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Pinned Tweet
In less than a week,
#Bitcoin
becomes harder than Gold
After the halving Bitcoin's inflation rate will drop by half to 0.8%, below Gold's 1.4%
Opt for the harder money!
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We just learned Ziya Sadr, one of the pillars of the Iranian bitcoin community and a freedom advocate, is arrested as part of the ongoing freedom protests in Iran.
To all bitcoiners: Be his voice. Spread the news.
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524
I was forgetting that Keynesians actually believe war is good, and one of them just said exactly that!
How much brain damage you need to believe all of the destruction war brings amounts to economic growth?
@saifedean
's Bitcoin Standard tears down this idiocy pretty well
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483
Why Hong Kong's potential approval of spot Bitcoin ETF is the most significant development in the market right now
An article.
Abstract:
China is grappling with a severe economic crisis, characterized by a soaring debt-to-GDP ratio which reached a record 288% in 2023, and a…
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Michael Burry did NOT short the market by $1.6B
1. He did NOT do it “now”. The filing reports on the previous quarter between April and July.
2. He is NOT “shorting” rather hedging his long portfolio. He has about a $100M of longs. And has bought S&P and Nasdaq puts to hedge…
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House passed
#HR1044
lifting immigration per-country cap. Impact: immigration limited to one nation and IT firms. STAND UNITED against an unfair bill - Call your senator and express your opposition to
#S386
.
#NoHR1044
#NoS386
@RandPaul
@senatemajldr
@LindseyGrahamSC
@JohnCornyn
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As reported by his friend,
#ZiyaSadr
, the
#Bitcoin
educator, was brutally arrested while walking in the street; his bail request rejected after 2 months of prison, & now new undisclosed charges are being appended to his case risking complications. Be his voice
#FreeZiyaSadr
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Morgan Stanley is already sending educational material to their clients.
A sign that they are preparing to provide clients access to
#Bitcoin
ETFs.
This is the Wealth and Investment Management division, which oversees $6.6 trillion in assets owned by 6.8 million households.
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#Bitcoin
solved the deadly trade-off in money: making money easier to move, also made it easier to create.
Before
#Bitcoin
we really had not solved the problem of money
Humanity needed a monetary technology with a reliable and trustworthy supply that was also easy to transfer…
Before the Internet, it was impossible for humanity to have finite bearer money that could be sent anywhere in seconds.
We couldn't have perfect money until the Internet, personal computing, and cheap storage were widespread.
Satoshi connected the dots at exactly the right…
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2K
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373
#Bitcoin
is at $70K, and the Google Trends index is basically back to where it was at the beginning of the year.
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"I am very bullish on the long-term viability of Bitcoin. [...] This is the fastest growing ETF in the history of ETFs."
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#Bitcoin
's Total Addressable Market
What is the total wealth that Bitcoin can potentially attract at hyperbitcoinization? What final price does this imply? A mini-article.
Hal Finney famously predicted Bitcoin's TAM for the first time and calculated the price of $10 million per
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WOW – Blackrock broke another record. It got a whopping $788M of inflow today. The highest EVER.
Disciplined investors buying the dip.
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۱. چرا اصلا بیتکوین لازم هست؟ فارغ از همه نبوغ تکنولوژیکی که مثلا الان میشه هر مقدار پول رو در چند دقیقه به اونور دنیا فرستاد یه علت مهم و اصلا انگیزه ساتوشی مبارزه با فساد سیستماتیک اقتصادهای دنیا بود.
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Blackrock finally hits the ground.
After a 71-day streak of inflow, it had no flows today.
What a ride it was!
The most successful ETF launch in the history of ETFs. And $15.5B collected in only 71 days. And it will continue to attract flows well into the future.
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These numbers have become absurd. Blackrock $IBIT bring in a casual $587M today. Look at the polynomial trend line showing the meteoric rise of inflows.
It is accelerating fast. Where is this gonna be in a month?
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Summary of the Episode with
@dotkrueger
I thought I'd summarize yesterday's chat with Fred. Here is what we discussed if you missed it🧵
- Larry Fink's progress from Bitcoin hater to Bitcoin bro
- Summary of 1 quarter of Bitcoin ETF action
- Statistical modeling of the impact…
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Late Feb, when we hit $63K, funding rate was through the roof.
Now, we are the $63K again with a near zero funding rate.
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After the halving, when does Bitcoin start to move?
This chart shows the average returns after the halving across all epochs.
1/ For the first few months, nothing much happens, and then the explosion begins.
Now let's zoom in..
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ریسک آلتکوینها
۱. از شروع بولمارکت بیتکوین، تحلیلهای پرمخاطبی در خصوص این تکنولوژی آلتها انجام میشه اما تحلیلگران نکات مهمی در مورد ریسک این کوین ها از قلم میاندازند که این رشتو هر چند روز یک بار به یک موردش میپردازم.
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Words cannot capture how proud I am with my brothers and sisters
THIS IS THE WAY
#MahsaAmini
#Mahsa_Amini
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More on Hong Kong spot Bitcoin ETFs
BBG: could be as soon as Monday
Why Hong Kong's potential approval of spot Bitcoin ETF is the most significant development in the market right now
An article.
Abstract:
China is grappling with a severe economic crisis, characterized by a soaring debt-to-GDP ratio which reached a record 288% in 2023, and a…
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449
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#Bitcoin
ETFs Update – Wednesday, April 10, 2024
In honor of GBTC's lowest flow on record, we will begin today's thread earlier than usual.
1/ GBTC had an outflow of -$17.5M, the LOWEST ON RECORD.
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من با مشورت با افراد آشنا به وضعیت ضیا، دارم فکر میکنم در توییتر و سایر پلتفورم ها یک طوفان راه بندازیم و درخواست آزادی ضیا رو کنیم و دوباره بیاریم رو اخبار. بچههای انجمن بلاکچین هم میگن امکانش رو دارند یک تجمع برپا کنند. کامیونیتی کریپتو کی میخواد برای اعضاش یه اقدامی کنه؟
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HOLY MOLY!!! look at this guys.
Fidelity is doing a GBTC: -$191M
even more than today's GBTC outflow
cc:
@BitcoinNewsCom
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#Bitcoin
ETFs Update – Tuesday, March 19
Ladies and gentlemen! The Bitcoin ETF complex had its worst day today, by a wide margin, with strong outflows and weak inflows.
Net flow: $-326M
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Let's Fucking Go...
This is the power of an open monetary network. Fees of EXACTLY ZERO for buying
#Bitcoin
Glad to see
@jackmallers
@ln_strike
taking down the KripTo casinos
@coinbase
@binance
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دیروز دادگاه عالی کانادا به والت Nunchuk ایمیل زده و دستور صادر کرده تمام بیتکوین افراد مرتبط به فاندریزینگ تظاهرات کامیونداران رو فریز کنند.
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صادقترین تریدر ایران
تحقیقها نشون دادن حدود ۹۵٪ تریدرها ضرردهاند و بعد از یک سال فقط ۱/۱۰ افراد میمونن. اما فک میکنید چه درصدی از ناموفقها میانو میگن؟
ترید نیازمند آموزش اصولی، ریسک زیاد، زمان تحلیل زیاد، تسلط بر احساسات و ذهن و … است ته همه اینها هم شما مهارتی کسب کردید…
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با فرا رسیدن آلتسیزن وقت سرمایهگذاری رو آلتکوینهای با پتانسیل ۱۰x تا ۱۰۰x و ریسک منقطی فرارسیده.
تو این رشتو میخوام مهمتریناشو معرفی کنم. این فرصت هر چهار سال یکبار از راه میرسه پس از دست ندید.
۱/
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#Bitcoin
ETFs Volumes
Blackrock already at $1.7B, double GBTC's $.85B
Fidelity catching up to GBTC at $.68B
Still about hours left to trade
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Record inflow for VanEck: $119M
$HODL's fee removal was, indeed, a big deal. They brought in 20x their average flow.
Competition intensifies for sucking TradFi $ into
#Bitcoin
!
BREAKING: VanEck Bitcoin Trust ($HODL) eliminates fees for one year. The fee war rages, and the investors win!
This applies to the first $1.5 billion of their AUM and until March 31, 2025
$HODL has been lagging behind the other ETFs. It has been the second slowest one, after…
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These 12 seconds from the
@Matt_Hougan
's interview with Coin Desk's
@HeleneBraunn
is critically important:
The $12B net flow into the
#Bitcoin
ETFs so far was just the money that was already approved and Bitcoin-ready.
The family offices, advisors, and institutions are still…
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Day 22 of
#Bitcoin
ETF trading
Highlights:
- Blackrock $IBIT blasts through the $4B cumulative flow point.
- Inflows are not slowing down but reaccelerating as institutional FOMO kicks in.
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#ضیا_صدر آزاد شد! ممنون از همه کسایی که این مدت صداش بودند.
#ZiyaSadr
is just freed!! Enjoy your freedom brother.
Thanks everyone who was his voice.
هنوز باورم نمیشه بغل دستم نشسته
ضیا آزاد شد.
ضیا قبل از تولدش آزاد شد.
مرسی که انقدر همراهمون بودین تو این مدت❤️
386
767
11K
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Interesting
#Bitcoin
ETF flow pattern:
Mondays are the most bullish
- Highest avg. inflow $540M vs. lowest outflow -$238M
- Net: $302M
Fridays are the most bearish
- Lowest inflow $439M vs. 2nd largest outflow -$277M
- Net: $162M
Mon is ~2X Fri. And a clear trend in between.
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28
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به بیتکوین علاقمند شدم، از کجا شروع کنم؟
لیستی از منابعی که برای شروع عالی اند:
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Blackrock
#Bitcoin
ETF $IBIT is crushing it with cumulative inflows of just below $3B and consistently attracting an average of about $200M/day.
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Larry Fink educating curious normies on Fox Business: "Bitcoin is digital gold and a great long-term store of value… It is bigger than any government”
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سیگنال رایگان:
نزدیک شدن میانگین ۱۴۷ روزه به ۳۲.۵ روزه در ترکیب با سیگنال صدر شده از سری فیبوناچی و ابر کومو نشون میده که بیتکوین اگه نتونه بره بالا، میره پایین.
مراقب پوزیشناتون باشید.
برای دسترسی به سیگنالهای آینده فالو کنین و به دوستاتون معرفی کنین.
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#Bitcoin
ETF Weekly Performance Summary
- This week saw $2.57B of net flow
- Blackrock brought in $2.5B, Fidelity $0.7B, and the rest $0.6
- GBTC lost another $1.25B
- On Friday, cumulative flow passed $12 billion
- Despite the correction, it is quite clear that flows are…
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23
113
Hong Kong conditionally approves spot
#Bitcoin
ETFs
Hong Kong is vying to establish itself as a Bitcoin hub; just three months after the U.S., they approved their first ETFs
The asset managers:
- Harvest Global Investments
- HashKey Capital Ltd. and Bosera Asset Management…
Why Hong Kong's potential approval of spot Bitcoin ETF is the most significant development in the market right now
An article.
Abstract:
China is grappling with a severe economic crisis, characterized by a soaring debt-to-GDP ratio which reached a record 288% in 2023, and a…
31
101
449
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20
111
@SenatorDurbin
Thank you for not letting big tech dictate America’s immigration policies.
#WeSupportSenatorDurbin
1
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NEW ARTICLE
Ark: Bitcoin's New L2 Protocol
Non-custodial, scalable, private payments with minimal on-chain footprint and automatic coinjoins.
A visualized accessible explainer. Both a high-level intro and a deep dive.
By:
@Sinz_Bitguide
&
@4moonsettler
Link & a summary below
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۱. شرط نامتقارن چیست؟
Assymetric Bet
در سرمایه گذاری همیشه با مشکل عدم قطعیت در نتایج مواجهیم و با احتمالات درگیریم.
به این شکل میتوان احتمالات را ارزیابی کرد:
ارزش انتظاری (ارزش میانگین) = احتمال موفقیت x ارزش دارایی در صورت موفقیت + احتمال شکست x ارزش در صورت شکست
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How well are the ETF flows correlated with
#Bitcoin
's price?
Very well!
The key takeaway from this chart is that the ETF flows are real new money. They are not just coming from people selling other Bitcoin proxies.
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دقیق فرمودند:
فروختم بیتکوین .. خریدم شتکوین
یکی زد گولم .. به فاک رفت پولم 😂
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Have you figured out yet that Peter Schiff's Bitcoin comments are just a marketing game?
He is paid to be the anti-Bitcoin voice.
Your illuminating explanations will never change that; only award him the attention he needs.
You are an NPC in his game.
I am sure he laughs at…
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Top 100 ETFs
$IBIT is now among the top 100 ETFs by AUM (Ranked 91). In only three months!
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#Bitcoin
ETFs Update – Monday, May 6, 2024
Four funds have reported, and the numbers are looking great. Let's dig in. 🧵
1/Grayscale had another INFLOW day, $3.96M
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#Bitcoin
ETFs – Day 29, Thu Feb 22
- GBTC printed the LOWEST EVER outflow. It is running out of steam.
✈️
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We are fighters. We want our freedom more than your mercenaries want your money.
#مهسا_امینی
#Mahsa_Amini
#MahsaAmini
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Saylor Tracker!
This Saylor Tracker is amazing.
Beautifully shows how
@Saylor
DCA'd. And despite not caring about the timing, $MSTR's position is up 120%, or $7.3 Billion in profits.
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The hilarious humiliation of Bitcoin doubters every single time.
They never learn. And we get to have fun at every major juncture.
- ETFs won’t be approved.
- Already priced in.
- Sell the news.
- Weak inflows. ETFs are a failure
- Flows are not real
- Its just degens…
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Bitcoin is ready to jump.
A thread on why the market is ready to move. 🧵
Fundamentals – ETF
First, the ETFs continue to bring in serious money day after day, even in pullbacks. A quarter of a billion is being injected from Wall Street to Bitcoin.
The behavior of ETF…
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The essence of socialism is to paint social ideals for the masses, claim virtue, and then have other people pay the costs
Take climate change.
The narrative is the planet is on the verge of collapse but the most vocal climate advocates won't adjust their own lifestyle for…
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The floodgates are open. Game theory marches on.
Why Hong Kong's potential approval of spot Bitcoin ETF is the most significant development in the market right now
An article.
Abstract:
China is grappling with a severe economic crisis, characterized by a soaring debt-to-GDP ratio which reached a record 288% in 2023, and a…
31
101
449
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16
92
Gotta miss the time PlanB was pandering to bitcoiners to follow him (rather than wholsale blocking), and Nic was “huge fan of plan b”
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@natbrunell
@cvpayne
@PeterSchiff
Peter Schiff: "Bitcoin has underperformed if you compare it to gold." 1 minute later: "Bitcoin has outperformed everything, so don't compare it to gold. that's because it is a gigantic bubble."
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#Bitcoin
ETFs Update – Friday, May 3, 2024
ANOTHER RECORD-SETTING DAY!
EVERYONE WAS A BUYER TODAY, INCLUDING GBTC
Today was a very strong day. Many have been mocking Wall Street for being paper hands. Today, we saw some serious BTFD from them.
But I am sure the ETFs are…
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So basically Bitcoiners are now forced subsidizing Ethereans
This is why bitcoiners want bitcoin-only platforms
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Ziya's phone call with his dad from prison:
"What is my condition? What is my crime? I am here for 72 days at no one knows why? how many years am I gonna be here dad? [... dad says they have received no answers...] you know what? I do not care anymore, just tell me you are OK"
As reported by his friend,
#ZiyaSadr
, the
#Bitcoin
educator, was brutally arrested while walking in the street; his bail request rejected after 2 months of prison, & now new undisclosed charges are being appended to his case risking complications. Be his voice
#FreeZiyaSadr
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۱. در اقتصاد ترجیح زمانی یا Time Preference مفهومیست که نشان میدهد یک فرد چقدر سود امروز را به سود فردا ترجیح میده. در مدل های سرمایهگذاری این معیار به شکل یک ضریب تخفیف زمانی استفاده میشه و مشخص میکنه چقدر وقت داریم که به سوددهی برسیم. اما این چرا برای ما مهمه؟
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#Bitcoin
ETFs FLow Update – Tuesday, April 9, 2024
GBTC has reported. So, let's begin our daily ETF thread.
1/ Yesterday, we had the third worst day in terms of net flow. Today appears to be better, at least based on GBTC outflow.
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خیلی مهمه که بدونیم در مقابل ظلم بیطرف وجود نداره
«بی طرف» و «سیاسی نیستم» = «بی شرف»
1
8
74
#Bitcoin
ETF Flow Update – Friday, March 22, 2024
Franklin reported an amazing flow. It is our cue to open a thread for tracking today's the flows.
1/ But first, a look at the big picture. While the inflows have been gobbling up the GBTC outflows, the total flow peaked in…
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His youtube channel where he produced tutorials on bitcoin technology, privacy, etc.
Please share this widely to raise the cost his arrest
@coryklippsten
@SamouraiWallet
@SamouraiDev
@ODELL
@MartyBent
@saifedean
@evoskuil
@gladstein
@stephanlivera
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You sold your corn for this? 🌽
Tally:
- 170 drones - all downed
- 30 cruise missiles - all downed/didn’t arrive
- 120 ballistics - most downed. a few passed through and caused cosmetic damage
- handful of drones and missiles were launched from Iraq and Yemen - never arrived
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دوستانی که سودای ۲۰برابری و چهل برابری پست میکردند بیان یه گزارش بدن حالا ببینیم چند چندین 😂
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#Bitcoin
ETF Update – Friday March 8, 2024
A thread with all the ETF charts from today added as the data becomes available.
🧵
But first, let's review this fantastic week with average flows: Blackrock and Fidelity brought in average flows of $433M and $302M per day!
This…
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There is a silent war going on
The administration is working hard to kill Bitcoin and crypto after they lost the ETF game to the Judiciary.
That is why they went after self-custody, Samourai, Roger Ver, etc. all in a short span of time
The plan is to only allow the ETFs and…
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US President Joe Biden Administration says Biden would veto legislation that would allow highly regulated financial firms to custody
#Bitcoin
and crypto.
951
1K
5K
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بانکی در لبنان. برای هزینه درمان پدرش میره پولشو از بانک بگیره. اما بهش نمیدن. چون در بانکداری کسری بی در و پیکر، و اوضاع وخیم لبنان، پول کافی در بانکها وجود نداره. خلاصه ایشون هم دیروز میزنه به سرش و گروگان گیری راه میندازه. حسی که پول خودت رو به خودت پس نمیدن خیلی بده.
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6/ Four China-listed ETFs tracking Japan’s Nikkei 225 index have seen record trading volumes.
Some investors have been buying funds that offer exposure to Japanese stocks at a 20% premium to what those stocks are worth.
7/ Chinese investors need a life raft
Strict capital…
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Bitcoin ETF Update, Day 30 – Friday 23rd
- The inflows to the nine new ETFs (ex-GBTC) have surpassed $13B
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9
73
$GBTC has, so far, lost 46.6% of its
#Bitcoin
, being down to 350K from an ATH of 655K
The other nine ETFs are closing in and gobbling up its coins.
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Thank You for Your Interest!
I reached the 10K mark.
At the beginning of the year, I had only 2K followers. Since I began publishing my analyses, I have received wonderful feedback.
Your responses and encouragement have been a major source of motivation to continue this work.…
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What to expect for Bitcoin price this cycle?
I am working on a piece that models this cycle's trajectory based on previous cycles.
However, it is not enough to apply the previous % returns to the next cycle:
– The average price follows a Power Law curve showing diminishing…
11
14
73
We are back indeed! Fidelity's $FBTC prints a $262M inflow, ~double its average.
0
8
73
نرتیو فلیپنینگ و مارکت کپ رو میشنوم واقعا افسوس میخورم. مارکت کپ فقط با اخرین ترید محاسبه میشه و هرگز نشون نمیده کل اون سکهها چند فروش خواهند رفت یا اصلا خریداری دارن یا نه. معیار غلط و گول زنندهایه و کاربردش مارکتینگ و پامپ و دامپ روی لوزر هاست.
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The Game Theory Marches On
Amid the financial and economic mess in China, Hong Kong authorities trying to do what they can to improve the city's attractiveness for financial trading.
And they look to
#Bitcoin
to save them this time.
Chinese investors who have been scrambling…
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وقتی میگیم بیتکوین راه نجات هست از چی حرف میزنیم:
پول لبنان امروز در حال فروپاشی هست، درآمد مردم هر سال معادل مقدار کمتری غذا میشه.
این تورم بالای ۷۰٪.ناشی از سیاست های غلط پولی هست و مردم بی پناه تاوانش رو خواهند داد.
بیتکوین این مشکل رو حل میکنه.
۱. چرا اصلا بیتکوین لازم هست؟ فارغ از همه نبوغ تکنولوژیکی که مثلا الان میشه هر مقدار پول رو در چند دقیقه به اونور دنیا فرستاد یه علت مهم و اصلا انگیزه ساتوشی مبارزه با فساد سیستماتیک اقتصادهای دنیا بود.
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منحنی نرخ بازده
چند تا از دوستان سوال کردند که این منحنیها اصلا به چه معناست و معکوس شدنش چه تعبیری داره. مطلب مفصلی هست و در روم بعدی مدرسه بیتکوین سعی میکنیم عمیقتر واردش بشم اما به طور خلاصه به این معناست:
۱/۱۰
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Bitcoin's MVRV Z-Score = 2.7
This is the level seen in Nov 2020, when Bitcoin was at $18,000 , right before an explosive pump to 69K.
We are ready to begin the same type of move from the ATH.
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Block follows Micro Strategy playbook.
They announced they will buy
#Bitcoin
every month with 10% of gross profit from $BTC products
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#Bitcoin
ETFs Update – March 27, 2024
ARK and GBTC have reported their data. And ARK has absolutely crushed it. 🧵
1/ $ARKB got an inflow of $202M – its best day on record by a wide margin and 5x its average.
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