Tracy Høeg, MD, PhD
@TracyBethHoeg
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MD w/PhD in epidemiology |Scientist @ucsf , SDU & from 5/2024 @MITSloan | PM&R doc @NCOA |🇩🇰🇺🇸 dual citizen | Former team 🇺🇸 & 🇩🇰 runner |☀️🏔️views mine
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One day, historians will look back on the pandemic & find what we did to kids in the name of Health was harmful, unethical & as Scandinavia showed us, unnecessary
In many ways, it is still happening
It's up to us to do better
My piece in
@Sensible__Med
👇
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Massive Nordic study finds risk of post-vaccination
myo/pericarditis resulting in hospitalization in males 16-24 of 380/million (1/2600) post pfizer-moderna combination
This is 28x higher than the 13.7/million rate they found post-covid🧵
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🇫🇮Finland officially not recommending vax for kids 5-11 w/o risk factors
"Infections in children of this age are usually mild & severe disease is extremely rare. When the burden of disease is small in one’s own group, very few adverse effects are accepted"
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Post vax myocarditis vs post-Covid myocarditis
It keeps coming up, so I'll retweet.
Myocarditis post pfizer-moderna combo was 28x more common than post covid in 16-24 yo males in this massive Nordic study published in
@JAMACardio
@drdrew
@contrarian4data
Was asked to review myo rates post vax vs post covid
Using this Nordic study of 23 million
For 16-24 yo males, post vax myo rates were
6 (pfizer-pfizer) to 28 (pfizer-moderna) x
HIGHER than post covid
Males 12-15 had 0 post covid myo cases
See # s in 🧵
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🇳🇴👏:"Norwegian authorities believe 5-11-year-old children can be better protected against future coronavirus variants if they are infected naturally instead of vaccinated. Vaccination will be an option directed at the most vulnerable," says the major Danish newspaper
@politiken
Norske myndigheder mener, at 5-11-årige børn kan være bedre beskyttet mod fremtidige coronavarianter, hvis de smittes naturligt frem for vaccineres. Vaccine bliver et tilbud rettet til sårbare.
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💯 👇
"Public-health officials have massively exaggerated long Covid to scare low-risk Americans as our government gives more than $1 billion to a long Covid medical-industrial complex"
Thank you, Dr.
@MartyMakary
for telling it like it is
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🇬🇧 The research group at Oxford who compared myocarditis rates after covid to after the vax () have just released a new analysis:
In males 16-39,
Myocarditis more common after Pfizer dose 2 & 3
&
Moderna dose 2 than after infection
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🇩🇰 Child vax rec from Denmark:
"Children only very rarely get seriously ill from the omicron variant...from July 1st, it will no longer be possible for children <18 to get their 1st dose & from Sept 1st they will no longer be able to get their 2nd dose"
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Tragic but revealing report from Yale of 2 teenage boys who died of "acute myocardial injury" 3 & 4 days after Pfizer vax. Neither had typical cardiac symptoms, both found dead in bed.
"may represent overly exuberant immune response &
myocardial injury"
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🇸🇪 Sweden is not recommending COVID-19 vaccination of non high-risk children 5-11 "'With a low risk for serious disease for kids, we don't see any clear benefit with vaccinating them' Health Agency official Britta Bjorkholm told a news conference."
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Just to make this crystal clear, data just released from Denmark (where 85% of infections are omicron) show no effect of the booster against being infected and no difference between 2 and 3 doses against severe disease except 3 doses better against severe disease for those >70.
🇩🇰Updated data from Denmark showing highest rates of infection in those who have received *boosters* who are >40 yo
🟢booster
🔵2 doses
🔴previously infected
🟠unvaccinated
But see adjustment for test # s below
Denmark now w/around 85% omicron
@SSI_dk
()
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🇨🇦Ontario reporting the highest rate of post vaccination myocarditis I've seen:
1/1287 (777/mill) in males 18-24 if they received Pfizer then Moderna within 30 days
Moderna >6x higher risk of myo than pfizer
This & the new study from France discussed 🧵
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If the best study we have (Hong Kong) says post-vax dose 2 myocarditis occurs in 1/2680 12-17 yo boys
& Nordic & French studies say myocarditis post moderna is 3.3-3.7x more common than pos Pfizer, that would give a post dose 2 moderna myo rate of 1/724-812 in 12-17 yo males 🧵
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🇹🇭Stunning prospective study from Thailand
Of 301 13-18 year olds following dose 2 pfizer
18% had abnormal EKG post vax
3.5% (7/202) males & 0 females developed myoperi/peri or subclinical myocarditis, 2 were hospitalized w/1 being observed in the ICU
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Since Denmark dropped all COVID-19 restrictions on September 10th, they have seen falling rates of Covid-related hospitalization. No vax passports, no masks, normal life (even in schools!) and their fully-vaccinated rate is similar to the Bay Area at 74.2%
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I wasn't going to tweet today, but omg🤦♀️
You can't hand pick a few confounded observational studies w/only 243 people & expect to accurately determine mask effectiveness. One of these studies was a flight of 20 people, all masking & none got covid. That's not a study of masks!
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So, is myocarditis after vax more common than after covid in 12-17 yo boys?
Let's look at the two studies they are discussing
I would tend to agree w/
@joerogan
the better-designed study is the one from Oxford showing myo after vax more than after covid in males <40
Here's why🧵
If anyone was going to make me look dumb on the podcast I’m glad it’s
@joshzepps
, because I love him, and he’s awesome.
However this is why I was confused:
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Yes👇.
@FLSurgeonGen
is spot on & has been asking me & certainly many others to send data on masking kids in schools- he wants the truth. We don't have good data showing they prevent COVID spread & certainly have downsides for kids. 🧵
( And OMG
@GovRonDeSantis
mentioned me?😯)
Florida's New Surgeon General Asks People To Step Away From What You Hear On TV For A Moment...
And Listen To What He Has To Say About School Mask Mandates & The Data...
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🇨🇦New Canadian study finds 3rd (booster) dose pfizer to have a *higher* rate of post vax myo in 12-17 yo boys (94/million) than the 2nd dose (67/million)
Why aren't more physicians questioning
@CDCgov
for recommending boosting of non high risk kids?
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@SecCardona
Secretary Cardona, I was the senior author of this study. Our study is not able to give any information about the role masks played in the observed low in-school transmission rates. We had no control group so don't know if the rate would have been different without masks.
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Finally proof: The
@CDCDirector
had been "preparing to write that schools could provide in-person instruction regardless of community spread" when teachers unions intervened. Feb is when everyone at the CDC started to ignore the findings of our WI study 😢
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🇩🇰New important Danish data
-HIGHER rates of infection among vaccinated 5-11 yos, even when adjusting for testing rate
-Boosters not associated w/lower infection rates
🟠unvaccinated
🔵2 doses
🟢booster
Data on severe disease & thoughts on mandates 👇
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Striking poster at American College of Cardiology conference showing strong association of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines with developing atrial fibrillation (arrhythmia), much more than other vaccines (see Figure 1, Table 2). Not peer reviewed but should be further investigated.
#ACC22
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At a pivotal moment, just 9 days after the
@CDCgov
recommended the covid vax for adolescents, in May of 2021,
@CDCgov
decided NOT to send an already-written alert about the risks of post-mRNA vax myocarditis.
Sending it might have changed the entire globe's vaccination strategy,…
CDC drafted an alert on COVID-19 vaccines and myocarditis but never sent it, email obtained by The Epoch Times shows.
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Case series: 16 patients 12-17 at Seattle Children's w/suspected mRNA vax induced myopericarditis"
69% still w/LGE 3-8 months later
LGE is "an indicator of cardiac injury & fibrosis.. strongly associated w/worse prognosis in patients w/..acute myocarditis"
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Was asked to review myo rates post vax vs post covid
Using this Nordic study of 23 million
For 16-24 yo males, post vax myo rates were
6 (pfizer-pfizer) to 28 (pfizer-moderna) x
HIGHER than post covid
Males 12-15 had 0 post covid myo cases
See # s in 🧵
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Today I voiced my opposition to CA's
#AB2098
, which could lead to doctors facing disciplinary action if accused of spreading covid mis/disinformation. As I discuss here, repeatedly what was considered misinformation has turned out to be true. This bill is a threat to all of us🧵
More great opposition testimony from
@TracyBethHoeg
, who has used a calculated and politically free approach in analyzing Covid mitigations. She, like others, has been proven correct, even though some of her scientific opinions countered the narrative at one time.
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New Nordic study🇩🇰🇸🇪🇫🇮🇳🇴
Follow up through late winter/early spring 2022
4.8x more cases of post vax myo than post covid myo
>10x more in 12-24 year olds
2x as many post vax heart failure dx than post covid
But the authors' conclusions may surprise you 🧵
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Many are asking for an update on our North Dakota masking study. Two K-12 public school districts in the same county: Cass, ND, both w/around 12,000 students
Active school cases in 2021 ⬇️
FPS (🔵)= mask mandate
WF (🟡)= masks optional
FPS slightly higher staff vax rate
(1/2)
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🇳🇴 Norway re covid in schools
"Only adults that have symptoms are encouraged to get tested
Children don't need to be tested even if they have symptoms
Children should stay home if sick but can return to school when they have been fever free for 24 hours"
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Our new preprint is out: We reanalyze & expand the highly-influential Boston school mask study by Cowger et al published in
@NEJM
- Our expanded sample actually found higher case rates (not significant) in the masking districts
- The authors' original findings did not hold up…
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This morning, I testified as an expert physician epidemiologist on COVID in schools for a House of Representatives Round Table. It was a fascinating and productive experience. To me, the most important messages were as follows:
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I may never get over the fact one of the most important findings of the last 3 yrs:
That transmission rates of infected people to others (secondary attack rate) was unrelated to # of vax doses received
was buried in the supplements of this Danish study🤦♀️👇
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New research letter:
Hospitalization rates for 5-11 year olds by disease
COVID-19 w/o MISC: 5.7/100,000
MISC: 5.1/100,000
Influenza:17.0/100,000
RSV: 6.2/100,000
In other words, the hospitalization rate for COVID +/- MISC lower than for influenza 2017
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Many suggest "hybrid immunity" (hx of infection + vax) is superior to immunity from infection alone, but we now have 2 large studies not detecting additional benefit of vax after infection for prevention of hospitalization.
This best was just published 👇:
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I believe this is the 1st confirmed post-vax myocarditis death in the US:
"Because he wanted to take his classes in person, George Jr. needed to be fully vaccinated"
"An autopsy report ... shows George Jr. died from “COVID-19 vaccine-related myocarditis”
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Today AB-2098 the physician misinformation bill goes into effect as law in California. I have written here about how & why I anticipate this will harm patients & healthcare in California & why I hope our lawsuit in opposition in successful.
Happy New Year!
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Huge win for California:
AB2098, which threatened physicians' licenses if they didn't repeat the government-approved covid "consensus" w their patients will be repealed
This follows Høeg v Newsom prelim injunction
So grateful to our attorneys
@LauraPowellEsq
&
@JeninYounesEsq
BIG NEWS: A few days ago, SB815 was quietly amended to include a provision that will repeal AB2098, the doctor censorship law. I guess the state doesn't feel good about its chances of prevailing since we obtained a preliminary injunction against this unconstitutional law.
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Yes, Denmark's announcement about no longer vaccinating children (unless they are felt to be high risk by a physician) ...
is now being labeled "misleading" by Twitter
🤷♀️🙃
Danish Health Authority updates COVID vaccination based on age-risk profile for Autumn
(Published currently on website)
People >40 benefit most from vaccination.
Children: Vaccine no longer for everyone. Only after medical (risk) assessment.
1/2
👇
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Update from the Fargo, North Dakota masking study:
Two neighboring K-12 districts (same community) both with around 12,000 students
🔵 Mask mandate
🟡 Masks optional (<5% masking)
Y axis= % of students positive for covid
Green vertical line: when🔵 went masks optional
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The final analysis from the adjacent Fargo, ND K-12 districts, both with~12,000 students, is now available
🔵mask mandate
🟣masks optional
We observed no significant difference in covid case rates while the districts had differing OR the same mask policies
every reasonable study I have seen on this topic has come to the same conclusion
masking policies do not seem to have any effect on case rates
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This new JAMA study is worth discussing. It found that, this winter, vax effectiveness in 12-15 yos dropped to 0% after 3-5 months & vaccinated were MORE likely to test+ at month 7. May be confounded (see🧵)
But I don't see this as good reason for boosters
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This good news is not unexpected:
"My research team at Johns Hopkins... found a mortality rate of zero among children without a pre-existing medical condition[s]." -
@MartyMakary
Excellent article with spot on critique of the
@CDCgov
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🇶🇦Qatari study in
@NEJM
of pfizer in prev uninfected kids during omicron
No severe disease in vax or unvax groups
12-17 cumulative incidence ~same @ 165 days
5-11 VE -9.5 @ >4 mos
"Our findings suggest the need to reconsider the value & strategies of vaccinating healthy children"
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Wow-A must read👇
How embarrassing for
@Harvard
to fire a brilliant Prof of Medicine for refusing to get a covid vaccine
They fired him for appropriately & correctly speaking out
Martin points out the Harvard motto is "veritas" (truth)
But apparently they value appearances more
I am no longer a professor of medicine at
@Harvard
. Here is the story of my Harvard experience until I was fired for clinging to the truth.
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Norway 🇳🇴 is now not offering covid vaccination to children 12-15 who have already had covid:
"Since recovery also provides protection against new infection, vaccines are not currently offered to 12-15-year-olds who have had COVID-19."
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🇨🇦Ontario reporting *negative* vax effictiveness after 2 doses against omicron
"Receipt of 2 doses of COVID-19 vax not protective against Omicron infection at any point in time"
After 2nd dose,
VE:–38% at 120-179 days & –42% at 180-239 days
Why mandate?
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1st Amendment bars the gov't from viewpoint-based censorship
yet "The..government unlawfully coerced [tech] companies..to ensure..state-approved info about Covid.
Americans were given the false impression of a 'scientific consensus'"
Must read👇
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The highest rate of post-Pfizer vax myocarditis reported thus far: 1/2700 in 12-17 yo males after vax dose 2.
Considering covid hosp rate after dose 1 or after infection expected to be much lower than this in healthy 12-17 yos, argues against dose 2 for boys (& against mandates)
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Am I the only one who feels it is not appropriate to require kids to be vaccinated for a disease that poses very little risk to them with a vaccine that only has EUA to be able to take off their masks *outdoors*?🤨(we have data masking kids outside does 0)
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"The forever masking ..crowd are viciously ableist - as they are creating & perpetuating a system that keeps those w/dementia, deafness, the developmentally & intellectually disabled..perpetually confused, isolated, & cut off from the world around them"👏
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Just...wow. How is this
@JAMANetworkOpen
article on supposed "misinformation" spread by physicians not parody?
I outline in this🧵9 of the more egregious false claims made by the authors
Study should be retracted; it's an embarrassment to our profession
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Healthy, athletic 14 yo girl dies 2 days post Pfizer dose 3 diagnosed w/"vaccine-related multiple-organ inflammation."
Why are healthy children being told to get a booster & why is this published in "Legal Medicine" instead of a major medical journal?
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Our hearing against
#AB2098
went well
Judge Shubb was astute, understood the arguments in our declarations & said the definition of "misinformation" in the law was "nonsense"
@bystephenhobbs
has excellent coverage + interview w/me here👇
w/
@AzadehKhatibi
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Yes,
@dockaurG
, this
@NEJM
article is great not only bc it shows natural immunity (A) provides greater protection than vax (B) against future infection, but it calls into question the very idea of "hybrid immunity":
An extra vax dose (C) doesn't seem to add much to nat immunity
Good eye Dr.
@TracyBethHoeg
.
Speaking of the newly coined and deceptive term “hybrid immunity”
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Since the school year's start,
@ordinrysprheros
,
@ifihadastick
& I have been following 2 k-12 public school systems in Fargo, Cass County, ND, both w/around 12,000 students
Prelim data:
FPS (blue)= mask mandate
WF (yellow)= masks optional
We hope
@CDCgov
will be interested, too
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🇸🇪Sweden Nov 1 no longer recommends Covid vax for kids 12-17 unless the child is deemed high risk
Reasons listed:
-very high immunity in this group (immuniteten i gruppen är mycket hög)
-for otherwise healthy kids it's seen as a normal respiratory infection(vanligt luftvägsvirus)
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Fascinating. Apparently no one who received the Pfizer vaccine after the original clinical trial got the process 1 vaccine that was given in the trial (and only 250 people in the intervention arm of the trial got a vaccine made using "process 2"). So safety and efficacy of the…
The question the Fackcheckers have to ask themselves,
how long can they live with themselves propping up a fraud? Pfizer pulled a bait & switch. The vials in the trial are not what was given to the public and you are now an accomplice in a RICO case that will sink you.
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🇫🇮 Hello, Finland 👋
Their country reports 0 (zero) covid deaths in those <20
-never masked kids <12
-only 9% of 5-11 yos fully vaccinated
Something tells me their numbers are more reliable than the
@CDCgov
's when it comes to pediatric covid deaths 🤔
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Oh boy.
@CDCgov
released data on the new bivalent booster & it doesn't look good at 2-3 months.
They used test negative design so very likely *over*estimates effectiveness if biv boosted people have lower threshold to test & VE still only 20-30% in ≥65?!
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I'm very happy about the response to the article
@MartyMakary
& I wrote.
People do seem to understand:
Disagreement is fundamental to science &
We need to be able to rely on physicians & scientists to speak out if they're concerned for people's well being
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Why is the
@US_FDA
not concerned about this? Where is the risk-benefit calculation for this group? What evidence do we have healthy children, most of whom have been infected, should even get one dose? I have been asking this for well over a year now, but now... Moderna approved?
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New👇concerning study of covid vax safety in kids
All data from randomized trials
17,538 in vax group
8011 in placebo
Vax group had
◾️3.8 x⬆️risk of severe adverse events (5-17yrs)
◾️3x⬆️risk of lower respiratory infection(6m-5yrs)
We never had data to rec vax 4 all kids
We conducted a systematic review and meta analysis of the phase 3 trials to investigate the overall health effects of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines in children. The resulting article is now available as a preprint. 1/4
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Our
@CDCDirector
just making things up
Claims it was correct when she said "vaccinated people do not carry the virus"
(was incorrect)
Then says "All the data at that time suggested people who were vaccinated even if sick couldn't transmit"
(No all the data didn't suggest this)
Due to "an evolution of science," CDC Director Rochelle Walensky now admits vaccinated individuals can, in fact, transmit COVID to others
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Head of the Danish Pediatrics Society is now also saying we do not have enough knowledge to recommend Covid vaccination of 12-15 year olds (this source is the major scientific publication for physicians in Denmark).
Sundhedsstyrelsen og Dansk Pædiatrisk Selskab er uenige om anbefaling af vacciner til 12-15-årige børn. Selskabet anbefaler ikke vaccinen til den gruppe, understreger formanden til Ugeskrift for Læger
#sundpol
@BirkelundKlaus
@SSTbrostrom
@SSTSundhed
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Anyone who believes we can forever stop kids from being infected with or transmitting Covid is promoting the impossible, unethical Shanghai Covid Zero ideology. We would not make kids feel guilty for transmitting influenza, so why would we do this with covid? It's immoral.
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Anyone who knows
@DrJBhattacharya
knows he's exactly the type of person you *don't* want to silence: a positive, kind, evidence-based, great thinker who saw so clearly & quickly the unnecessary, pointless collateral damage being done during the pandemic, particularly to children.
3. Take, for example, Stanford’s Dr. Jay Bhattacharya (
@DrJBhattacharya
) who argued that Covid lockdowns would harm children. Twitter secretly placed him on a “Trends Blacklist,” which prevented his tweets from trending.
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A good reminder this time of year that in a study of >30,000 high school athletes in both indoor and outdoors sports, mask usage was not found to be correlated with COVID-19 case numbers.
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Why is my tweet 👇 being labeled as "misleading"? I'm discussing the
@CDCgov
's own slides. Was it because I was expressing uncertainty about vaccine risks vs. current COVID risks to otherwise healthy kids? Thoughts?
@CDCgov
Post-vax myocarditis was clearly above baseline at the end of May. As previously discussed, we are standing on shaky ground if we say the risk to otherwise healthy kids from Covid-19 is higher than it is from the vaccine.
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Nice editorial in
@ADC_BMJ
by
@apsmunro
&
@R_Hughes1
We never had good evidence of benefits of masking kids
Scandinavia got it right
Kids seeing smiles, understanding each other & not fearing each other have value
Burden of proof was to show masks had more value..was never shown
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Front page of the major Danish newspaper today reporting that 1/4 to 1/3 of the reported national covid hospitalizations are hospitalized *with* COVID, not *from* Covid. This will be important to adjust for when looking at vaccine efficacy.
Antallet af covidindlagte dækker også over folk med hoftebrud og psykisk syge. Nu kræver politikere, at myndighederne kommer med mere retvisende tal.
#dkmedier
#TomorrowsPapersToday
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It is under no circumstances OK to bully a child for not getting any vaccine. It's vaccine prejudice. Please learn about it here:
In terms of the Covid vax, it doesn't prevent transmission (see data in next tweet)
Get educated & don't be cruel to children
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🇩🇰Director of Danish Ministry of Health
@SSTbrostrom
says they shouldn't have vaccinated kids for covid
👉"I'll admit..we've gotten smarter & would not recommend the same today"
Dr Thomsen
👉"It really didn't make a lot of sense to vaccinate the youngest"
FYI if you live in a country that just approved obselete SARS-CoV-2 vaccines to 0.5-4 year olds ⤵️
Director of the Danish Health Authority
@SSTbrostrom
: vaccinating children (5-15 year olds) in fall was a *mistake*, would not have made the decision today
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I'm thrilled about
@GovRonDeSantis
initiative. It's easy complain about CDC, but a much greater challenge to build something new: a public health group that is transparent, evidence-based, values people >> industry & shuns scientific censorship. It's very Scandinavian actually 1/
Florida
@GovRonDeSantis
is setting up an evidence based Public Health Integrity Committee as we can no longer trust CDC. I am honored to serve as one of its members together with
@DrJBhattacharya
,
@TracyBethHoeg
,
@StabellBenn
,
@BretWeinstein
,
@stemplet74
,
@JosephFraiman
et al.
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New Israeli study of booster-associated myocarditis. In 18-24 yo males, they found an incidence of 1/9000 or 110/million doses. Considering we don't know how many in this age group need 3rd doses to prevent 1 covid hospitalization, this seems concerning
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Noo🤦♀️..Classic correlation≠causation. So many potential confounders
-Kids diagnosed w/covid more likely to seek medical care & thus get other diagnoses like diabetes
-Overweight kids more likely to get symptomatic covid
-Kids of ess. workers more likely to get covid & diabetes
Children who have recovered from Covid-19 appear to be at significantly increased risk of developing Type 1 or Type 2 diabetes, CDC researchers reported on Friday.
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Amazing party last night w/so many people coming together in opposition of
#AB2098
Before this photo,
@DrJBhattacharya
,
@JZachreson
& I were discussing how, though the pandemic is over, the most important work lies ahead- ensuring the same mistakes aren't made again in the future
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Denmark's decision to drop all COVID restrictions 9/10 is particularly interesting given cases not dropping, hospitalizations steady, but mortality exceptionally low & >70% of the pop fully vaccinated. They see the downsides of restrictions & that this may be as good as it gets👏
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Our
@CDCDirector
is reciting US govt propaganda
-omitting incidental hospitalization rates
-omitting better
@JAMACardio
data finding post vax myocarditis 6-28x higher than post covid in 16-24 yo males
-omitting the fact no European countries recommend the new vax for healthy kids
While we know kids are less impacted than adults from Covid, unfortunately they can still get sick – and sometimes really sick – from Covid. That’s why CDC recommends kids 6 months & older get their updated Covid vaccine this fall.
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3. Millions/billions of $ should not be spent on new school ventilation, expansions, plastic barriers when we know these are not necessary. This $ should instead be directly funneled to improve education and accelerate learning to make up for losses incurred over the past year.
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Worth pointing out👇
Of the 50 study participants that got the Moderna monovalent vax
@CDCgov
universally recommended today, 1/50 (2%) had a medically-attended adverse event related to the vax
W/unknown clinical benefits how can CDC say w certainty benefits outweigh risks 4 all?
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Alright, here you go:
In LA county, pediatric covid cases made up a LARGER fraction of the total cases (33.9%) DURING the school mask mandate than AFTER (22.6%)
Don't be fooled by the numbers presented yesterday (see🧵)
I made the beautiful graph &
@AChandra_TO
pulled the numbers
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🇳🇴Norway is holding off on a blanket recommendation of boosters for those 18-44 & specifically state
"For those <30, & especially men, it is more uncertain if the desired effects outweigh the undesired effects"
*This* 👇 is good public health messaging
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🇩🇪German study w/cardiac autopsy findings of 5 people who died unexpectedly *at home*
≤7 days of covid vax w/"vaccine-induced myocardial inflammation representing the likely or possible cause of death"
2 females, 3 males
4/5 dose 1 mRNA vax
median age 58
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“We need to make sure schools are safe” said
@DrPanMD
about mandating vax for all school kids in California
For a vax that doesn't prevent transmission & has yet-to-be-fully-defined side effects, requiring it for kids to get an education is non-sensical🧵
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Despite what the
@AmerAcadPeds
may tell you, we have no good evidence schools w/mask policies had less covid spread
The study they're referring to was hopelessly confounded
& studies from Finland, Spain & North Dakota have found no sig corr. between school masking & kids cases
🧵
Masks are important to help reduce the spread of COVID-19. During the pandemic, schools with mask policies had less spread of COVID in school. Masks may still be needed to keep kids safe.
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The latest update from our Fargo, ND K-12 masks study now w/crossover
FPS district 🔵 mask mandate, 11,346 students
WF district 🟡 masks optional, 12,208 students
Same municipality & county
Y axis: % students actively + for covid
vertical green line = FPS 🔵 went masks optional
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The moment things went really wrong for Denmark with their
-accurate & transparent covid communication
-acknowledging tradeoffs
-never masking kids <12
-prioritizing normal childhood
-not imposing school vax mandates
Was... 🤔👇🤷♀️
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🇬🇧Sounds like UK may no longer recommend covid vax to non high risk kids <11
Here👇Nordic counties' vax policies for non high-risk kids
🇩🇰not offered <18
🇫🇮5-11 not recommended, offered
🇮🇸5-11 offered
🇳🇴5-11 not recommended, offered
🇸🇪5-11 not offered
🧵
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Anyone else look at this slide from the FDA meeting today & think this is not great evidence Pfizer has an effective vax for 6mo to <2?
It's around 200 days from dose 1 before the curves separate...then they get "75% efficacy" after dose 3 but that CI goes to -370!
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For the first post on my Substack, I am featuring a letter from a high school senior, Enrique Abud Evereteze, in opposition to returning to school mask mandates.
In his own words "it is dehumanizing" and “students have been used as ineffective shields”
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A year and 2 days ago today,
@drjohnm
,
@KrugAlli
,
@ifihadastick
& I uploaded our preprint reporting a rate of post pfizer dose 2 myocarditis of
94/mill (1/10,600) in 16-17yo males & 162/mill (1/6,200) in 12-15yo males.
@CDCgov
is now finally catching up & reporting similar🧵
So the CDC finally agrees with
@TracyBethHoeg
and
@drjohnm
Myocarditis 1:2000 to 1:6000
My, my, from “misinformation” to “The Science” in less than a couple months
👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻
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One constant of the pandemic has been the School Response Dashboard showing no correlation between masking students & COVID cases among students or staff. Also slightly lower rates for full time in person for students & staff (remote student data not included). What am I missing?
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I don't understand tying school mask mandates to cases, vax or hospitalizations. If at this point we have no good evidence child mask mandates are efficacious, why not just drop them? If I had a high risk child, I would vax them & neither trust nor want kids around them masking.
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Very important piece by
@VPrasadMDMPH
Americans should know many of the studies being promoted by the CDC are "plagued with classic errors & biases... uniquely timed to further political goals & objectives [and] appear more as propaganda than as science"
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Yep,
@uberliner
is spot on about
@NPR
: "politics were blotting out the curiosity..that ought to have been driving our work"
I was invited to be on All Things Considered April 2021 but became uninvited after stating kids shouldn't mask during sports🧵
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