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Aaron Schatz 🏈 Profile
Aaron Schatz 🏈

@ASchatzNFL

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Chief Analytics Officer @FTNFantasy. Creator of DVOA. ESPN+ NFL analyst. Ex-radio DJ. AP All-Pro/MVP voter. I specialize in nuanced, ice-cold NFL takes.

Auburn, MA
Joined October 2009
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
2 years
🚨ANNOUNCEMENT🚨 I'm officially joining @FTNNetwork full-time as Chief Analytics Officer. You will be able to access all of my DVOA, DYAR and other stats as well as new written content all season at https://t.co/xwKAkLCyLa. 🧡
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
4 hours
Fewest plays in a game since 1978: 28: 1999 Browns Wk 1 vs PIT 30: 2025 Raiders Wk 7 vs KC 31: 1980 Saints Wk 5 vs STLC
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
2 days
FTN StatsHub can tell you who leads the league in explosive plays, and in allowing them on defense. @BryKno goes inside the numbers: https://t.co/Q2YgW94fBq
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ftnfantasy.com
Which teams are getting explosive plays in 2025, and who is stopping them? FTN StatsHub has all the numbers.
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
2 days
FTN StatsHub can tell you who leads the league in explosive plays, and in allowing them on defense. @BryKno goes inside the numbers: https://t.co/Q2YgW94fBq
Tweet card summary image
ftnfantasy.com
Which teams are getting explosive plays in 2025, and who is stopping them? FTN StatsHub has all the numbers.
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
2 days
New at @FTNFantasy from @LoechnerNFL Are the Colts for real? They look great, but stats suggest Daniel Jones is succeeding more because of structure than because of superlative play. https://t.co/eNBuESch4Z
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The Colts are off to a 5-1 start, and Daniel Jones is playing the best football of his career. Tyler Loechner investigates whether it's for real.
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
3 days
One more defensive stat, highest % of team run plays Who has a tackle or assist on a run against his team? Wagner WAS 27% Sherwood NYJ 26% Edmunds CHI 26% Okereke NYG 25% Spillane NE 24% Bolton KC 24% DB leader: Cross IND 21% DL leader: Buckner IND 21%
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
3 days
How often is your tackle after a reception successful? (pass tackle stop rate). Best players (min 10 pass tackles) Burns NYG 80% Wilson MIN 70% Anzalone DET 69% Thompson BUF 64% Lewis JAX 60% Davis NO 60% Delpit CLE 60% Wallace CAR 58%
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
3 days
More fun with Wk 1-6 individual defense stats, all downloadable here: https://t.co/WwXF6vJYEB Top players this year in pass tackle stops (successful plays after receptions) 13: Cooper GB, Oluokun JAX 11: Campbell DET, Winters SF 10: Parrish TB, Singleton DEN 9: lots of guys
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ftnfantasy.com
This is an archive allowing subscribers to download workbooks featuring past DVOA and DYAR stats going all the way back to 1978.
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
3 days
Week 7 NFL Preview: Steelers-Bengals, Eagles-Vikings, and More
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
4 days
For FTN subscribers, here's a look at the playoff odds leverage in all 15 games of Week 7, there's a big table in here but the Falcons-49ers game is the most important so far this season. https://t.co/JHXnGvTKBL
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Here's a look at what each game this week means for the NFL playoff odds.
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
4 days
New at @FTNFantasy from @BryKno: Brian Callahan was the worst coach in Titans/Oilers history by DVOA and his firing is not a surprise. https://t.co/smXHHf7WWC
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Brian Callahan was the worst head coach in Titans/Oilers history by DVOA.
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
4 days
New at @FTNFantasy from @BryKno: Brian Callahan was the worst coach in Titans/Oilers history by DVOA and his firing is not a surprise. https://t.co/smXHHf7WWC
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Brian Callahan was the worst head coach in Titans/Oilers history by DVOA.
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
5 days
The Broncos currently have a sack rate of 13.7%. (That's actual sack rate, not my adjusted sack rate numbers.) Highest sack rates since 1978 over a full season: 1984 Bears 14.2% 1978 Lions 13.6% 1989 Vikings 12.7% cc: @ngreenberg
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
5 days
New DVOA commentary: Seattle Seahawks back at No. 1, with top five rankings in all three phases. Plus, the very unbalanced Patriots offense and Jets defense. https://t.co/aviCkHeJSS
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The Seahawks are back on top in DVOA as one of the best 4-2 teams we've ever measured. Colts, Lions, Rams, and Chiefs round out the top five.
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
5 days
Foye Oluokun leads the NFL in both Defeats (16) and Pass Tackle Stops, i.e. tackles after unsuccessful receptions (13). You can download all my individual defense stats from this page:
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ftnfantasy.com
This is an archive allowing subscribers to download workbooks featuring past DVOA and DYAR stats going all the way back to 1978.
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
5 days
DVOA playoff odds now updated, with the Kansas City Chiefs as our new AFC favorites. Also, the Special Super Bowls list now includes several Colts-related matchups. https://t.co/zjO6nkUG3T
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ftnfantasy.com
NFL playoff picture odds to win Super Bowl LIX based on DVOA and 25,000 weekly simulations.
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
6 days
As a Pats fan who got to enjoy it for 18 years, I hope the Chiefs fans are enjoying what it means to be the best franchise in the league for years. It's fun!
@Holmes_Stretch
Holmes Stretch
6 days
The most loyal fan base in the league πŸ’― Watch episode 6 of the Holmes Stretch here: https://t.co/jYoyqk6G7u
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
6 days
More fun with the #Patriots. Here are the teams since 1978 with a top 3 passing game but a bottom 3 running game through the first 6 games of the season. The 2003 Titans were the only team to do this for a full season: 1st passing, 31st rushing. Steve McNair was co-MVP.
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
6 days
The New Orleans Saints currently have -13.5% special teams DVOA, which is the lowest after six games since Washington in 2013 (-19.4%). The lowest ever after six games was the 2010 Chargers at -23.4%.
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@ASchatzNFL
Aaron Schatz 🏈
6 days
So, a thought on this. I don't know if it works to era-adjust for sacks because sack rates haven't followed a clear trend over time the way INT rates have dropped and C% has improved. The rates kind of ebb and flow back and forth over the years.
@ngreenberg
Neil Greenberg
6 days
I’m curious if @ASchatzNFL has era-adjusted data for this.
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