Amrit Vignesh
@avsportsanalyst
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Sports Analytics Enthusiast | ORFE @Princeton '28
Sanford, Florida, USA
Joined November 2023
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Pinned Tweet
I am glad to announce that I will be committing to
@Princeton
as part of the Class of 2028! Thanks to everyone who has gotten me to this point and I cannot wait for an exciting four years in the beautiful city of Princeton, New Jersey!
@ApplyPrinceton
#college
#commitment
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I made a ShinyApp relating to how "true" of a fan you are based on distance to teams you support!
ShinyApp link:
GitHub link:
Please repost for reach, thank you!
(Below is based on where I grew up - Lawrenceville, NJ)
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Was a great experience at the
@sabr
analytics conference this weekend! Was able to talk to professionals and view great research!
Thanks to
@vincegennaro
,
@scott_bush
, and
@scarter19
for making this possible!
#baseball
#sports
#analytics
#sabermetrics
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Glad to announce that my paper on quantifying NFL QB aggressiveness has been published in the
@Wharton
Sports Analytics Journal
#sportsanalytics
#research
#datascience
#statistics
#journal
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If you want to start making projects in sports analytics, no matter what sport, gotta check out by
@mfbanalytics
with tutorials from
@tejfbanalytics
and
@arjunmenon100
. Genuinely great and informative
#football
#sports
#analytics
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Officially graduated yesterday night from Seminole High School in Sanford, FL 🎓
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AYOE: Air Yards Over Expected
Filtered to QBs With 100+ Pass Attempts In 2023 From Week 1 to 11; Trained Data from 2014 - 2020; Tested Data from 2021 - 2023
Essential Part Of This Is That The Receiver Skill Is Accounted For
#sportsanalytics
#footballanalytics
#nfl
Details ↓
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Not sports related but glad to receive valedictorian of my school!
#academics
#school
#valedictorian
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Forgot to post here but I am glad to join
@CS_Eval
this summer as an AIDP Analytics Intern! Thanks to
@jstack05
,
@codingtyty
, and the rest of the team for the opportunity!
#sports
#analytics
#datascience
#statistics
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NBA FGPOE (Field Goal Points Per Game Over Expected)
Trained Data from 2021 - 2023 to Test 2024 So Far. XGBoost With Situational Factors. Tells A Lot About Scoring Efficiency.
#basketball
#sportsanalytics
#nba
#datascience
#statistics
Please repost
Details ↓
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After November 3, we see Luka Doncic leading the pack for the NBA MVP award as he has led the Mavericks to a 4-2 record with great base and advanced statistics! This model is based on training data from 1980 - 2023 with the correlation between statistics and the award reception.
Our new
@Hofflytics
Predictive Analyst,
@amrit_vignesh
has forecasted his current
#NBA
MVP award winner!
Leading the pack is
#Mavericks
Luka Doncic (+430) and trailing right behind him is
#Nuggets
Nikola Jokic! (+340)
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Thought it would be cool to make a decisions video on YouTube so you can check out my very poorly edited college decisions video on YouTube here:
#college
#decisions
#reactions
#school
#education
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Happy to be presenting at the 2024 OSU sports analytics conference, thanks to
@RyanRuddy6
!
#sports
#analytics
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Thought it would be fun to make a reverse MVP ranking.
Players considered played at least (65/82) of the max games played by a team player with at least 20 minutes in them
#nba
#basketball
#sportsanalytics
#datasci
#stats
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Visualization of 2023 QBs with >= 250 Pass Attempts Between Their Efficiency (EPA/Play) and Aggressiveness (aDOT Over Expected)
aDOT over Expected itself incorporates receiving epa for targeted receiver so the negative relationship makes sense
#nfl
#football
#sportsanalytics
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Was happy to present at the OSU Sports Analytics Conference earlier today by
@OhioState
! Thanks to
@RyanRuddy6
,
@JohnDDraper
, and other members of the team once again!
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My guy
@reece_ca1vin
Always great to see our former
@sabr
interns return to present their own research at
#SABRanalytics
. Congrats to
@reece_ca1vin
on a terrific presentation today on optimizing lineups with ball tracking data!
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Creating an Expected Points Metric in the NFL Using a Markov Chain and Comparing to the XGBoost Metric Based in the NFLVerse Library.
GitHub and Other Write Ups In the Thread Soon
#nfl
#football
#footballanalytics
#sports
#analytics
#datascience
#statistics
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Looking at FC Barcelona midfield playstyles using advanced clustering techniques over Messi's span there
#soccer
#football
#sports
#analytics
#datascience
#statistics
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Generating Adjusted EPA/Play's (Offense + Defense) For 2023 NFL Season And Creating a Strength of Schedule Ranking Out of It
Write-ups will be available soon through LinkedIn and Medium below
#nfl
#football
#sports
#analytics
#datascience
#statistics
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It's funny to see how the people who hate on analytics in sports don't know anything about how it works. "It doesn't consider context" - yes it does. Analytics people understand that it isn't perfect - it also has become the one to target as a result of hindsight bias
#sports
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Predicted vs Actual NBA Positions
Trained Data From 2015 to 2021, Tested from 2022 to 2024. Used Primary Position Only. Few Interesting but Not Surprising Results Outlined in Details
#basketball
#nba
#basketballanalytics
#sportsanalytics
Please repost and details below ↓
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Along with
@VarunRaman2205
, we created an "Analytical Big Board" rating for 2024 NFL Draft QB prospects.
Methodology and reason for why some of these might seem crazy in the thread
#football
#nfl
#cfb
#college
#analytics
#sports
#datascience
#statistics
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Determining Pitch Arsenal Versatility and Comparing to Pitch Quality/Proficiency
#baseball
#mlb
#sportsanalytics
#sabermetrics
#baseballanalytics
#datascience
#statistics
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There is a misconception about statistics in sports.
You MUST pair the statistics with context when evaluating an entity in sports. You also do need to add the factor of "eye test" even though it has a subjective nature.
#statistics
#sportsanalytics
#sports
#datascience
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Looking at a new "expected points" metric in the NHL
This includes also looking at individual progressions through the season.
Write up will be in the LinkedIn link below which I will post as soon as possible
#hockey
#nhl
#sports
#analytics
#datascience
#statistics
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uconn won yeah maybe because they have four top 15 players
#marchmadness
#college
#basketball
#sports
#analytics
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Check out this podcast episode I was part of along with
@AsaArnold4
So glad we were able to talk about free agency and analytics in such a crazy day
#football
#nfl
#sports
#analytics
#podcast
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Clustering NFL QBs On Stylistic Traits Solely and Analyzing Change Between 5 Years
You can see this for more QBs in the github below
#football
#nfl
#sportsanalytics
#sports
#datascience
#statistics
#football
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Was an unbelievable experience at the CMU Sports Analytics Conference headed by Carnegie Mellon University Statistics & Data Science,
@Stat_Ron
,
@stat_sam
, others. Was able to talk to the most successful gambler of all time, Bill Benter.
#sportsanalytics
#cmsac
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Was a great experience!
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And also my Least Valuable Player 🤣 (if they meet the MVP voting requirements)
#nba
#basketball
#mvp
#sports
#analytics
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Big moves by
@ericeager_
Panthers plan to hire SumerSports VP Eric Eager in an analytics role, per league source.
Eager worked for Pro Football Focus prior to SumerSports, a startup in 2022 (that also employs Thomas Dimitroff) aimed at helping NFL teams in player acquisition and roster management.
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A little late, but you can land your bets on Luka winning MVP and Hughes winning the Norris Trophy
#nba
#basketball
#nhl
#hockey
#sports
#analytics
#datascience
#statistics
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Graduating today so wanted to show off the grad cap (my whole personality is sports quite clearly)
#graduation
#sports
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Clustering NBA Players Based on Shot Tendencies And Looking at Progression from 2015 to 2024:
GitHub that will be commented below shortly has all players eligible (top 100 in attempts per year)
#basketball
#nba
#sportsanalytics
#datascience
#statistics
#basketballanalytics
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2023 Formula One TSOE (Turn Speed Over Expected) in KM/H with Turn Situational Factors
Just want to preface possible lack of accuracy (you cannot directly associate turns with telemetry data)
Thanks to
@BrotoFFCasanova
and
@pbulsink
for f1dataR
#f1
#formulaone
#sportsanalytics
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This really helped me in understanding Markov Chains and its applications better
Last week I got to present my work on lineup simulations at the
@SABR
analytics conference. If anyone wants to check it out, here’s a link the repo.
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NHL TOE (Turnovers Over Expected)
Used XGBoost Incorporating Usage And Giving Probability Of Turnovers.
If there is a way to get transparent NHL headshots, please let me know
#sportsanalytics
#nhl
#hockey
#datascience
#statistics
#hockeyanalytics
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As we approach the end of the season, let's see how my old MVP model pans out
#nba
#mvp
#basketball
#sports
#analytics
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OUR SCHEDULE IS AVAILABLE!
We are BEYOND EXCITED to share the program for
#MSAM2023
and once you decide you LOVE the schedule of talks/posters, be sure to register at .
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Dream job when I’m older
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According to by
@kmedved
, Anthony Edwards is predicted to have the largest amount of years remaining.
#nba
#basketball
#sportsanalytics
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Was glad to present two today!
A research group (including
@potsy
) from
@SyracuseU
and
@UofNorthGeorgia
talking on "Formula One vs. IndyCar: Determining the World's Fastest Auto Racing Format" at
#MSAM23
.
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Was great to partake in this podcast!
Episode 15 is out now! Joined by a rising star in the analytics community
@avsportsanalyst
check out the episode for a great conversation discussing the new free agency signings, analytics in new sports, and a fun Baker Mayfield debate!
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For reference, this model prioritizes wins a lot becuase I used PCA (principal component analysis) to reduce the dimensionality of most of the metrics into one value except things like wins
#football
#nfl
#americanfootball
#sportsanalytics
Our predictive analyst
@avsportsanalyst
, has updated his
#NFL
MVP award rankings…
As it stands,
#Eagles
quarterback Jalen Hurts took over 1st place followed by
#Lions
Jared Goff, and
#Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes… this model is based off “basic” advanced statistics from 2007!
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2023 IPL Win Probability Added Insights
Calling for improvements in this model (currently uses simple factors with ball-by-ball data with 80:20 split)
#ipl
#cricketanalytics
#cricket
#sportsanalytics
#datascience
#statistics
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The way to go:
Look at the stats
Then see if the eye test justifies them
If not, then don’t rely on that stat purely
#sports
#sportsanalytics
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Predicted positions for 2022/23 & 2023/24 Premier League Players.
Two out-of-position players include Matt Doherty (predicted CF as a RB) and Tino Livramento (predicted LW as a RB)
#football
#soccer
#sports
#analytics
#datascience
#statistics
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To be fair, footy statistics suck in terms of fully capturing impact. Clearly did not capture foden’s impact on city (or maybe my boy Cole Palmer was robbed)
#premierleague
#soccer
#football
#analytics
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Happy to have been accepted to present a poster at the UConn Sports Analytics Symposium led by
@bmacGTPM
,
@statsinthewild0
, and
@jyanstat
!
#sports
#sportsanalytics
#nfl
#football
#UCSAS
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@NathanG1904
@ftblnl
@4lex_mcfc
It’s essentially based on values on a pitch which is generated based on past data. So essentially, if you move from one section of pitch to another through a pass or carry you’re generating a higher probability of the sequence ending in a goal
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2023-24 CBB Naismith Basketball Player of the Year Award Probability
Used cbbdata in R by
@andreweatherman
Logistic Regression with Naismith Stats, Using Team Strength Stats, More Details Below
#cbb
#collegebasketball
#sportsanalytics
#datascience
#statistics
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@Hoops_Nerd
And yeah, eye test shouldn’t be used when you’re making sports analytics projects it’s more about using it when you evaluate players if you do it for fun
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@tejfbanalytics
nflfastR is so detailed it’s crazy, compared to like nbastatR for nba and a lot of the other sport databases
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I was glad to present at the Princeton Wintersession for the workshop "R U Ready For Some Football? Computationally Modeling the NFL?"
Follow Up Post will include Video Presentation Link + Findings
#football
#nfl
#footballanalytics
#sportsanalytics
#datascience
#statistics
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I analyzed midfielder performance in the 2022-23 season for the Big 5 Leagues comparative to all other midfielders in five different categories using PCA. I showed 5 midfielders from each league for demonstration, thread is below, Prem first
#football
#sportsanalytics
#soccer
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As the 2024 version of the Indian Premier League starts soon, just wanted to repost my results for my Win Probability Added model to measure impact in last year's IPL!
(Credit to
@TAlbTree
for the headshot + logo data)
#cricket
#ipl
#analytics
#sports
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Big 5 Leagues GCAOE (Goal-Creating Actions Over Expected) Based On Passing, Progression, Defense Advanced Stats
Shoutout to
@analyticsavi
for some inspiration on using FBRef data with his Blocks Over Expected Model
#football
#soccer
#sportsanalytics
#datascience
#statistics
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Some of my thoughts for anyone entering the college application process!
#college
#admissions
#applications
#decisions
#highschool
#advice
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Two different NFL QB-MVP models. One uses pure statistical inputs with CJ predicted as MVP, while the other condenses most of the statistics using principal component analysis (prioritizing wins) and has Hurts as MVP.
#football
#nfl
#sportsanalytics
#footballanalytics
#datasci
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Similarity metric describing how similar players on the "most used" lineup per NBA team are to each other as a whole team
The GitHub will have a plots folder where you can analyze the visualization for all NBA teams
#nba
#basketball
#sports
#sportsanalytics
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NBA PLAYOFFS UPSETS FROM 2019 to 2023 (EXCLUDING 2020)!
#nba
#basketball
#sports
#analytics
#playoffs
#upsets
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@ASchatzNFL
Manning in the 04-06 stretch is the best 3-year peak of all time (with 04 being the best peak)
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Glad to be working with Praful Upadhyay,
@jaredmarko1
, and Koi Stephanos on the
#NFLBigDataBowl
2024 submission!
#football
#nfl
#footballanalytics
#sportsanalytics
#datascience
#statistics
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Those who are putting the blame on Josh Allen are delusional football fans (credit to
@SumerSports
@ericeager
@tejfbanalytics
)
#football
#nfl
#sportsanalytics
#footballanalytics
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Validating the deserved Jayden Daniels Heisman win, will elaborate on more details below
#cfb
#collegefootball
#statistics
#sportsanalytics
#footballanalytics
#datascience
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@KingZero___
@UsherNBA
It’s an XGBoost model so I use a lot of factors like type of shot, distance, position on court, time left, etc.
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Updated one of my old award prediction models for the Naismith Player of the Year in college basketball just before the start of March Madness!
#college
#basketball
#cbb
#sports
#analytics
#datascience
#statistics
#marchmadness
#naismith
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Glad to announce that I have successfully completed my
@OrlandoCitySC
internship as a soccer analyst intern!
#PrideOfOrlando
#soccer
#socceranalytics
#sportsanalytics
#datascience
#statistics
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For reference, the teams and players I support are:
NFL: Eagles
NBA: 76ers and KD
MLB: Phillies
NHL: Flyers
Footy: Chelsea/Barca and Messi
Cricket: India/CSK
Tennis: Djokovic
F1: Bottas
However, sports analytics is all about objectivity so no bias
#sportsanalytics
#sports
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His rise to the league is unbelievable, leading in so many advanced statistics. Think I will need to update my MVP model because he has to be up there probably top 3
Hali is averaging 25-4-12
Shooting 52/46/92
He ranks 1st in APG, AST%
4th in PER, 9th in TS%, eFG%
4th in WS, 1st in oWS, 3rd in WS/48
3rd in BPM, 1st in oBPM, 5th in VORP
4th in EPM, 1st in oEPM
+21.6 on/off diff.
In terms of statistical ridiculousness, he’s guard Jokic
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Alperen Sengun effect
The 8-6 Houston
#Rockets
look to take on the Mavericks today.
The xWins metric is projecting them to finish 7th in the Western Conference with 45 wins.
- Dropped to 2nd in DRTG behind the Wolves
- 5th in NET RTG
- 2nd in Opponent's eFG%
- 28th in Opponent Free Throw Rate
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In relation to my most recent post, you can view my full graduation speech here:
#graduation
#highschool
#valedictorian
#speech
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@UsherNBA
Think I got Julius Randle as the worst, realized that the metric I made can def tell a lot about scoring efficiency
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Some sports analytics summer internships:
FC Cincinnati -
New York Jets -
Tampa Bay Rays -
Dallas Cowboys -
#sports
#sportsanalytics
#datascience
#statistics
#internships
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2023 MLB Pitcher SROE (Strike-to-Pitch Ratio Over Expected)
Uses XGBoost Model Training From 2021 to 2022 With A Variety of Factors With The Prediction of Each Strike As A Probability
#baseball
#sabermetrics
#sportsanalytics
#datascience
#statistics
#baseballanalytics
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@jz2016cubs
As a Phillies fan, I disagree. His FIP and ERA difference shows how much his defense hurts him. I like to think it as he is able to do the hard stuff by generating strikeouts, and as long as his defense improves the base ERA numbers will as well
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My first sabermetrics project was simple but essentially I just saw wOBA across defensive positions to see if there was some significant differences.
#sabermetrics
#baseballanalytics
#baseball
#mlb
#sportsanalytics
#datascience
#statistics
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He saved an unanimous season from a mediocre MVP season
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Tiers of quarterbacks based on clustering done with different advanced stats such as efficiency-based ones
Presentation Link:
#football
#nfl
#sportsanalytics
#footballanalytics
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2023/24 NBA FGPOE (Field Goal Points Over Expected) Updated After 1/29
Please repost for reach!
#nba
#basketball
#sportsanalytics
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2023-24 NBA FGPOE (Field Goal PPG Over Expected) Metric Leaders
#basketball
#nba
#sports
#sportsanalytics
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High schoolers in sports analytics 🔛🔝
After two year, my baseball analytics research paper was published!!!!
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@Hoops_Nerd
@jeremydumalig
Still way too arbitrary, I don’t know whether a pure formulaic statistic can solve that but a model will be better
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A little late, but you can land your bets on Luka winning MVP and Hughes winning the Norris Trophy
#nba
#basketball
#nhl
#hockey
#sports
#analytics
#datascience
#statistics
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Interested to see how their performance throughout the 2020s decade ends up, Jokic clearly has the steepest positive slope and its supported by other basic stats, advanced stats, eye test, and success.
@kmedved
@anpatt7
#basketball
#basketballanalytics
#sportsanalytics
#nba
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Sheffield United is getting outplayed everywhere on the pitch and is also having the lowest xG/highest xGA. They're not last but they are genuinely the worst team in the Prem.
@OptaAnalyst
#premierleague
#football
#sportsanalytics
#footballanalytics
#soccer
#socceranalytics
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