Will
@WClementeIII
Followers
720,767
Following
2,069
Media
3,650
Statuses
16,735
Investing & stuff | Co-founded @reflexivityres (acq. by @defitechglobal ) | Using @velodata
New York, NY
Joined June 2020
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Think we need to get rid of this binary concept of traditional Bitcoin Bull/Bear markets.
Too many people trying to project the past onto the future, instead of imagining what the future looks like.
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- CZ starves FTX of revenue with 0% trading fees on Binance attracting volume from FTX
- CZ shoots headshot by publicly announcing FTT concerns causing a bank run on FTX and decline in FTT price
- FTX unable to cover holes in balance sheet
- CZ acquires FTX
Thanks for playing.
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76.5% of Bitcoin's supply hasn't moved in at least 6 months, a new record.
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IMF worried other countries will follow El Salvador.
Quite bullish that they take Bitcoin that seriously and are worried about the domino effect of nation-state adoption.
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Down so bad started doing the altcoin quizzes for $3 on Coinbase
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Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin bet will go down as the greatest move in the history of finance and it won’t even be close
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Imagine watching something you called rat poison become more valuable than your business and then doubling down and not considering you might have missed something.
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Just hit 500K followers, I don't even know what to say. What an incredible year this has been. Beyond grateful for everyone who's been supporting me from 2K in January to now.
To celebrate, giving away $5,000 in BTC, stay tuned! ;)
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Just bought my first car. Feeling incredibly blessed and grateful for
#Bitcoin
and this community. 🥂 A year ago today I was working at Target shopping online orders.
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This bear market no one is questioning whether Bitcoin will exist anymore or if it’s a scam, but rather the lowest price point it will go so that they can accumulate as much of it as possible
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In the last few hours, my portfolio is down more than what my entire net worth was a year ago today.
WAGMI
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100% of Bitcoin supply is currently in profit.
Congrats to all HODLers!
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Congratulations, you survived the largest capitulation event in Bitcoin's history.
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$47,000,000 of BTC shorts liquidated in an hour
Say hello to supply shocktober
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If your long term Bitcoin investment thesis changes because of the price, you never understood Bitcoin
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Twitter has completely changed my life this is nuts I was just a regular kid working at Target 6 months ago. Thank you guys genuinely.
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Long-term holders buy BTC into weakness and sell into strength.
We've just gotten our first red prints on LTH net position change in over 6 months, showing bull market distribution has begun.
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Only a few other times has Bitcoin reached the zone of heavy opportunity. (green)
This is also the longest time Bitcoin has ever spent in the zone.
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Just finished recording with Michael Saylor.
Two hours long, absolute masterclass. Will be released this Friday for Christmas Eve.
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I interviewed Saylor for 2 hours last month & had 27 questions written down but only got to 3 of them.
His mental intensity is unlike anyone I've ever interviewed or spoken to in my life. He will either be known as one of the biggest visionaries or lunatics in financial history.
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Yo
@CNBC
after Jim Cramer told your audience to sell the giga bottom over summer and Bitcoin is entering price discovery, maybe it's time to consider bringing on some better Bitcoin analysts.
I know a few people ;)
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Seeing a lot of stories about suicides around LUNA/UST. This is terrible man. Please don’t do this. There will be more opportunities in this market, just survive. Have nothing to offer but an open DM for those severely affected.
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Just finished recording with Willy and PlanB.
2 hours long, absolute masterclass. Can’t wait for you guys to hear this one.
Will be released on Saturday.
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Today Bitcoin had the largest daily candle in percentage terms in over a year
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$110M of BTC longs liquidated in 15 minutes
What is this, a liquidation cascade for ants?
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@100trillionUSD
The comments saying “the amount of people that lost money because of this” etc are absurd.
If your prediction was correct they’d take responsibility. Because it wasn’t, they blame you.
News flash people: you’re responsible for your own decisions!
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BTC is now just $5,000 away from my floor model & $145,000 away from my top model. Sell-off driven by Evergrande worries. Supply dynamics set up for the next few months unchanged, eyes on the prize.
Bought the dip.
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Explanation of Perpetual Swaps: Open Interest, Premiums/Discounts, Funding rates, Liquidations
[THREAD 1/15]
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This week I sat down with both
@100trillionUSD
and
@woonomic
to discuss the Bitcoin market, predictions, and their thoughts about cycles using on-chain data.
This was a masterclass with some of the best analysts in the ecosystem. Enjoy!
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We've been tracking the macro price reversal since summer using on-chain. Now what clues can it provide us in our effort to identify the macro price peak over the coming months?
First we'll start with behavioral trends and then everyone's favorite, price targets.
[THREAD 1/22]
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Bitcoin entering the Buy Zone on Dormancy Flow.
This bottoming signal has only flashed 5 times before in Bitcoin's history.
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So there’s now a SHORT Bitcoin ETF, a Futures ETF, a closed end fund trading at a 30%+ discount, a 401K option for Bitcoin, but NO Spot ETF.
It is clear that
@GaryGensler
and the SEC have an agenda against Bitcoin.
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Ok I’ve started doing some buying.
Said I would either do business above 53K or in the low 40s. We’re here and there’s been no follow through from yesterday from the bears. If open interest was aggressively longs we would’ve seen a further cascade of liqs.
Oh and GM.
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Thinking of starting to do educational videos on the YouTube channel in addition to the newsletter. Would go through different individual metrics in depth.
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The cheat code is to study all the people much smarter than you
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This wave of Bitcoin supply shock has the most momentum of any in recent history.
We're going much higher over the coming months.
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I'm halfway through college; I've learned more from podcasts in the last 6 months than I have from school my entire life.
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Retail interest in Bitcoin is pretty much gone since the Spring.
Big boys running the show now.
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The worst people on here are the ones that only comment negative things on everyone’s posts and contribute nothing at all to the ecosystem.
These people are miserable and want to drag you down into their state of negativity. Ignore these people, but have empathy for them.
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We will have a US president that owns Bitcoin in the next 10 years
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Strongest on-chain accumulation in the history of Bitcoin.
Bears are flat out wrong, enjoy the shake out before $50K+⌛️
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Year to date performance:
Shopify -60%
Netflix -60%
PayPal -50%
Facebook -40%
ARKK -40%
Nasdaq -14%
Bitcoin -13%
Despite unprecedented macro/geopolitical uncertainty, Bitcoin is holding up quite well on a relative basis.
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You had 3 months to accumulate dirt cheap BTC. Fundamentals only strengthened. The market does not owe you any pullbacks right now.
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In the last week both Intel and Google have thrown their hats into the ring.
Are you paying attention yet?
#Bitcoin
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On only 3 other occasions have we ever seen Bitcoin withdrawn from exchanges at this rate.
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The SEC won’t approve a Spot Bitcoin ETF but they’ll approve a futures ETF causing investors to get hammered by roll costs and GBTC which is trading around -30% to NAV
Nice “investor protection” 🙄
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Bitcoin is currently the 4th most oversold in its history according to dormancy flow.
Dollar-cost averaging more heavily into this area is probably the best approach for the long-term investor.
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Yes my 41K buys are obviously underwater. Not gonna larp like I’m always right.
Was expecting some mean reversion at the least. Almost 3 months, no deadcat, down only. Pretty wild lol.
Anyways have a great Friday folks. 🤙🏼
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Diversification is for protecting wealth, concentration is for creating it
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I’m taking over Bitcoin YouTube too much garbage analysis on there tbh
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83% of Bitcoin supply hasn't moved in at least 3 months
70% hasn't moved in at least 6 months
HODLers set the floor.
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I guess Luna and Celsius will be our two sacrifices to the crypto gods for this bear market?
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Netflix stock is now down 70% from its highs, erasing 4 years of gains.
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Starting to find out who’s been here just because number was going up.
Not. Going. Anywhere.
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Ukraine is funding a defense with Bitcoin, not a war. Big difference.
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My BTC in long term cold storage will not be touched and that’s not even a question in my mind
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Watching Bitcoin absolutely send during a banking crisis after regulators tried to cut off the industry has to be one of the most satisfying moments ever
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I already didn’t fully trust mainstream media, but after being native to an industry that experienced an event as large as the FTX blowup & seeing how MSM portrayed it, I don’t think I will ever trust them. Makes me wonder how misleading reporting is on topics I’m not native to.
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Have learned more from podcasts, Twitter, and YouTube in the last year than all my college classes combined. Oh, and it was all free!
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Ya know what, can’t please everybody. That’s fine. I’m open to talking w/ people to ask critical questions & understand their perspective.
For the people cursing me out etc. cool. You do you. I put out free weekly content & information for the community constantly.
GN
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Most of the tourists have been shaken out by now. -75%, major fear and uncertainty, and likely a long period of chop ahead.
Who's still here and not going anywhere?
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You gonna tell your grandkids you sold BTC at $0.05M?
Couldn’t be me.
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I’ve started meditating again
“Mental clarity is the greatest weapon a man can yield” - Ray Dalio
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Even if you thought BTC could go to $10K from current prices, with a 2025 target of $180K you're looking at a 1:9 risk-reward ratio with 50% potential downside but 900% upside.
Invest 1% of your portfolio, you're risking 0.5% with 9% upside to your overall holdings. No brainer.
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After some rethinking, going to try limiting my replies to those I follow. Thanks for understanding and bearing with me. I’m young and trying to deal with the negativity and lack of nuance etc. that comes with having the large internet platform I do now.
Have a good night. 🤙🏼
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Microstrategy is up $3,578,716,599 on their
#Bitcoin
position.
In the last 15 years, they've generated $747M in net income.
They've generated 4.79x their total net income from the last 15 years, in less than a year, simply by buying Bitcoin.
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