Raoul Pal
@RaoulGMI
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Founder/CEO Global Macro Investor, @RealVision. Figuring things out at the nexus of Macro, Web3 & the Exponential Age. Not a guru.
Cayman Islands
Joined April 2014
I think it needs explaining that although I see an elongated cycle it doesn't mean my analysis is right. The breadth and depth of macro/crypto analytics framework I've added since 2021 is massive and I'm happy with the probabilities currently but things can change... At GMI we
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📢 We’re also opening a few sponsorship and side-event spots for our Crypto Gathering 2026. Meant for brands that want to get in front of an audience that thinks big, builds, and invests. Interested in joining us? Reach out here:
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CFO won't be happy with this... but oh well...
realvision.com
Black Friday 2025: Up to 50% off all Real Vision memberships. Smarter market insight. Better investment decisions.
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VIX UPDATE: Spot touched 16, should struggle to go much lower before FOMC next week. Futures continued to roll down with Dec/Jan 9% contango. VVIX starting to hold up though, often a leading indicator and that's despite a load of VIX options selling yesterday. Flows:
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ICYMI: I shouldn't say this, but if you go to our Black Friday page, offers seem to be valid until Friday if you're keen to save some money... 🤫
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When crytpo OG's are posting silver charts we must at the bottom...( It's a joke, I like Ben's work even when I disagree)
Silver hits a new all time high https://t.co/IJ0KWTNvcI
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50% off until midnight!
🚨 LAST CHANCE: Buy time. Buy Clarity. Make smarter decisions. Or buy something shiny you’ll forget next week. Buy Smart, Not Shiny. 🔥 50% off until midnight.
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🔥 Final hours: Get up to 50% OFF across Real Vision Buy Smart. Not Shiny. (link below)
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🔥 Save $500 on your ticket with our Black Friday deal. Expires at midnight ⏰
I am looking forward to meeting everyone in Miami for the Crypto Gathering in January as 2026 kicks off.
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Buy smart and unf*ck your future. It's worth a fortune to your future self, unlike your new TV which can can't sell or even give away
👎 How we shop: Research TVs for 47 hours Compare 900 specs we don't understand Read every review twice Buy the wrong one anyway Put that research energy into your future instead. Buy Smart. Not Shiny: 🔥 50% off now.
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$2K treadmill → coat rack PS5 → never finished the games Smart home setup → expensive light switch 📣 Don’t add another regret to the pile. Invest in your brain, not your garage. Up to 50% off now
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Enjoy these insane discounts!
realvision.com
Black Friday 2025: Up to 50% off all Real Vision memberships. Smarter market insight. Better investment decisions.
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So many discussions around AI, including the new Ilya Sutskever interview, center around how AI can't be AGI and can't compete with humans yet... This is along the lines of the school of thought around how they can't possibly be conscious (even early stage) or "sentient"
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It costs 50% less to unfuck your future. Make wise choices on Black Friday. Your future self will thank you.
🔥 Up to 50% OFF now. 60% of members say Real Vision paid for itself. 90% feel more confident managing their future. Buy confidence, not clutter.
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Just became a new Alpha member for the next year. Couldn’t miss this 50% off… Looking forward to the next 12 months @RaoulGMI @BittelJulien 🙏
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