Analytic Flying
@analyticflying
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Independent economic analysis on Australian aviation "Airlines aren't supermarkets: need to invest 2x in assets to earn $1 → ergo need 2x profit margin!"
YMML
Joined September 2023
Just how constrained are Sydney Airport's slots?. It's complicated but insights from Sydney's first public Initial Coordination Report shows it's less constrained than you might have thought! Only 66% of slots are allocated compared to 96% at Heathrow!.
analyticflying.com
New insights from Sydney's first public Initial Coordination Report
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Just how wacked was Bonza? Each day this week we'll share a finding from our analysis of the report to creditors:. 1) Bonza incurred net losses of $134m on revenue of just $115m. That means for every $100 in ticket revenue it cost them $248 to fly!.
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"For some time, I thought Apollo 13 was a failure. I was disappointed I didn't get to land on the moon. But actually, it turned out to be the best thing that could have happened.". Rest easy Jim Lovell!.
We are saddened by the passing of Jim Lovell, commander of Apollo 13 and a four-time spaceflight veteran. Lovell's life and work inspired millions. His courage under pressure helped forge our path to the Moon and beyond—a journey that continues today.
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A few weeks back India carriers were telling us BASAs shouldn't be liberalised, but now they're wanting preferential access to slots at constrained airports. Suspect other countries will see & note the inconsistencies between these two positions!.
India tells ICAO that current system of slot allocation at key European airports is discriminatory & restricts ✈️ from developing countries. " While India is investing heavily in expansion of infrastructure, creating opportunities for all, developed economies, like Amsterdam,
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Qantas's XLR finally made an appearance on what's likely to be its bread and butter route to Perth today! For those who are interested, it used T4 gate 12, so domestic only. It still hasn't tested out an international gate, go figure!
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If you were interested in this poll, then you might be interested in what just arrived in your inbox!.
For W25 season (Oct 25 to Mar 26), foreign passenger airlines requested 3345 additional slots at Sydney Airport, what proportion do you think were granted? Please share the poll as we're interested to see if perceptions meet with reality!.
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With the Qantas Frequent Flyer devaluation upon us, a reminder of why this happens: they’re too successful!.
analyticflying.com
Last week Qantas announced changes to the Qantas Frequent Flyer programme.
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Seeing all chat around Koala Airlines today, people under appreciate how much capital is needed to start an airline in Australia!. Say they'll operate B737-8s on lease; 10 aircraft within 18 months; cash flow breakeven after 2 years. How much do you think they need?.
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From nothing to an airport in 5 years! Timelapse satellite imagery of Western Sydney Airport taking shape!
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Once again, competition authorities showing they don’t understand airlines, particularly networks and importance of scale. Once again doing far more harm than good!.
✈️🇪🇸 Fascinating #AirEuropa takeover story,. ▪️#IAG decided to step down,.▪️ #Lufthansa is likely loosing his mind into complex / frustrating négociations,.▪️ #AirFranceKLM announced it will potentially stop its bid,. … End of day, who’s going to acquire @AirEuropa ?. Any guess?.
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Embraer didn’t avoid the tariffs. American, Delta & United avoided the tariffs!.
Embraer has avoided a hike from 10% to 50% in US import tariffs after President Trump carved out an exemption for aircraft.
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Also your only option 🤷🏻♂️.
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Virgin's B737-8 deliveries are on the move with VH-8II on her way to Brisbane, marking their first new B737-8 in nearly a year. This starts a steady stream of 15x B737-8 for Virgin between now and December 2026!
Virgin Australia's next round of B737-8s are approaching:.VH-8II: 2nd test flight completed 2 July (1st test flight is typically transfer from Renton to Boeing Field).VH-8IJ: 2nd test flight completed 14 July.
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And then there were 9: VH-OQG is on the way back home, taking Qantas A380 fleet back to 9!. A380 capacity will go onto SYD-DFW (4 of 7/week) allowing B789 return to BNE-LAX (3 of 7/week) from mid-Aug. OQG was last A380 to cycle through EFW in Dresden, leaving just OQC at AUH!
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Really impressive & detailed article by Danny Lee (best in the business!) on A380s operational challenges. Meticulously researched & taken months to put together (hint), putting into focus the complexity of maintaining such a big aircraft with a vulnerable supply chain!.
The World’s Biggest Passenger Planes Keep Breaking Down And It Is Becoming An Expensive Headache For Airlines
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NRL Vegas junket increasing to 4x B787 charters next year (only 2x this year). Interestingly inbound/outbound aircraft positioned through LAX to eliminate empty legs, but not sure how they'll do it with 4, maybe use SFO and/or DFW as well?.
Qantas 1Q26 Las Vegas Charters.
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NZC (arrived in SIN this week) & NZG (been at SIN for 5 weeks) are next probables. Both at SIN, but as with NZJ it's not clear if they'll all be getting refurbs alongside their heavy checks.
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Update on Air New Zealand B787 refurbs:.✈️1st aircraft: ZK-NZH took 6 months (10/24→4/25).✈️NZI 3 months (3/25→6/25).✈️NZJ skipped (heavy check done but went to ASP for storage awaiting new engines).✈️NZK 3 months & counting (back in AKL).🔴3 months seems to be the number!.
It took 6 months for the indomitable Singapore Airlines to refit an Air New Zealand B787-9. Remember when everyone was crying “why is it taking so long to refit Qantas’s A380s”?.
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Ground handling boo-boos seem to be doing the rounds at the moment! In the last few months we've seen 3x aerobridge incidents (QF 737 & FJ 737 at BNE, QF 380 at SYD), JQ 787 towed into hangar door at MEL & now VA 737 having an argument with tug/tractor!.
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