OptionsButterflyQueen🦋
@archna2011
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LaDuc Contributor, https://t.co/ZU571qBy9O, https://t.co/1msoTb0o6c Options mentoring & X trade alerts at https://t.co/cih0uzU9eY
Chicago, IL
Joined August 2011
Sector rotation + options trade ideas Subscribe to https://t.co/5MKX0G1v9r Index Income trades newsletter :
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Spot on! Waiting for confirmation is always better than just guessing bottom every few days in a downtrend Most money is made in markets in the 10-90% zone of a move, not the bottom 10% or upper 10% “Those who have knowledge, don’t predict. Those who predict, don’t have
The Nasdaq Composite bounced off its 200-day moving average and today is Day 1 of a rally attempt. From here, I would like to see minimal to no distribution over the next few days and a follow through day later this week or next week. Overall, many growth stocks are still acting
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Pain Trade Higher? SPX one-month skew ranks in the 96th percentile vs. the last year. Everyone is hedged right now. Any signs of global de-escalation, and these hedges could come off fast.
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Market $SPX trying to avoid undercutting the December Low Indicator. If S&P closes below the December low price (6.721) in the following Q1 period of New Year, positivity rate for remaining 3Qs drops⬇️ to under 50%, and avg/median returns are negative for the full year.
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anyone remember 2014 when $SPX traded in a 5% range for half a year
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I’m completely stranded at Moscow airport… alone, helpless, and running out of hope. No one from @makemytripcare or @etihad is answering my desperate messages. Russia doesn’t accept Visa or Mastercard anymore. I have ZERO cash left. Not even for food or water. The Etihad
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Bitcoin now up +5.8% on day big surprise there but technically was the first asset to top in October before the spec growth stuff so maybe a key signal here
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It's not about retail being 'smarter' or 'dumb' retail has more ways to get and be mentored and they can index so easily and learn to buy $vix 30 panics not be the victims of fear They have had a few bubbles to learn what its like to be burned
Professional investors don't want to admit it but individual investors have absolutely gotten better/smarter over the years Investors now more or less ignore geopolitical headlines and don't overreact to this stuff anymore This is a huge positive for investors
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Trump in 2024: I can tell you you’re not going to have a war with Iran with me as president
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The world we live in right now. If you are country that has no nuclear power, you have no security and could be bombed by super powers at any time and for any reason they make up. If you are a country with nuclear power, you are SAFE. And we are wondering why everyone is racing
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What happens to the White House when Presidents start new wars? WW1: lost power for 12 years Korean War: lost power for 8 years Vietnam War: lost power for 20 of the next 24 years Iraq War 1: worst result for an incumbent ever Iraq War 2: lost power for 12 of the next 16 years
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Before dotcom bust , market breadth measured by NYSE A/D line got stronger as smart money gradually moved into value And throughout the entire market crash during which Nasdaq plummeted 80%, NYSE A/D line surged like it was a raging bull market Keep this in mind going forward
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Private equity is bleeding... When credit contracts.... so does the economy.
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There’s a difference between a good business and a good stock. Execution can’t always outrun valuation, and cheap stocks can spend months or even years trapped by negative sentiment. Keep that in mind while sorting through the rubble of $IGV.
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This is wild! Tech multiple lower than consumer staples, consumer discretionary and industrials.
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There are now more 6%+ mortgages than 3% or less. That changes everything. As this trend continues, the lock-in effect breaks.
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$IGV - On February 4 it had the biggest volume in history. The next day it had the 2nd biggest volume in history. Yesterday it had the 3rd biggest volume in history, and today it's having the 4th biggest volume in history. These are clear signs of capitulation.
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