Eno Sarris
@enosarris
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Words @TheAthleticMLB , slinger of Stuff+ @Fangraphs , esarris @theathletic .com, RIP BeerGraphs 🇺🇸🇯🇲🇩🇪 Rates & Barrels, 3-0 Show, FSWA HoF, underwear model
NorCal (GA/NY/FL before)
Joined May 2008
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A man asked me, in front of porta potties, where the portapotties were & if he could smoke pot there. A hamburger fell out of his pocket.
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probably about 1000 fans here in Oakland, so you can hear everything.
sounds like one guy is just yelling "baseball" over and over again.
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Nobody wants to go first and admit they talked during the lockout
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Roy Halladay, in his first postseason game, threw a no hitter. Legend. RIP.
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Final WBC Stuff+ leaders, minimum 28 pitches per appearance:
1) Shoto Imanaga
2) Yoshinobo Yamamoto
3) Jose De Leon
4) Julio Urias
5) Yu Darvish
6) Sandy Alcantara
7) Cristian Javier
8) Jose Urquidy
9) Shohei Ohtani
10) Luis Garcia
11) Roki Sasaki
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40 homers, 40 games missed club:
Mike Trout (2022)
Nelson Cruz (2019)
JD Martinez (2017)
Hank Aaron (1973)
fin
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The team that beat the nerds is run by a nerd that used to run the team that lost
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I wouldn’t say this started with Mike Fiers. Players were talking about the trash can was whispered by mid 2017, they knew, and were talking to reporters off the record about it. I just figured no player would put his name on it. Kudos to Fiers for being brave.
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Okay the rule book says you need to be in the base path in foul ground for 45 feet before you step back into fair ground at the bag. Here’s what a righty would do in order to be by the rule book. Have you seen a righty run like this because if you had I would like video
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Nolan Arenado was asked about his brother Jonah Arenado in the Giants organization and if he ever envisioned facing him on his team’s divisional rival.
“I kind of envision him hitting a ground ball down the third base line, thinking it’s going to be a hit, and then I rob it."
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I don’t know my biological father, he was a hard partying German author that wasn’t in the right place. But my step father is dad, and he took me to my first baseball game, and my first phish show, taught me how to score a game and Be Here Now. Much love to step dads on this day!
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By Stuff+, Noah Syndergaard has one of the worst four-seam fastballs in the game. So he's cut his usage from 21% with Angels to 7% with Phillies. The changeup is below average, so he's cut that from 23% to 10%. Changing your mix is the easiest way to improve.
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Whoever gave Liam Hendriks the mike while pitching, do Rich Hill next.
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On July 8th, Alex Bregman told me he'd hit 20 homers, or at least 20 doubles from that point forward, because he was pain free and found his mechanics. Since that day he's hit 10 homers and 17 doubles with a 173 wRC+. Baseball players, man.
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K% >> K/9.
Walks extend innings, give pitchers more chances to K.
Here are some pitchers that had below average K/9 but actually struck out more batters than the average SP.
George Kirby
Logan Webb
Bryce Miller
Chris Bassitt
Eduardo Rodriguez
Michael Wacha
Nathan Eovaldi
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Sorry if you tuned in for 89 mph fastballs and infield singles. You might have heard, everyone threw 100 and all the batters hit mammoth shots. Pretty boring.
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There are 38 votes total in the player’s union, 30 team reps & 8 on the executive board. So, right now, if the board is against, they need two-thirds of the player reps to vote for the proposal for it to pass. Player reps are talking to their teams to determine their votes.
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Matt Brash officially (and temporarily perhaps, as the stat needs about three starts to stabilize) has the best Stuff+ among starters in the majors.
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My small (seven pound?) dog ate something (a mushroom?), walked a while (a 100 yards?), staggered like he couldn’t control himself, fell down, got up on two legs, barfed, fell down, got up, shook it off and was fine. I guess he’s ready for the day (and college?).
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Derek Jeter, career: .310/.377/.440
Larry Walker, career on the road:
.271/.377/.487
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Joe Musgrove s velocity is up a tick, and his four seam spin rate is too. These things are related. His spin per mph is up only a little, 27.6 to 28.0 rpm per mph.
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ERA is not just “the pitcher’s results” it’s “the results of the pitcher and the defense combined.” To me that’s enough to look at other things as well in deciding the Cy.
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Are the Cards really going to end up with Arenado for like $23m/yr, down a 5th starter & some third-tier prospects? SMDH. He’ll get right, he’ll like not facing radically different pitch mixes away from home, & he’ll hit like .275/.350/.500 with gold defense. For Gomber.
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Motivational speaker who lives in a van down by the river
If you didn't know he was a basketball coach, what would you assume this person is doing?
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I mean this whole you can’t wear the big hat thing is stupid anyway but I can’t believe nobody at new era was just like we will send you a new era big hat to wear ffs
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Anthony Rizzo is in the top 25 for improving his Barrel rate from last season to this season. So are Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge and DJ LeMahieu and Gleyber Torres …
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Top ten starters in Stuff+, which only looks at physical properties of a pitch (spin, movement & velo):
1) Shohei Ohtani (137)
2) Hunter Greene
3) Carlos Rodon
4) Gerrit Cole
5) Matt Brash
6) Corbin Burnes
7) Shane McClanahan
8) Yu Darvish
9) Dylan Cease
10) Nate Eovaldi (116)
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Pretty sure this is a new pitch alert. Shohei Ohtani is throwing two seamers.
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This baseball contest between the Padres of San Diego and the Dodgers of Los Angeles it is enjoyable!
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I have been made pregnant by the stuff deGrom and Paddack are throwing right now
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My kids team just won a little league playoff game on a walkoff where the kid ducked, the ball hit the bat behind his head, and went into play for a single….
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Bruce Maxwell, military kid, hard worker, not even outspoken, with a lot on the line, got support from his club and said something. Bravo.
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Spring Stuff+ leaders, min 100 pitches tracked
1) Nick Pivetta 140
2) Alex Lange
3) Grayson Rodriguez
4) Jared Jones 131
5) Luis Gil
6) Riley O'Brien
7) Ryan Pepiot
8) Chad Green
9) Beau Brieske
10) Isaiah Campbell 125
google doc updated
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If you ever have the chance, attend a home run derby. They are wild.
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baseball should expand, but it won’t, because it needs those untapped markets to bully local governments into sweetheart stadium deals
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Per Driveline Baseball’s Stuff metric (which will be under the hood on my starting pitcher ranks coming out Monday), the top relievers by stuff:
1) J Karinchak
2) E Clase
3) M Barnes
4) D Maples
5) J Hicks
6) C Roe
7) B Abreu
8) B Graterol
9) P Fairbanks
10) R Pressly
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A beer nerd’s guide to baseball: Ranking every stadium by craft beer offerings
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I remember coming to this country for the first time. Everything seemed so big and loud. But I found some kids at my school that liked baseball and started trading cards with them, got comfortable, and decided to stay for the rest of my life. Happy fourth!
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This is wild, to me, but true still. Career wRC+, minimum 1500 plate appearances:
1) Babe Ruth 197
2) Ted Williams
3) Lou Gehrig
4) Rogers Hornsby
5) Barry Bonds
6) Mike Trout
7) Mickey Mantle
8) Ty Cobb
9) Joe Jackson
10) YORDAN ALVAREZ
11) AARON JUDGE
12) Stan Musial
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@bmkhawk
His ears always look like that. Vaseline also does NOT increase spin rate. It reduces it.
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Dellin Betances' 2014 was the 11th-best reliever season in the last 10 years, but came at great cost. 90 innings out the pen is a beast. Relievers tell me 85 should be the absolute max out of pen & 70 is rough enough. Betances averaged 83 innings 2014-2016. What a stretch.
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When they were first implementing the play clock in the minor leagues, there were nearly two infractions a game in the first two weeks. By week six, it was one infraction every two games. It'll just take a little time. I enjoy the pace of pitch clock games, and my boys did too.
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This spring, Grayson Rodriguez had basically the same Stuff+ number as Sandy Alcantara. Better than Hunter Greene.
Mike Elias on Grayson Rodriguez: He “was not ready to jump into a major league rotation. Just getting not past the fourth inning. And we know what he’s capable of. I wasn’t expecting this. We were hoping he would show up as a better version of himself.”
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I’m sick. Probably just a cold, but I live in the county with the most cases in California & am young enough that the symptoms might not present that intensely, from what I gather. Am leaning towards not traveling to Arizona, which sucks. I think staying home is the right choice.
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Biggest improvers chase rate over last 30 compared to April (O-Swing%)
1) Giancarlo Stanton (-13.7%)
2) Paul Goldschmidt
3) Isiah Kiner-Falefa
4) DJ LeMahieu
5) Bobby Witt Jr
6) Cesar Hernandez
7) Ketel Marte
8) Gleyber Torres
9) Bo Bichette
10) Randy Arozarena (-8%)
Yankees!
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on ESPN just now one of my favorite single pitches of all time. Sergio Romo throws slider after slider to Miguel Cabrera, limping around on the mound, freezes him for strike three with a fastball. Masterful “backwards” pitching.
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Hearing from a couple places that Jon Gray will make his decision soon. Plus slider, the curveball is above-average outside of Coors, and the team that gets him will believe they can maybe make some changes on the fastball profile, which fit Coors. Either way, floor's super high.
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Gallegos’ four-seam spin rate was down 30 RPM in the game after he changed his hat, which is less than the impact we found from the better sticky substances, and might not be meaningful, but is still somewhat interesting.
Joe West tells Cardinals pitcher Giovanny Gallegos to change his hat because he noticed a foreign substance then he ejects manager Mike Shildt for arguing
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Bob Melvin is the dude. A great communicator. A calmer of men.
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The White Sox finally got someone to take their money and it’s the second best catcher in baseball on $18m a year for four years. Well done.
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Evaluating managers is very difficult. Gabe Kapler hired really good coaches, & they got a lot out of their players. It didn’t seem like this roster was much better than this. He was diligent in prep & good in the scrum. But the vibes still got bad, and that’s on the manager too.
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Carlos Rodon had the best Stuff+ of any free agent starter. Now he’s got a sweet home park.
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The best starters in September by Pitching+, which strips away all the luck and focuses on the movement, velo, spin and location of pitches:
1) Cole
2) Baz
3) Burnes
4) Alcantara
5) Gausman
6) Rasmussen
7) Skubal
8) Ohtani
9) Lynn
10) Webb
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Tommy Pham second in baseball in reach rate this year
"John Mozeliak said I have an eye defect and that's why I deserved less money, and now I have the best strikeout rate of my career, swinging at better pitches, not chasing" -- Tommy Pham
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The league-wide walk rate in 1987 was 8.9%.
Since then, we had a movie about OBP, expanded the league & rosters, changed K zone many times, had multiple league-wide cheating fiascos, data & tech exploded, strikeout rates soared.
The league wide walk rate this year is 8.8%.
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Sounds like what canceled the GM meetings was the Noro Virus so I have one question and one question alone... who touched poop and didn't wash their hands
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Maybe this won't mean a thing, but it looms over this wild card matchup, especially since Cards starter Adam Wainwright still has one of the best curveballs in the game: the Dodgers this year were 27th in baseball against the curve (by FanGraphs' pitch type values).
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My 11-year-old son gave me four questions to ask major leaguers, ranging from their favorite animal to their favorite pitch in baseball. Then he got to ask Blake Snell those questions directly. He did my work today!
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You. Play. To. Win. The. Game.
Fernando Tatis Jr. was rebuked by two managers after greenlighting his own grand- slam-swing. He was raised by a third, admittedly old-school manager. Perhaps everyone would do well to heed Fernando Tatis Sr.’s words:
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Fastest teams in the majors by average Statcast sprint speed:
1) Braves
2) Padres
3) Yankees
4) Phillies
5) White Sox
Related: youngest weighted average age, hitters:
1) Braves
2) Cubs
3) Phillies
4) Red Sox
5) Padres
6) White Sox
7) Dodgers
8) Astros
9) Yankees
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Triston McKenzie was convinced by playing MLB the Show that front door sliders were going to work. He tried to do it on this slider to Buxton, got the punch out but didn't nail the location. His catcher said don't try that again. He's not alone though.
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Speed matters at the plate, a team analyst was just telling me. As players get older and slower, the defenders can play further and further back and steal more hits. What a great way to show it.
Did the Royals just invent history's first 7 man outfield against Miggy
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Public, peer-reviewed research mostly focuses on veloc as the source of injury rates in baseball today. Pitch clock theoretically increases fatigue, but injury placements were normal last year. No consensus on spin/grip & stress. Don't think it's sweepers.
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Sources tell me that Kyle Boddy (
@drivelinekyle
) of
@DrivelineBB
will serve as a Special Advisor to Craig Breslow and the Red Sox on pitching R&D for the coming season.
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Wow. That’s a significant risk when it comes to the arm. They’re banking on both market inflation as well as a lot of marketing money. I had it at less than $500m.
Shohei Ohtani's deal with the Dodgers is for 10 years and $700 million.
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Shohei Ohtani hits, and pitches, and that provides value to the team — but he also does those two things in one roster spot, freeing a spot up for the team to play with. What’s *that* worth to the Angels?
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yes I would trade sixto sanchez to move my catcher situation from 29th to 1st for two years.
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Best Stuff+ among starters, minimum 200 pitches:
1) Cole
2) Musgrove
3) deGrom
4) Bauer
5) Glasnow
6) Darvish
7) Burnes
8) Morton
9) Lamet
10) McClanahan
11) Urías
12) Kershaw
13) Ohtani
14) Hill (!!!)
15) Cease
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Teams now get $65 million a year from national tv deals. On top of that, they add national ad sponsor money, local sponsor money, local tv money (which averages around $50m a year). Before they sell a single seat. Not a bad deal.
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I have both a biological father that didn’t step up & a stepfather that did, so I understand how this can be a great day or a terrible one. But helping someone grow is a tough job, so today is for the father figures in your life, whatever shape they came in. Happy Father’s Day!
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oh no, condolences, Cal.
The Rockies have acquired pitcher Cal Quantrill from the Guardians.
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Matheny is the worst. Like I mean even when I tried to use metrics to judge managers he was bottom of the league, and then it comes out repeatedly he can’t manage the non metric stuff, the people managing.
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I can’t imagine there’s a single ballplayer that wouldn’t have picked up the card
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From April 18 to April 21, Matt Olson, Ronald Acuña Jr., Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman combined for 58 plate appearances and a .143/.260/.262 line.
In the playoffs, that foursome combined for 56 plate appearances and a .137/.241/.157 line.
poop happens!
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It's funny, not funny ha-ha, that the profile came out today, because I'm not feeling very optimistic. Our family lost my uncle last night. The most gregarious, warm, loving man. Painful. But he was a role model to me & some of the source of that optimism. Fuck cancer. Live life.
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Preller and the Padres going for it, fun to see. Best rotation in baseball by most projections now, hard to disagree.
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MLB’s best, final offer before pulling down games, per MLBPA official:
• Pre-arb bonus pool of $30 million, up $5 million from before
• No change on CBT thresholds (220/220/220/224/230)
• Minimum salary starting at $700k, going to $740k over course of deal. PA starts $725k
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This offseason is going to suck
The
#STLCards
declined Kolten Wong's $12.5 million option, costing them $1 million and making him a free agent.
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Take great care before naming names. Consider that there were years between “a couple players told me” & the Astros thing breaking due to someone on record. Sticky stuff reporting started in 2018. Single season Home/away splits for players in hitters parks isn’t enough for me.
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