Santiago Capital
@SantiagoAuFund
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If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs & blaming it on you…NOT TRADING ADVICE
San Juan, Puerto Rico
Joined May 2012
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Pinned Tweet
Have been asked many times if I have a video that quickly explains the Dollar Milkshake Theory (as its an event driven process not just the $ going higher).
Big thanks to the whole
@RealVision
team who collaborated & created this video with me.
👇
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You kind of have to love the fact that the head of Blockchain/Crypto for the EU was bribed with fiat...
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There is always a way…you just have to find it.
😅👏👏💪
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If you can't see it now, I don't think you ever will.
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Post the best chart you’ve seen recently. I’ll start.
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This is truly incredible
Trudeau: "we see a bit of a slippage in our democracies. Countries turning towards slightly more authoritarian leaders. Countries allowing increasing misinformation and disinformation to be shared on social media"
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Absolutely beautiful...👏👏👏
In Naples, Italy, the mayor cited COVID to announce a ban on fireworks for a second straight New Year’s Eve. This was the response from citizens.
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I will say it again even though most wont believe me.
The process of dedollarization is not a negative for price of USD. The process of dedollarization will create chaos that will push USD higher not lower. What comes on other side is anyones guess. But it wont come peacefully.
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Reflections as I leave Argentina:
- Incredible trip. As good as any I have ever taken. Can’t recommend it enough.
- From a diversity perspective it has it all. Beaches, jungles, waterfalls, grasslands, cities and mountains.
- The older generation prefers Maradona while the…
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Think of the monetary system like a game of Musical Chairs. USD Base Money (Reserves at the Fed + Physical Cash & Coins) are the Chairs. All other USD monetary aggregates (M2, M3, Securitized Debts/Loans, USD credit extended, etc) are the people circling the chairs.
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It's really pretty simple.
If you are not free to do with your body as you please, you are not free.
Can dress it up, justify it, say its for the greater good...as most leaders in history prior to Biden have done. But it won't change the fact that it is an assault on liberty.
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So the big banks...are using the money they got from the new deposits they recently received from customers leaving First Republic...to make their own deposits...back into...First Republic...
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Serious question...
If the Canadian truckers protests are not working...and only involve a small fringe minority...then why is Emergencies Act necessary?
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Everything that Jim Rogers wrote in Hot Commodities fifteen years ago is now coming true. He was early. Really early. So early that some said he had lost his touch. But many would now do well to read it and internalize it.
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So...Ghislaine Maxwell has now been found guilty of helping Epstein abuse young girls but all the people who attended his parties, flew on his plane and publicly said things like "we knew what he was doing" are still in positions of influence and power...
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World cant dedollarize w/o deleveraging.
Cant deleverage w/o deflation.
System cant survive deflation bc debt based & must grow or die.
When debt based system deflates underlying collateral rises.
Underlying collateral of system is USD.
So...world cant dedollarize w/o USD rising.
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Funny to see equities up 10-15% off lows, Bitcoin up 25% off lows, Oil still in 90s & inflation prints still in the high single digits...yet many still seem to be expecting an imminent pivot by Fed.
IMO the pivot will only come when they are forced to...& that is not right now...
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Powell literally just said he is going to take away your jobs and get your employers to pay you less...😂
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The citizens of San Francisco should ask the Board of Supervisors why they are willing to clean up the city for visiting foreign dignitaries but not willing to clean it up for the people who actually live there.
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Charts you wont find in a twitter thread about dedollarization
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No Deal over weekend
Futures down Monday
Deal agreed Monday night
Markets up Tuesday
Vote on Deal
Fails
Markets roll over
Politicians blame other side
Revote
Passes
Markets up on news and then rollover when understand it’s liquidity negative
How am I doing so far? Trying to…
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As a European friend of mine put it: “Europe is screwed. The duplicity of the Germans is so badly exposed: Selling to china, Producing by using Russian gas, all the while benefitting from the American umbrella.”
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is there an asset that has broken more hearts than silver?
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What is happening in Sri Lanka is not going to be a one off isolated phenomenon. The coming global food and coming global sovereign debt crisis are not unrelated.
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Many have forgotten that one of the reasons people came to America from all over the world was not so they would be taken care of. In many cases they were leaving Governments who promised to take care of them in order to be free to take care of themselves.
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When Powell sees stocks rise 2-3% on day (5-6% from overnight lows to levels higher than last Fed meeting) after reporting abysmal earnings, does he think to himself “rate hikes have done a great job of taking froth & speculation out of the market, this is good place to stop.”…?
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If Twitter doesn’t cease to function in the next 24 hours, isn’t that at least a bit of evidence that all the people that Elon fired were not exactly critical to the viability of the platform?
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The reason communism continues to exist despite its track record is bc it “works”. To be clear, it doesn’t “work” for the people, but selling a misplaced dream of equality “works” for leadership who implement the system and skim the cream from the top. It will always be so.
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To all of you who bought Bitcoin early and are still holding on I salute you. This is no joke...that is not easy to have done...no matter who you are.
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Enron went from investment grade to bankrupt in 4 days.
Lehman announced earnings Sept 08 & was bankrupt in 4 days.
FTX/SBF went from hero to zero in 4 days.
I know many think same could happen to USD.
How many realize it could also happen to EUR, JPY, GBP, HKD, CNY, etc?
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Sh*t is going to get really interesting when the White House starts blaming rising food prices on the Farmers...
WHITE HOUSE ECONOMIC ADVISER RAMAMURTI: OIL REFINERS ARE TO BLAME FOR HIGH PRICES.
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@RoKhanna
Caitlin Clark is an amazing player.
So why dont you start a team and pay her $10m?
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funny to hear him say "unacceptable views" and then "freedom and rights" in the same sentence...
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Are you starting to get the picture?
Zelensky met with US arms manufacturers yesterday in Washington, DC. Here he is pictured alongside executives from Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, and others. Looks like many lucrative business opportunities still ahead for these valued partners
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Heaven help the world if this is not the biggest chart crime in history...
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It’s just a small “fringe” element.
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This is a wonderful Documentary and highly recommended to those of you who have not yet had the opportunity to watch it.
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1. Warren Buffet is one of the greatest investors in history
2. Warren Buffet is a total shark who has gotten away with deeds that would have brought down a lesser guru due to his altruistic “Uncle Warren” persona.
These two things are not mutually exclusive…
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I am amazed at the number of people who think that Powell didn’t know that raising rates would cause these problems. If it wouldn’t cause the economy to contract, why do you think he was doing it in the first place?
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A very smart guy once told me he always skips the first week of the year in markets. Let’s the amateurs come out throw their stack around before laying his own Capital down. The longer I’m in the markets and the more comments I read on fintwit the more I think he is right…
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Ever stop to think that the Black Swan we all know is out there…is the Fed pulling this off?
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The reason traditional media didn’t take a hard stance & investigate FTX fraud is same reason they didn’t take a hard stance & investigate PPP fraud. The fraud & grift is no longer shameful but institutionalized & celebrated. And as a result it has become an existential issue.
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Pretty good tweet…
This is the guy that Trump tried to bribe into blackmailing Biden and Putin tried to bully into giving up his country. He was a comedian who became a leader in an age where leaders everywhere became clowns. What a fucking champion.
#Zelenskiy
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This should be on a billboard in every city in Germany
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Just got in taxi at Zurich Airport.
Me: “any chance you will take US dollars?”
Driver: “of course sir. It’s a currency too. The most famous one.”
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The US owes over $30T in USD
The Rest of World owes over $30T in USD
The US has ability to print to meet the obligations.
The Rest of the World does not.
The US has massive external demand for its currency.
The Rest of the World does not.
I know...
I know...
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this is completely ridiculous
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Why did US want strong USD in 2022?
Leverage on Rest of World.
What was accomplished?
- Economic crisis abroad
- Industrial migration from Europe to US
- New military installations on Japanese islands
- Russia going from budget surplus to deficit
The USD is a weapon…✌️
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One year ago at the
@cambridge
VRIC conference
@PeterSchiff
and I made bet.
I said in one years time the dollar would be higher.
He said it would be lower.
He was right.
I was wrong.
So congrats to Peter on a good call. 👏👏
One gold coin headed his way.
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Maybe...
Just maybe...
Biden is a better oil trader than you thought he was...
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Right now...billion dollar hedge fund managers...all over the world...have redeployed their best and brightest quants and traders...to Reddit.
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They took Russia’s cash, Venezuela’s gold & Ross’s bitcoin. But don’t worry, I’m sure they will let you keep yours. 😃
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I wonder how many people who are fine with mask mandates would be fine with “walking 2 miles a day” mandates…🤔
People who are overweight or obese are at a much higher risk of much more severe disease and even death from Covid-19 -- and one new study suggests that losing weight can reduce that risk.
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At this point most of those operating in, or following the world of global finance, have seen some version of this "Chart of Truth" (
@RaoulGMI
) where the US 10Yr yield has poked its head above the top of its 40 year channel.
Where it goes from here, I don't know...
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If…the market rallies higher into early January, most everyone will concede the Fed has pulled it off, analysts will raise their 2024 forecasts, Vix will be at a multi decade low…and then the hammer will drop.
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Get some sleep tonight.
The next 3 days will not be boring...
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Remember:
When protests take place in the streets where you live & the buildings where you run your businesses, it's democracy in action.
When protests take place in the streets where the politicians live & the buildings where politicians run their business, it's democracy's end.
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Don’t sleep on this story as all it takes is one snowflake to cause an avalanche.
If you are a board member, on risk committee or have fiduciary position on a fund, ETF, endowment or pension, with exposure to China, how do u not at least test a withdrawal?
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At what point is trotting Biden and McConnell and Feinstein, etc...out in front of cameras...considered elder abuse?
🇺🇸 𝗨.𝗦. 𝗦𝗘𝗡𝗔𝗧𝗘 𝗥𝗘𝗣𝗨𝗕𝗟𝗜𝗖𝗔𝗡 𝗟𝗘𝗔𝗗𝗘𝗥 𝗠𝗖𝗖𝗢𝗡𝗡𝗘𝗟𝗟 𝗔𝗣𝗣𝗘𝗔𝗥𝗦 𝗧𝗢 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘𝗭𝗘 𝗪𝗛𝗜𝗟𝗘 𝗧𝗔𝗞𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗠𝗘𝗗𝗜𝗔 𝗤𝗨𝗘𝗦𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡𝗦 𝗔𝗧 𝗔𝗡 𝗘𝗩𝗘𝗡𝗧 - 𝗠𝗘𝗗𝗜𝗔 𝗙𝗢𝗢𝗧𝗔𝗚𝗘
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Vladimir Putin may go down as the politician who did more than any other to keep the European Union together.
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Now do Julian Assange…
The United States strongly condemns Russia’s conviction of opposition leader Aleksey Navalny on politically motivated charges. The Kremlin cannot silence the truth. Navalny should be released.
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Guess where the SPX was at the end of April a year ago. Then guess where the SPX was at the end of April a year before that...
#ViolentlySideways
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Senior executives of Gasprom found dead. Russian banks cut from Swift. Financial institutions freezing Russian assets. You think the West doesn’t have a few tricks up their sleeve? You think they will just roll over? You think they will play fair?
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If you want a tiny peek into the vast arrogance of man, just look at the number of people on twitter who think they not only have a firm understanding of the 2,000 year old conflict in the Middle East, but also believe they possess the solution to now fix it.
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Just doing my homework in preparation for the new gold backed BRICS currency that is on its way.
Could someone please point me to the most recent audit of official gold holdings for Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa?
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To the USD bears, many of whom are self centered & self loathing Americans, I thought I'd introduce you to 2 important non US cities. Tokyo & Frankfurt. Home of BOJ & ECB respectively. Where interest rates are negative, QE is continuing & Yield Curve Control is already happening.
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The US Government cannot fund itself at 5% forever.
But it can fund itself at 5% for a lot longer than the UK can fund itself at 4.5%, a lot longer than Europe & China can fund themselves at 3%, and a lot longer than Japan can fund itself at 1%.
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Journalist
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Strange...why would Global Central Banks want dollars? Can't they just reach out to the Brics?
GLOBAL CENTRAL BANKS TO ENHANCE LIQUIDITY VIA USD-SWAP LINE.
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Remember 15 yrs ago when investment banks would take indiviual bonds that were junk rated, put them together in a "tranche" & miraculously call it "AAA" rated bc of diversification?
Thats the proposed BRICs currency basket that is supposedly going to take over global trade...
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Gus wishing everyone a very Merry Christmas from the streets of San Francisco. 🎄🎅✌️
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Just arrived in Medellin.
Now in a cab.
“Do you accept Dollars?”
“Si Senor…”
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Maybe he did this, maybe he didn't...but the point is correct.
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Did you ever stop to think that maybe…just maybe…the reason the Central Banks are buying all the gold…is not so they CAN use it…but rather so that you…CANNOT…?
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The next 5 - 10 years are going to be absolutely incredible.
- Politically
- Geopolitically
- Economically
- Socially
- Monetarily
- Religiously
- Spiritually
I’m not sure even those who are ready are ready...
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Once you realize that Governments are nothing more than the biggest & strongest local gang, your expectations for them to act in your best interest will fall and the world will start making a lot more sense.
Anyway,
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Its kind of important to understand that if you will never sell an asset under any condition then there is no point in buying that asset in the first place...
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not going to lie...even though I have no dog in this fight...and don't exepct it to happen...there's a small part of me that would love to see bitcoin now go to 100k just to really mess with all the bears. twitter would literally melt down. 😂
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If you think the US attempting to re-shore its manufacturing and supply chain is going to hurt, you are correct.
If you think it is going to hurt the US more than it is going to hurt the rest of the world, you may want to take a deeper look.
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I'm not sure Fed understands when 2 Governors retire early & cite health reasons rather than ethical reasons it actually further hurts credibility rather than repair credibility that was already hurt. And if that sounds confusing its bc I wrote it the way a Central Banker would.
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I’ve said many times Govs & monetary authorities can’t be trusted Bc are run by grifters & psychos.
But whenever I see episodes like FTX, I remember what Rick Rule once told me:
“Never forget, anything the Government can do, the private market can do better & more effectively…”
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For everyone in the crypto community upset by Berkshire Hathaways negative comments on the space…get in line. They’ve been sh*tting on Gold for years. 😅
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I see many arguments made that a falling stock market, a falling currency & a crashing real estate market will usher in the loss of American hegemony & the inevitable ascent of China.
Meanwhile, China has a falling stock market, a falling currency & a crashing real estate market.
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Has he already been given immunity or something….?
TOMORROW: Collapse of a crypto empire --
@GStephanopoulos
sits down with former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried to talk about what went wrong at the company in a one-on-one interview on
@GMA
.
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What has made Druckenmiller one of, if not the greatest, traders in history, is his habit of publicly disclosing his trades just as he is beginning to enter them rather than when he is beginning to exit them.
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