David Schneider-Joseph 🔍
@TheDavidSJ
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Working on AI gov. Past: Technology and Security Policy @ RAND re: AI compute, telemetry database lead & 1st stage landing software @ SpaceX; AWS; Google.
Cambridge, MA
Joined November 2010
New paper I worked on with @EgeErdil2.
1/ How does data movement constrain the size of AI training runs? We find that the largest training runs to date may be only ~two orders of magnitude away from fundamental data movement barriers to scaling, which will arrive in ~three years given recent scaling trends.
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Blake Lemoine famously claimed LaMDA was conscious, but his “evidence” was consistent with roleplay in response to leading questions. It has also been said LLMs cannot be conscious in principle, but on weak grounds. Two new papers offer hints on the question. (See next tweet.)
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MAJOR NEWS: @GavinNewsom signed SB 79, my bill allowing more housing near public transit — rail, subway, rapid bus. It’s a huge step for housing in California. It’ll create more homes, strengthen our transit systems & reduce traffic & carbon emissions. Thank you, Governor!
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I often see argument: “We have two choices: current rate of AI progress and very large risk of doom, or slow things down, greatly reducing risk in exchange for minuscule delay of benefits.” But whether true depends on mechanism of slowdown. Draconian measures might increase risk.
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Haven’t read the book myself yet, but this critique covers many of my own views on the previous writings of the authors.
Here’s a mini-review of “If anyone builds it, everyone dies”: tl;dr: I found the book disappointing. I thought it relied on weak arguments around the evolution analogy, an implicit assumption of a future discontinuity in AI progress, conflation of “misalignment” with
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Steven Pinker on my guest post
Alzheimer's researchers used to be divided by a religious war: the BAPtists (Beta-Amyloid Protein) vs. the Tauists (Tau tangles). A lot of journalistic coverage has recently suggested that the amyloid hypothesis has been disproven. A guest post in @slatestarcodex rather
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Scott called this "one of the best things I've read all year, and the first thing on Alzheimers that makes me actually feel like I understand something".
I wrote a guest post on ACX on the amyloid hypothesis. (Link follows.)
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I wrote a guest post on ACX on the amyloid hypothesis. (Link follows.)
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Once I encounter the fifth "Finally, we …" in the methods section, I start to feel my naive trust has been violated.
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It seems like OpenAI tried to distill the Steve Jobs keynote model down to its raw life essence but they forgot the life part.
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⚠️TSUNAMI ADVISORY in effect for the California coast. Stay away from the water! Stay away from beaches and waterways! Remain away from shore until local officials say that it is OK to return. #KnowYourZone at https://t.co/Dm0UehpMVM.
#CAwx #Tsunami
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Pacific tsunami advisory due to magnitude 8.7 earthquake off coast of Kamchatka.
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