Joe Kunkle
@OptionsHawk
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Founder and CEO of OptionsHawk. Creator & Moderator of the Trading Hub, the Best Live Market Coverage **Not Investment Advice***
Missoula, MT
Joined July 2009
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@SharpFootball
lol this is a joke right?
Pretty natural going to the ground move, ends with FG anyhow
Certainly wasn’t as bad as the missed one on the Chiefs that sent them to the SuperBowl
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Baby boy in for left kidney surgery today to remove a blockage. Never felt so helpless just waiting for updates, hardest thing I’ve done but in good hands at CHOP. Send good vibrations this way
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If you invested $10,000 in Apple in 1999 you would not be on Twitter trying to solve math equations
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Jaxton Scott Kunkle born this morning at 8lbs and 9oz, mama and baby healthy and happy!
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I don’t care who you are , that speech was incredible!
A welcomed return to class, dignity, honor, compassion, unity, humility and ambition.
Never bet against America!
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Every night I pray before bed Cramer does not mention a stock in my portfolio 😂
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College is a 4 year vacation before you start the Real World. If our society did not put so much weight on Degrees, your suit, and all the other crap it would be obsolete. There isn’t a job in the World you get better at in a classroom rather than just learning on the job
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Lost my Dad when I was 6 over 30 years ago, always struggle to remember the scant memories, but after going though my baby book with daughter the other night it sparked a dream last night I remember clear as day, his voice, his face, everything, it was incredible
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Apple $AAPL massive buyer of 5000 June 2024 $150 calls today for $29.30, around $15M
Playing the loooonnngggg game
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@realDonaldTrump
Considering 7 million more votes for the other guy..I think our country is quite pleased , the humiliation of your record defeat has been joyous
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13F's - My Top 40 I follow notes
What other funds should I be paying attention to...and make a case for it...
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Put this together as I see so many now following bad advice on options flow..not sure I should be giving this away lol
Definitely want to add to it, so ask questions, generate ideas
OPTIONSHAWK’S RULES OF OPTIONS FLOW SIGNALS
$QQQ $SPX
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Airlines are thieves...Wife looked up tickets for dates one day, went back next day and price jumped so I had her delete her cookies and went back and it was back to original price...
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S&P Futures are flying, we must have won the Trade War for the 94th time in 18 months
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Buy the shutdown, Sell the Reopen...the classic Pandemic playbook
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If you are long-only trading...this simple rule will save you a lot of anguish
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Ayla Elenita Kunkle born 2:43am 4/4/16, 7lbs 2oz, what an incredible experience and man is my wife strong
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The S&P $SPX has risen 200 points and has not closed red in the 7 days since Gartman's call we were entering a bear market...just incredible
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$ARM Feb. $100 calls opened at $0.25 on 2/7, today they hit $60, meaning a $10,000 call buy was worth $2.4M
Like I said last week, once in a decade type move
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S&P 3000 here we come
GARTMAN: LONG COMMODITIES AND SHORT OF U.S. EQUITIES
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Appreciate all the support today from my extended (Twitter) family! Jax is recovering, plenty of discomfort as to be expected, can’t wait for that smile that takes up his whole face to return. Thanks and much love ❤️
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Squid Game season 2 spoiler
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@JaguarAnalytics
The counters would be
Most people locked into < 3% mortgages
Fed may be done hiking, or close and cuts expected before EOY
Services still expanding while Manufacturing likely bottoming
Retail Sales down but Travel/Experience spending surging
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As a growth investor, if had to park my net worth for five years, these would be the names...
Mainly stock-specific stories, avoid cyclical plays...yes, 100 names, but was hard enough cutting down to that...so many great Co's out there that will deliver superior returns
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Now a mass shooting in Dayton, Ohio...follows the one in El Paso, TX - two states w/ the least restrictive gun laws....so much for the "good guy with a gun" theory...fucking idiots
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No reason to be scared of COVID
*Disclaimer: Only intended for those with access to:
Helicopter rides to leading medical facilities
Daily & Rapid Testing
Experimental Leading Edge Drugs
Having taxpayers foot the bill
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Can we just skip ahead to:
OMICRON VARIANT FOUND IN EVERY STATE
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$ARKK owns $1.2 billion of Zoom $ZM stock but Cathy won't pay for the premium version.....amazing
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We are at the "trades become investments" phase of the sell-off :)
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Run your business like Chewy $CHWY runs theirs...
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Puru finally got bullish and the stock he bought was... Adyen...down 20% today
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Calling it a week, going to be a somber weekend, our 15-year old Lab passed last night, she knew it was time, we planned on putting her down tonight
I wrote some words
"A Tribute to Monroe"
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Ukraine playing chess and Putin playing checkers
The embarrassment and proof of his military being way less than a superpower has got to be eating away at him daily and his enormous ego
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We won the 7 day Mexican Trade War!!! (Nothing actually changed)
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Ehh, futures up 2% after the close, exactly what is not needed for a proper bottom
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Hard to imagine anyone could have abused something with a face like this, it took me 3+ years of work to fully earn Jasper's trust after recusing him, but him and I are best buds now, and such a great dog w/ the kids!
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Celebrated 8 years last night with a night-capper on the rooftop bar...and a great bourbon drink
Just getting started, best years ahead!
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So this may go down as my favorite Tweet-Thread ever, lol ... Social Media can be great at times
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Netflix raising prices so I can now spend $15/month to spend 15 minutes scrolling through, find nothing, exit and watch house hunters instead...
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Really hope Trump's loss of taste returns by 11/3 so he can taste defeat
I'll see myself out
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Some potential M&A targets in Tech over the next 18 months
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At least the Library of Congress should be safe...I don't imagine any of these folks has ever been in a library before
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NASA SAYS MARS HAS RUNNING WATER & POWER, ALREADY AHEAD OF TEXAS
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When they casually scoop up 12,000 $WMT weekly $130 puts before a " earnings warning
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Had mentioned was redoing kitchen, took a bit longer than my 5 day goal lol...new porcelain plank floorim granite counter, copper sink, redid cabinets and painted + new hardware, custom island with butcher block, stone backsplash...new range soon after run propane line
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It's Here!
The 2021 OptionsHawk Annual Outlook now available!
Comprehensive report w/ top picks, 180 industry breakdowns, themes, M&A breakdown, Biotech preview, SPAC analysis, Open Interest Report & more
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@stoolpresidente
You lost all credibility when you thought Mac Jones was the top young QB in the league two years ago lmao
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Ruth on "Ozark" is quickly climbing in my fav. TV show characters of all time...
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If you make a $29B all-stock buyout and your stock rallies 11% you have officially reached 🐐 status
$SQ
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I can't say for certain, but maybe paying 200K for an image of a dog wearing underwear smoking a cigar was a sign of some froth in the markets
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I'm often asked how to get so good at stock-picking, well 90% of it is just a willingness to put in the work and research. I track 2000+ earnings report each quarter, read hundreds of transcripts, build watchlists and stay organized like this:
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Best find from my basement cleanup was a picture with my Dad, have less than a dozen pictures of him (passed when I was 6)...one good thing these days is storing and capturing memories is easier than ever for everyone
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Tears in my eyes walking my daughter home from the bus stop thinking about the parents in Texas that had their everything stolen from them…it doesn’t have to be this way
Need a run to clear my mind
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Randomly noticed Home Depot $HD chart today and thought, wow, that looks just like the S&P $SPX ...so I overlayed, and holy cow...
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With all the "what the heck is happening" I am seeing, found 30 minutes to put together a post I think may be helpful
An Explanation of the Current Destruction of Growth Stocks: What Happened, What to Do & When
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A very simple concept many seem to forget..
If looking for bounce into sell-off, you do not buy calls, you sell puts, put spreads
If looking for a pullback from extreme rally, you do not buy puts, you sell calls, call spreads
(1/2)
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Nearly all Citron shorts continue to reach near record highs...
SHOP, check ... HUBS, check ... TLRY, check ... NFLX, check... INGN, check... W, check... UBNT, check... MSI, check...FLT, check...TDG, check
and their longs... SNAP, TWTR, FIT, BB keep falling lol
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@benbbaldwin
This replay makes it even worse, Barry lays a hand on him and Mahomes takes a flop, disgraceful
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The kind of week you ask yourself, why am I not just long $AAPL $ADBE $MSFT $ISRG $SE $NVDA $TMO $CHTR $BLK and golfing...
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S&P $SPY buyer 3700 September 2022 $505 calls $3.83 to $3.86
I want to hang out with this guy...seems like an optimist !
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I was definitely wrong at the very beginning of COVID-19 in estimating it's impact...just could not conceive such a lack of preparation and poor plan/execution from the Gov't...but here we are...what happens when put a reality TV star in charge of the country....
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To put the GDP print into perspective....if your stock goes down 31.4% and then rises 33.1% on a $1000 investment, you are still losing and now have $926
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Virus may just give up and go away before Congress gets anything figured out
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Six years of marriage flew by, two kids later and making new memories every day! Truly am so fortunate to have this woman in my life the last fourteen years
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Don’t go to the park while they are having an adoption event..added a new guy to the squad
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A quick thread on Options Flow trading...
I have seen a lot of new sites/apps/tools pop up trying to capture “options flow” and all have the same flaws and are so focused on what is trading rather than the more important question, why it is trading
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Amazon $AMZN buyer 1900 June 2023 $3900 calls for $327.45, over $60M, as Jan. 2023 $3700 adjust
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Shocker..a tax cut for corporations that just gave them more money to buy back their stock isn’t helping the economy
The latest from
@JohnJHarwood
: Trump's tax cut isn't giving the U.S. economy the boost it needs.
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There are 8/21 week bear crosses all over the place in high multiple/growth Tech, that is always the exit signal for even the long-term owners (have to respect what market is telling you)
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I am going to try out a new thing with a longer thread on here where I focus on one notable and unusual trade with a focus on short put block trades at less than 1000 contracts but still sizable premium in intriguing growth stocks. From there, can really build out the details of
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Ya know its ugly when price alerts set like 4 years ago are triggering
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Bringing this little man home today, just in time for some Football, he timed it well! I
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The US response (or lack thereof) to COVID will be a case study of incompetent leadership for the next hundred years
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Cramer is the Gartman of ARKK
Says Buy...ARKK falls 70%
Says Sell...ARKK rises 20%
Says Buy...ARKK back down 6%
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Evergrande is a big deal...it could be the next.....well any one of these 😂
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Amazon $AMZN size buy 2700 November $3300 calls at $273 for over $73M
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The short squeeze mania sideshow to a number of red flags of weakening breadth under the surface
Seems much of this is leading up to our next “volatility event” and “gut-check correction”
Staying light overnight and intraday sniping for now
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The reason more taxes is never the answer is the Government is the 2nd worst capital allocator in history (Gartman remains 1st)
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In 3 months this will be my literal new back-yard....my kids have no idea the adventures they are in for....
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If you had taken the money you spent on booze and entertainment the last twenty years and instead invested in Amazon $AMZN , you would now have, by my calculation…. Lived a very lame life
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Thinking of doing 15-30 minute podcasts profiling companies with a strong history of out-performance but not well known ($5B to $50B)
Have been doing write-ups for members last few months and names have done extremely well, but though Audio version may be cool and unique
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