
Aaron Schatz π
@ASchatzNFL
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Chief Analytics Officer @FTNFantasy. Creator of DVOA. ESPN+ NFL analyst. Ex-radio DJ. AP All-Pro/MVP voter. I specialize in nuanced, ice-cold NFL takes.
Auburn, MA
Joined October 2009
π¨ANNOUNCEMENTπ¨ I'm officially joining @FTNNetwork full-time as Chief Analytics Officer. You will be able to access all of my DVOA, DYAR and other stats as well as new written content all season at https://t.co/xwKAkLCyLa. π§΅
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Fewest plays in a game since 1978: 28: 1999 Browns Wk 1 vs PIT 30: 2025 Raiders Wk 7 vs KC 31: 1980 Saints Wk 5 vs STLC
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FTN StatsHub can tell you who leads the league in explosive plays, and in allowing them on defense. @BryKno goes inside the numbers: https://t.co/Q2YgW94fBq
ftnfantasy.com
Which teams are getting explosive plays in 2025, and who is stopping them? FTN StatsHub has all the numbers.
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FTN StatsHub can tell you who leads the league in explosive plays, and in allowing them on defense. @BryKno goes inside the numbers: https://t.co/Q2YgW94fBq
ftnfantasy.com
Which teams are getting explosive plays in 2025, and who is stopping them? FTN StatsHub has all the numbers.
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New at @FTNFantasy from @LoechnerNFL Are the Colts for real? They look great, but stats suggest Daniel Jones is succeeding more because of structure than because of superlative play. https://t.co/eNBuESch4Z
ftnfantasy.com
The Colts are off to a 5-1 start, and Daniel Jones is playing the best football of his career. Tyler Loechner investigates whether it's for real.
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One more defensive stat, highest % of team run plays Who has a tackle or assist on a run against his team? Wagner WAS 27% Sherwood NYJ 26% Edmunds CHI 26% Okereke NYG 25% Spillane NE 24% Bolton KC 24% DB leader: Cross IND 21% DL leader: Buckner IND 21%
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How often is your tackle after a reception successful? (pass tackle stop rate). Best players (min 10 pass tackles) Burns NYG 80% Wilson MIN 70% Anzalone DET 69% Thompson BUF 64% Lewis JAX 60% Davis NO 60% Delpit CLE 60% Wallace CAR 58%
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More fun with Wk 1-6 individual defense stats, all downloadable here: https://t.co/WwXF6vJYEB Top players this year in pass tackle stops (successful plays after receptions) 13: Cooper GB, Oluokun JAX 11: Campbell DET, Winters SF 10: Parrish TB, Singleton DEN 9: lots of guys
ftnfantasy.com
This is an archive allowing subscribers to download workbooks featuring past DVOA and DYAR stats going all the way back to 1978.
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Week 7 NFL Preview: Steelers-Bengals, Eagles-Vikings, and More
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For FTN subscribers, here's a look at the playoff odds leverage in all 15 games of Week 7, there's a big table in here but the Falcons-49ers game is the most important so far this season. https://t.co/JHXnGvTKBL
ftnfantasy.com
Here's a look at what each game this week means for the NFL playoff odds.
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Here are some picks for Week 7 as part of @FTNFantasy content on Yahoo Sports. https://t.co/oJamHKE3hP
sports.yahoo.com
The last couple of weeks, my system based on FTN's DVOA ratings has loved the favorites. The actual results didn't come down quite the same way. This week, we're going with a number of teams on the...
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New at @FTNFantasy from @BryKno: Brian Callahan was the worst coach in Titans/Oilers history by DVOA and his firing is not a surprise. https://t.co/smXHHf7WWC
ftnfantasy.com
Brian Callahan was the worst head coach in Titans/Oilers history by DVOA.
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New at @FTNFantasy from @BryKno: Brian Callahan was the worst coach in Titans/Oilers history by DVOA and his firing is not a surprise. https://t.co/smXHHf7WWC
ftnfantasy.com
Brian Callahan was the worst head coach in Titans/Oilers history by DVOA.
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The Broncos currently have a sack rate of 13.7%. (That's actual sack rate, not my adjusted sack rate numbers.) Highest sack rates since 1978 over a full season: 1984 Bears 14.2% 1978 Lions 13.6% 1989 Vikings 12.7% cc: @ngreenberg
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New DVOA commentary: Seattle Seahawks back at No. 1, with top five rankings in all three phases. Plus, the very unbalanced Patriots offense and Jets defense. https://t.co/aviCkHeJSS
ftnfantasy.com
The Seahawks are back on top in DVOA as one of the best 4-2 teams we've ever measured. Colts, Lions, Rams, and Chiefs round out the top five.
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Foye Oluokun leads the NFL in both Defeats (16) and Pass Tackle Stops, i.e. tackles after unsuccessful receptions (13). You can download all my individual defense stats from this page:
ftnfantasy.com
This is an archive allowing subscribers to download workbooks featuring past DVOA and DYAR stats going all the way back to 1978.
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DVOA playoff odds now updated, with the Kansas City Chiefs as our new AFC favorites. Also, the Special Super Bowls list now includes several Colts-related matchups. https://t.co/zjO6nkUG3T
ftnfantasy.com
NFL playoff picture odds to win Super Bowl LIX based on DVOA and 25,000 weekly simulations.
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As a Pats fan who got to enjoy it for 18 years, I hope the Chiefs fans are enjoying what it means to be the best franchise in the league for years. It's fun!
The most loyal fan base in the league π― Watch episode 6 of the Holmes Stretch here: https://t.co/jYoyqk6G7u
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More fun with the #Patriots. Here are the teams since 1978 with a top 3 passing game but a bottom 3 running game through the first 6 games of the season. The 2003 Titans were the only team to do this for a full season: 1st passing, 31st rushing. Steve McNair was co-MVP.
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The New Orleans Saints currently have -13.5% special teams DVOA, which is the lowest after six games since Washington in 2013 (-19.4%). The lowest ever after six games was the 2010 Chargers at -23.4%.
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So, a thought on this. I don't know if it works to era-adjust for sacks because sack rates haven't followed a clear trend over time the way INT rates have dropped and C% has improved. The rates kind of ebb and flow back and forth over the years.
Iβm curious if @ASchatzNFL has era-adjusted data for this.
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