Russia is now playing the escalation strategy here: can't win the war in Ukraine so they seemingly recklessly escalate to unacceptable crisis levels and then negotiate for overall political solution.
Thank you for coming to my TED talk.
Wanting is not have put, that's a relief for today.
This can be deterred but it can get Seriously Tense if the weapon is loaded on a rocket and ready to go.
Trump: "You gotta take care of the floors. You know the floors of the forest, very important... I was with the President of Finland... he called it a forest nation and they spent a lot of time on raking and cleaning and doing things and they don't have any problem."
Finland has ~73% forest coverage = 222,180 square kilometers of forests (world bank study). Our forests are densest in the world, averaging 72,000 trees in sq km. That's 22 billion trees or 4,500 for every Finn (yale university study).
Please send help. Must bring own rakes.
Just a reminder that Soviet Union equipped both north Korean and Vietnamese air forces during Korean and Vietnam wars and it didn't lead to WW3.
Soviet pilots even flew combat missions.
En oikein kannata kemiallisten aseiden käyttöä, mutta kiitos tuntemattomalle sankarille, joka heitti avatun purkin surströmmingiä Venäjän suurlähetystön pihalle
In today's
#vatniksoup
, I'll introduce a South African-American(!) businessman and social media figure, Elon Musk (
@elonmusk
). He's best-known for being the wealthiest man in the world, running Tesla Inc., SpaceX & Twitter, and for parroting Kremlin's propaganda narratives.
1/24
Meanwhile in Russia: truth bombs are landing on Russian state TV, as experts struggle to define what Russia's victory in Ukraine would look like. More in my latest article for
@thedailybeast
, linked below⤵️
A humble message to our American friends: you have two beautiful Arleigh Burkes at Baltic Sea. Parking one to Helsinki harbour for the duration of this crisis would make 5 million Finns sleep better and seriously in debt to you.
Four unexplained underwater explosions in Gulf of Finland on Russian territorial waters last Thursday (Oct 20), picekd up by University of Helsinki Institute of Seismology. Magnitudes: 2.0,1.5,1.5,1.4
1/x
Russian nuclear alert just weakens their operational freedom. Now air, sea and tactical missile operations must be planned and executed in a way that NATO does not misinterpret those as nuclear launch.
@GOP
@realDonaldTrump
Worth noting that William H. McRaven was on Trump’s short list for national security adviser.
Trump picked Michael Flynn instead. Who later pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI about his contacts with Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak. He's hardly a non-treasonous figure.
Interesting. Russian elite PDSS combat frogmen got reassigned to naval infantry in Pechenga (200th) and sent to Ukraine.
Lack of manpower evident, specialists thrown into grinder as regular infantry.
A recon group of 🇺🇦 Military Intelligence tracked down a 🇷🇺 subversive unit in the Kharkiv region. 36 occupiers were killed by artillery. Later, this group together with
@TDF_UA
@ng_ukraine
engaged the enemy. They pushed it out from their positions, and captured 🇷🇺 Navy officer.
Total one fifth of Finnish population spend their days raking forests and ironing lakes. During winter, another one fifth shovels the snow away before doing things can commence.
We like it real tidy here.
Armata safely away from the frontlines. Turbine is screaming like a Sukhoi trying to take off and yet the tank is crawling like tortoise, damn it looks underpowered. And gun stabilizer is not working.
Wunderwffe!
Hallituslähde STT:lle: Hallitus on yksimielinen siitä, että Suomi antaa Ukrainalle aseapua. Kyse on aseista ja ampumatarvikkeista. Tarkemmin asiasta on määrä kertoa illan tiedotustilaisuudessa.
Now discussions in arabic migrant groups hype that Finnish border is open in forested wilderness areas.
Guys, you'll simply die here. Endless forests in -25 celsius and deep snow is not a joke even for us natives who've grown to outdoors life since childhood.
Finnish national broadcaster YLE referring to it's sources: seems
#balticconnector
leak was not an accident.
Navy Mine countermeasures vessel MHC Purunpää and Border Guard offshore patrol vessel Turva on site.
Finnish gov to hold presser today.
French ground forces commander: France could engage a division of 20,000 troops within 30 days to operate as part of an allied coalition, would be able to command a force of around 60,000 soldiers made up of French and other allied troops
#Ukraine
Putin, with champagne: "Our military production is surging, we are making multiple times more weapons. Their (Ukraine's) resources are dwindling."
The West has to get its act together ASAP, otherwise there will be much greater celebrations in Moscow soon.
Finnish Prime Minister (live presser): Finland gives Ukraine direct military aid, will be delivered ASAP
Defence Minister:
2500 assault rifles, 150 000 pcs ammunition
1500 anti tank weapons
70 000 combat food rations
OK. Now it's the time to kick Germany from Nord Pool. I'm not gonna pay 1+€/kwh because inept krauts fundamentally oppose nuclear and rather let their people freeze in darkness.
German economy minister rules out keeping nuclear plants running to save gas
Extraordinary: Finnish president abruptly interrupted his visit to Åland 100yrs autonomy celebrations and flew back to mainland, now also Swedish king + queen exited mid concert and left.
Finland to send 2000 helmets, 2000 ballistic vests, 2 field hospitals to Ukraine ASAP. Also Estonian artillery export inked. Finland will join the common EU lethal aid package, DM Kaikkonen expects european joint decisions on that even today. Direct mil aid possibility open too.
Ignore the words, just watch muted.
Putin looks terrible and is clutching the table (so hand would not shake?), foot tugging. Shoigu looks even worse, dejected old dedushka.
So.much.winning!
The Swedish military "eliminated" an unidentified
#drone
flying within the protection zone of
@RoyalNavy
HMS Queen Elizabeth. Gothenburg, October 2023.
The drone was shot down. Confirmed by Chief of Joint Operations, Carl-Johan Edström. (GP paywall)
No wonder Russian war of aggression against Ukraine is going poorly. Putin's throat-cutters had been informed and doing planning on the operation well before but career commanders were kept in the dark till a week to h-hour.
Wow, that's a hell of a piece by
@bbcrussian
. They got audio messages between Kadyrov and deputy head of Chechen Rosgvardiya. Both knew about invasion well in advance, Rosgvardiya commanders from other regions found out a week ago and were utterly shocked.
Bank run accelerates in
#Moscow
after Putin imposed crippling capital controls last night to protect a collapsing economy. This is Svetnoi Boulevard in the heart of Moscow.
Just ordinary Finns delivering 140 tightly packed drones to Ukraine.
In 1939 Swedes said that Finland is their issue. In 2022 Ukraine is our issue. Slava Ukraini!
140 dronea pakattu tiukasti, arvoltaan 52 000 euroa, Anders Brotheruksen järkkäämänä. Olemme Puolassa matkalla Ukrainan rajalle luovuttamaan nämä vastarinnalle, joka pyysi droneja avuksi tiedusteluun. Itsenäinen valtio taistelee olemassaolostaan.
German FinMin Lindner apparently told Ukraine’s ambassador
@MelnykAndrij
on the day of the invasion there was no point in sending Kyiv weapons because “you’ve only got a few hours left” before Moscow installs a puppet govt.
After two yers of brutal russian war of aggression russians in Finland finally found their moral compass to demonstrate against
... oh wait, nevermind.
Many Russians living in Finland and dual-nationals say the decision to close the crossings will make it harder for them to reach their relatives in Russia.
Finnish "flying claymore" drone Steel Eagle to be presented at the London Defence & Security Equipment International.
Warhead weights 3,6kg - 3000 3,8mm steel or tungsten balls.
Sorlin Fabrice is the head of propaganda "think tank" Katehon, which is closely linked to Russian Institute for Strategic Studies (a known spook front organization) and Dugin.
What a surprise he's in Paris today.
My timeline says that these two guys with the "DNR" flag n Paris are Sorlin Fabrice and Moreau Xavier - both support RU occupation and had visited the occupied part of the Donbas
from Russia, one lives in Moscow
Sweden can no longer expect Turkey's support for NATO membership after a Quran burning rally near the Turkish embassy in Stockholm, Erdogan said
“Those who allow such blasphemy in front of our embassy can no longer count on our support for their NATO membership,” Erdogan said
🛑🛑🛑After the ex mayor of the Kup’yansk, that handed over the small town to the
#Putin
regime terrorists , was caught. The citizens of the town gathered in the central square of the city chanting “Kup’yans’k is Ukraine” and confronting a vehicle used by the terrorists
#Ukraine
Lavrov's lies on Ukrainian nuclear capabilites are alarming: “Ukraine still has Soviet technologies and the means of delivery of such weapons"
This is blatant stage setting. What the hell Kremlin is up to?
Elon is walking thru all Russian propaganda points, one by one.
Personally, I don't visit even a restaurant whose owner is a russian parrot. Gotta start seriously contemplating
#twixit
"We are going to wage a total economic and financial war on Russia" declared Bruno Le Maire, French Minister of the Economy and Finance today.
"We will therefore cause the collapse of the Russian economy" until "Putin returns to better intentions in Ukraine"
🗣 Crise financière en Russie ➡️ “Les sanctions sont d’une efficacité redoutable. Nous allons livrer une guerre économique et financière totale à la Russie”, déclare Bruno Le Maire, ministre de l’Economie. “Nous allons provoquer l’effondrement de l’économie russe.”
‼️ Ministry of Defense of Russia officially announced that the cause of the explosion in Izhevsk was "technical work at the Votkin Machine-Building Plant" 😂
🚀 There Russians produce intercontinental ballistic missile sea-based P30 3M30 Bulava-30, missile complexes Topol-M...
The US: due months long political deadlock we can't resupply Ukraine
Europe: Enough of this, we'll transfer the op to Nato and push hard to supply more
the US: NJYET YOU CAN'T DO THAT!
White House signals opposition to NATO-led weapons group for Ukraine
Hospital sources: 2500 Russian KIA moved thru Belarusian Homel region alone.
These are likely mainly from the Kyiv front. And how many are left to the battlefield or simply perished ...
There are so many dead & wounded Russian soldiers in Homel region, Belarus, that they've started loading corpses on trains at night "so as not to attract attention." 2,500 KIA sent back to Russia, hospital staff say. That's 5x the official number
Now Swedish DM denies. Hultqvist: "There is no such proposal on the table"
Tuomioja just burned his remaining political capital for personal desperate op to derail possible FI NATO membership. Leaking confidential discussions is bad, leaking bad interpretation even worse.
Radio Yerevan was asked: "How big will be the Victory Day parade in Moscow's Red Square this year?"
Radio Yerevan answered: "Largest ever, endless lines of tractors!"
Prev Ukraine president Poroshenko leading one of the volunteer battalions defending Kyiv. Says proudly that they have 4 NLAWs.
Former president. Leading volunteer battalion. With 4 repeat 4 anti-tank weapons. Russians hate him so much he'll be tortured or hanged if taken alive.
Fantastisk intervju på CNN just nu med fd presidenten Poroshenko som nu leder en frivilligbataljon i försvaret av Kiev. Talar stolt om att de har fyra st NLAW (vilket är det svenska pansarskott som Storbritannien skänkt i stora mängder till Ukraina).
As this thread is getting tons of retweets and comments I have a humble request: please help those Californians who have lost everything, esp those without proper insurances.
All this is just irrelevant compared to their plight.
#priorities
Russians are ure making A LOT of noise with large troop movements near Ukraine. Huge LOOK HERE effect achieved.
Worth keeping an eye on peripheries too.
Second Russian arrested in Norway for taking pictures with a drone.
Entered Thursday and was apprehended Friday morning red-handed while filming airport and military helicopter.
Had drone and couple DSLR cameras
I'm assuming that the new Finnish govt has already opened folders of contingency planning for this exact situation. First version was made during the Soviet collapse and it's been regularly updated.
The metro area of St Petersburg is 5 million people alone. It is 3 hours drive from the Finnish border and 5 hours drive from the Estonian border. Even minor armed clashes in the city can push large numbers of people towards EU borders. This requires contingency planning
Either Europe immediately helps protecting Ukrainian critical infrastructure or takes in millions of people as refugees before winter.
If cities are allowed to become uninhabitable due bombing civilians have no other means to survive but to flee.
Finnish foreign minister Haavisto says ALL European Union countries agree banning weapon sales to Turkey.
Finland currently holds the rotating EU Presidency
@Newsweek
What a panic-mongering piece. Ordinary Friday at shops, people buying beer and bbq stuff for the weekend. I actually just came from shopping.