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Adam Isacson

@adam_wola

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bsky: @adamisacson.com masto: @[email protected] Defense, security, borders, and migration at @WOLA_org. Positions are not necessarily WOLA's consensus view.

Washington DC
Joined January 2009
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
9 hours
🤔. Over the past 6 months, average U.S.-Mexico border fentanyl seizures have dropped to 58% below than the average of the previous 23 months.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
11 hours
That's more than it would cost me to stay tonight in the swanky JW Marriott downtown.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
11 hours
Showing my work, from
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
11 hours
At $600 million per year for 5,000 detainees, the Everglades detention facility would cost a whopping $328.77 per bed per day. ICE's 2025 budget request read: "Average adult bed cost per day is $187.48 for FY 2023.".
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
2 days
Taken from this report: the amounts that Congress ultimately approved are in the “Senate Bill” column of this table, but the “House Bill” column, which closely follows it, gives a fuller sense of individual line items.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
2 days
Note that this week's Border Update is coming, but will be late. I was writing two things at once, and this one came out first. The large, mostly pro-MAGA forces now being super-sized might come to confront the President’s political adversaries:
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
2 days
@WOLA_org We cut this part of our analysis back slightly—about the dangers to democracy of a super-charged political police force—because it was running long. Here's the original section, and all I can say is 😬😬😬
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
2 days
From @WOLA_org:. The bill has passed. What we’ve seen so far is just a taste of what’s to come. Border walls x 3. ICE personnel x more than 2. Migrant detention x 4. Deportation x 5. A big payday for for-profit contractors. A body blow to a free society.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
5 days
By comparison: in 2024, ICE had a "transportation and removal operations" budget of just $721.4 million. That is, "$0.72 billion" for the year. See page 631 here:
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
5 days
ICE deportation flights are up 63% over the February-April average. And this is set to multiply: Congress just gave the agency $14.4 billion for aerial deportations over the next 4 years.
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@thcartwright
Thcartwright
6 days
Ø 1/7 plane eyes June: 1,187 total flights - highest level since I started recording in Jan 2020. Over prior high of May of 1,083 and next highest 856 in Aug 2023. Significantly over the prior 6-month average by 434 (58%). Exec Summary Pages 3-11.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
5 days
In recent months the Trump administration has deported a quarter of Mexican citizens to Chiapas and Tabasco, the country's two southernmost states (red).
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
10 days
The United States delivered people to a foreign torture prison. Ábrego García:.- Was beaten with batons.- Was forced to kneel overnight, beaten if he collapsed, made to soil himself.- Heard screams as gang members freely harmed each other.- Lost 31 lbs.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
10 days
This "five-minute procedural vote" is now in its fourth hour.
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@jamiedupree
Jamie Dupree
10 days
Republicans have enough votes to win this procedural vote on the House floor right now - but evidently not enough to approve their giant tax and budget bill. Arms are now being twisted behind closed doors.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
10 days
Big ruling. The idea that a president can seize emergency powers or suspend rights over an “invasion” of migrants—leaderless people, often families, often with humanitarian needs—is as scary as it is ridiculous. There’s nothing new about large numbers of migrants at the border:
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@kyledcheney
Kyle Cheney
10 days
NEW: Judge MOSS' ruling found that Trump's "invasion" proclamation — accompanied by an attempt to add new restrictions on asylum for border crossers — was an attempt to establish an "alternative immigration system" with no basis in the law.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
11 days
Using the number that @camiloreports obtained for June, here's how Border Patrol apprehensions at the U.S.-Mexico border compare over the initial months of Trump's two terms.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
11 days
The last time Border Patrol migrant apprehensions averaged less than 6,000 per month at the U.S.-Mexico border was 1956-1965.
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@camiloreports
Camilo Montoya-Galvez
11 days
CBS News: The number of migrants crossing the southern border illegally set a new historic low in June, continuing an extraordinary lull in illegal immigration. Border Patrol detained 6,000 migrants last month, a level the Biden administration recorded in 24 hours on many days.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
12 days
Murkowski voted yes. Paul, Tillis, and Collins voted no. 50-50 tie. Vance broke it. The horrible bill has passed.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
12 days
On his TikTok, Venezuelan citizen Ángel Ignacio Cårdenas criticized Diosdado Cabello, the nation's feared interior minister. The Trump admin deported Cårdenas and 205 other Venezuelans on June 28. Who was on hand to receive the plane?. Diosdado Cabello.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
12 days
"Total peace can’t be your security policy. You need to have peace and security efforts complement each other.". In the latest episode of @WOLA_org's podcast, @gimena_wola and I dive deeply into #Colombia's faltering security situation.
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@adam_wola
Adam Isacson
13 days
The bill before the Senate today will throw 12 million Americans off health insurance (CBO estimate). Cutting taxes for the wealthiest leaves no money for that. But apparently, there's money for this:
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