palestinians by 57 pt.
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(((Harry Enten)))
27 days
GOP voters love for Trump is record breaking. His strong approval (63%) is up like a rocket from term 1 (53%). It's higher than any GOP prez on record at this pt. 95%+ of those Trump endorses win primaries. When you mess with Trump, you go in the grinder to quote Good Burger.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
28 days
3 adjectives for how Americans feel about the Big Beautiful Bill: awful, horrible, & to quote Sir Charles Barkley "terrible, terrible, terrible". Net favorables of the bill range from -19 pt to -29 pt in June polls. 49% say the bill will hurt their family. 23% say it'll help.
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