Avery
@averyhatestwt
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social democrat and Democrat, wx enthusiast, banner by @geoplanetary (they/them) ꙮ🚱💜🌇🧣
Los Angeles, CA
Joined May 2021
I know I'm late on this, but what exactly happened in Georgia? Did republicans not know that there was an election?
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38 (New): Assuming Sanchez runs in 41, new 38 is mostly in the SGV and not east LA 41 (Sanchez): This is likely the "new district" that was talked about, however it is about half Sanchez' current district 42 (Garcia): Now mostly white, Dem base entirely in Long Beach, pretty safe
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Some notable changes for dem incumbents around LA on the new CA map (current lines in black) 27 (Whitesides): Much bluer now, hard to see him losing 32 (Sherman): Trades parts of SFV for all of Simi Valley, primary protection? 26 (Brownley) is fairly blue either way.
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2026 will be a D+4 year? You know that? You have a perfectly accurate crystal ball? Holy shit man you could make so much money from this why aren't you selling it!
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As someone who's no longer active in this space, looking in and seeing the blanket statements people make on here about elections that are two+ years away is just absurd. You don't know that Brian Kemp will beat Jon Ossoff, that is literally unknowable, why are you saying that.
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every time I get a nytimes notification it's just "Trump administration to enforce new executive order forcing all puppies to be strangled"
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I'm old enough to remember being told that all Trump wanted to do was fix the economy and put common sense politics back in charge.
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I cannot think of one person who would be worse for the city than motherfucking Robert Alan Iger
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if Bob Iger runs for LA Mayor I will devote my entire life for the next year to supporting Karen Bass' campaign for re-election
👀 NEWS: Democratic congressman @RoKhanna says he's encouraged @Disney CEO @RobertIger to run for L.A. Mayor...and Iger is considering it. Khanna, who endorsed Karen Bass for Mayor in '22, says the city needs "new leadership." "Bob Iger would be phenomenal...he has the
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Not sure what the difference is there, maybe it's something to do with first-generation students or something?
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Interesting how variable it seems like the swings at different colleges were, the UCs were all around in line with the nation while places like UMich and UGA went super hard to the right.
It’s finally here! https://t.co/7X6XSEhu4r
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If anything, he likely overperformed Trump far more with Angels and Padres fans than Dodgers fans (although he was also a Padre)
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If he got a boost from being a Dodger legend, you'd expect it to show up in working class Latino areas more than anywhere else, while this look is far more expected of a generic R. I'd guess he got some boost, but it's very clearly well outweighed by simple downballot lag.
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Pretty clear to me that Garvey did not get any name recognition boost among Dodger fans. Looking at the districts in LA, OC, and SB where he outperformed Trump the most they're all wealthy suburbs.
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one of the reddest seats in the county represented by a Democrat, obviously
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Fresno County has yet to publish results by precinct, but some extremely rough estimates are probably good enough since it's not a huge slice of the district. Looks like CA-13 was around Trump +6, meaning Adam Gray represents one of the reddest seats in the country
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