Blog post after a long break: Updated index to declassified articles from CIA's 'Studies in Intelligence', 1840+ entries. In the post, I explain the background of the list, and what clean-up and additions I've done from a few different archive sources. https://t.co/pU4UGidCl5

Notably, Russia submitted a fabricated satellite image to the investigation, in an attempt to attribute the downing to Ukraine. The JIT investigation later attributed the shootdown to a Russian military unit. /2

10 years ago today, 13 Oct 2015, Dutch Safety Board (DSB) released the results of their MH17 investigation, confirming the aircraft was shot down with a Buk system’s missile. It confirmed the earlier findings of the Bellingcat investigation attributing the shootdown to a Buk. 1/

Yesterday I had the rare opportunity to speak with infantry from Ukraine's 14th Brigade. They had just returned from a 90-day posting in Novoekonomichne - one of the hottest parts of the entire front. Their commander, 'Bobruk,' had some very interesting insights. Thread:

I agree. Artillery and UAS have been the two primary casualty producing weapons in this war (first artillery and now UAS), and not small arms, which SAPI plates are designed to stop (and weigh down infantrymen). Body armor for this combat environment should cover more exposed

Let's zoom out from the drones. What Europe needs to counter the Russia threat is robust intelligence and counterintelligence capabilities, and credible military power with defense production that could sustain it through war. Early warning and capability to disrupt and deter.

Two Dutch teenagers arrested in spying case linked to Russia

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius warned about the growing threat posed by Russian space activities, citing concerns over two Russian satellites shadowing Intelsat satellites used by German forces and others. #Russia

UN group finds Russian army has targeted civilians using drones across a 300km area along the Dnirpo River bank – and not only in Kherson, but also Mykolaiv & Dnipropetrovsk regions. It said previously such drone attacks "amounted to crimes against humanity of murder."

Security trumps economics. Poland’s disruption of the key rail corridor from China through Belarus got Beijing’s attention. Poland has valuable economic leverage over China—it remains to be seen how long this economic choke point will remain closed and if this will induce Xi to

Regarding drones entering Poland last night: the event is serious and requires a muscular response, otherwise Russian carelessness and provocations will continue. A brief thread on flight paths+ the behavior of Russia/Belarus since this event and what it reveals /1

🧐So it looks like Beijing won’t directly pay for the new🇷🇺🇨🇳pipeline but will help Russia pay for the project by allowing it to purchase “panda bonds” which have not been available to Russian companies since 2017. This shift in🇨🇳policy reflects deepening Russian dependence on

Notable that this happened just days after Putin’s visit to China. Shows Russia’s self-confidence and lack of seriousness regarding a peace process on anything but their terms.

I strongly condemn Russia’s attacks which have targeted residential buildings in Ukrainan cities, killed and injured civilians, and damaged the building of the Ukrainian Government in Kyiv. We need to increase pressure and sanctions against Russia.

An initial assessment of the PLA parade that has just finished in Beijing. Overall, no major surprises although there were was some new equipment. The structure and content of the parade was pretty standard. Five key themes stood out for me however. 1/9 🧵

New research publication by Finnish National Defence University: 'An army with too many people and not enough soldiers?' : Russia's military manpower system in flux https://t.co/EscL0R0X8S

Russia’s latest strikes on civilian targets in Kyiv are yet another example of three simple facts: 1. Russia has no intentions of ending this war. 2. Russia has not changed its main strategic aim of destroying the independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine.

PRC state-sponsored threat actors are targeting telecom & #CriticalInfrastructure networks globally via provider & customer edge routers. Review our joint advisory for recommended mitigations: https://t.co/Y5IXpnWuHC

Ukraine's Independence Day is celebrated on Sunday, 24 August. Finland supports Ukraine in its fight for independence. The 🇫🇮MFA will show its support for Ukraine by raising 🇺🇦flags in front of its main building & illuminating the building with the colors of the Ukrainian flag.

Today, as we mark Flag Day, we also honor those who gave their lives so that this flag would fly over our cities. This flag is forever with them – our Heroes. 📍 People's Memorial of National Remembrance on Independence Square in Kyiv.

On August 23, 1989, about 2 million people from Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania formed a 600 km long human chain that united all 3 countries to show the world their desire to leave the Soviet Union and Communism.