New blog on indyref mandate 🗳️ By our PI @ailsa_henderson, this blog investigates attitudes to #indyref2 timing and whether there is a middle ground on the "mandate" question 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇬🇧 Particularly relevant given @ScotGovFM has set out @theSNP's stall https://t.co/CMnHc6Lw5m

Thank you Climate Action Secretary @GillianMSP for speaking to 40+ SCCS members ahead of the new Climate Change Plan, and speakers @talatyaqoob, Anki Deo @hopenothate, @frasmcm @ScotVoting for sharing insights ahead of the 2026 election. Lots to think about as we plan campaigns!

Might be of interest @RachelAmery @mrdavidbol @LeaskyHT @BallotBoxScot @conor_matchett @holyroodmandy @justinbowie1997 @alexmassie @HolyroodSources @PonsonbyMassie @adamtomforrest @akmaciver @OfficialSYP @SPICe_Research @SPRExchange @ScotFutures @gillcruicky @BlairJenkinsYes

Finally, while the salience of indy continues to fall, constitutional views remain closely divided and seemingly won't budge 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿⚖️🇬🇧 Views are incredibly polarised across age groups, and the working-age population aren't turning against it even with a @UKLabour govt. in London 👀

Vote intention seems to be stabilising ahead of 2026 🗳️ @ReformUKScot's rapid increase in support has plateaued and @theSNP remain stuck on ~30% 🤷🏻 But @ScottishLabour need to close the gap again if they hope to make @AnasSarwar FM next May 🌹 @ScotTories struggles persist 🤒

On issues, the constitutional question has substantially declined in relevance in the last couple of years 🪧 Scots remain overwhelmingly preoccupied with the state of the economy, the health service, education and increasingly immigration and housing 🏗️

Government performance evaluations are similar. First Minister @JohnSwinney seems to have arrested but not reversed the decline 🫷🏻 Meanwhile, views of the newish @10DowningStreet have only improved marginally over its predecessor 🚪

Scots have become significantly more pessimistic about the country's direction since covid, but attitudes seem to have stabilised over the past year 🥱

🍦Big Scoop tracker update 📊 We've fully updated our handy page of time series public opinion measures, added new visualisations and made it much easier to find. And we've renamed it the SES Opinion Dashboard 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🧑🏽‍🤝‍🧑🏻 Summary 🧵 https://t.co/yVaQPwOCjt

As Trump jets over to Scotland, take a look at @cjcarman's excellent blog on Scottish attitudes the mercurial US President 👇🏻

🇺🇸 New blog! 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 @cjcarman takes a closer look at our data on Trump support in Scotland ahead of the US President's visit. How popular is DJT? Are Reform UK supporters MAGA? And does the support of young men travel across the pond? Find out below! https://t.co/rYycpjEctT

Essay Prize 2025 📝 🧑🏻‍🎓 Undergraduate and school pupil competitions 📆 Deadline 6th July Fantastic judging panel of @simeonkerr, @YouGov's Abigail Axe-Browne and @AlanConvery! https://t.co/GZDksBiABx

Our postdoc @eoghankelly has co-developed @DevolvedVotes, a seat projection tool for devolved elections 🤓🧮 You can select from some preset scenarios or plug in your own vote share numbers to generate precise estimates. More info on our blog ⬇️ https://t.co/yjFPCMhNsP

Seen the headlines in today's Scottish papers? Join @ScotVoting team TONIGHT 6pm @UofGlasgow for an analysis of the the state Scottish electoral politics One Year Out from the 2026 Holyrood elections. Boyd Orr Bldg (University Ave). in-person and on-line https://t.co/4LjyEX0O2F

Our annual SES Bonanza Week kicks off this Thursday with @StevensonTrust at @UofGlasgow! Join us for our take on next year's Scottish Parliament election 🤠🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 ⏰ 1800-1930 📍 203 Boyd Orr Building, Glasgow Sign up 👇🏼 https://t.co/gjvl391MYy

This year's Scottish Election Study Annual Lecture, delivered by our outstanding colleague and @BESResearch Co-Director @ProfJaneGreen, will take place a week on Monday in Edinburgh! 👩🏼‍🏫 Details and sign up below 🔽

Massive congrats to all the other prize winners, particularly our @EdinburghPIR colleagues, and thank you to the PSA and the judges for this recognition. We had a great time in Brum and look forward to seeing everyone in Oxford next year!

Today's the deadline for abstracts for our Scottish politics conference to be held a year out from the next election! There's no registration fee and full papers aren't required. Submit 👇🏻

We find that Reform are, unsurprisingly, attracting anti-immigration and anti-establishment voters in Scotland. They pose a big threat to the @ScotTories but could be held back by a limited pool of prospective voters and Farage's personal ratings. https://t.co/Ns4u5UcK5G

💻 NEW DATA The Scottish political landscape has evolved greatly in recent months and a lot has been said about support for @ReformUKScot without much grounding in analysis. @frasmcm and @ailsa_henderson took a very close look at the party's supporters on our blog - link ⬇️