
SWP International Security (inactive)
@SWP_IntSecurity
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Research Division International Security Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (@SWPBerlin) German Institute for International & Security Affairs
Berlin, Germany
Joined March 2019
Dear readers, taking the cue from @SWPBerlin, we will no longer be active on X. We will update you on our new BlueSky going live shortly, where we will keep posting our regular newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 11/11.
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To deter & defend against opportunistic & coordinated aggression, the US & allies should apply lessons from the Cuban Missile Crisis & Korean War to strengthen nuclear forces, missile defense & conventional forces, argues @MattCostlow 10/11
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New START is unlikely to be renegotiated for years, but the US could pursue mutual restraint with Russia to sustain strategic stability & if China's buildup hampers restraint, the US could take steps to mitigate risks, argues @courtneywmh @RCDefense 9/11
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Trump could follow separate negotiation tracks with Russia & China - pursuing a limited arms control agreement with Russia, while focusing on predictability & stability & modernization with China, proposes @Gottemoeller @ForeignAffairs 8/11
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Repelling Russia’s ground forces requires defeating its dense air defense systems, argue @Justin_Br0nk & @Jack_Watling @RUSI_org & suggest steps for European members of NATO amid strained transatlantic relations 7/11
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China could deploy a fleet of 50 nuclear-capable H-20 stealth bombers with a 8,500 km range, each carrying up to 16 weapons, a threat to territories like Guam, Hawaii & the US mainland, writes Kris Osborn @WarriorMaven1 6/11
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US envoy Witkoff signaled a possible shift in Washington’s stance towards Tehran, saying Iran would not need to enrich uranium past 3.67% — a contrast to earlier calls for the full dismantling of Iran’s program, reports @FT 5/11
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Iran & the US are set for another round of talks, though the location remains unclear, reports @WashingtonPost but Iran plans to consult with Moscow ahead of these talks, reports @AJEnglish 4/11.
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Germany could establish a Ministry for Research, Technology & Aerospace, but military affairs would remain under the Defense Ministry, reports @LisaMissLittle @TableBriefings, & space industry calls to break down civil-military research barriers 3/11
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🚀💣Nukes in Space? The damage created as a result of a nuclear detonation in space would be far-reaching and indiscriminate. @_jonasschneider & @JulianaSuess outline the implications of such a weapon for escalation dynamics and arms control 2/11
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Russian nukes in space, a new ministry in Germany; Iran & US talks; China's nuclear-armed stealth fighter; Russia’s air defense, arms control; & more in our last weekly newsletter on this platform to #better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/11
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China has a long way to go to become a nuclear peer to the US & Russia, says @nukestrat @thecipherbrief, pointing out to Beijing’s semi-potent nuclear triad, command & control system, overall stockpile & strategic launchers 10/10
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Iran & US to hold indirect talks on Iran’s nuclear program in Oman,reports @AJEnglish Meanwhile, Iran participated in a 2nd round of nuclear talks with Russia & China this past Tuesday, 8/4/25, in Moscow, reports @TehranTimes79 9/10.
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There is no real replacement to Starlink in the war in Ukraine, as alternatives, such as Franco-British operator Eutelsat, could substitute Starlink's warfare-critical services only to a certain extent, reports @MathieuPollet_ @politico 8/10
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German Bundeswehr plans to build its own satellite communications constellation until 2029 in a bid to boost sovereign capabilities & fulfil requirements that Starlink & IRIS2 could not, reports @handelsblatt 7/10
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Speaking about South Korea, which has been debating its own nuclear deterrent, @philippthewolf @nzz sees 3 scenarios: sticking to nuclear latency, starting a clandestine, or an overt nuclear program 6/10
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Countries seeking to bolster deterrence don’t need nukes – nuclear latency could act as a deterrent, argues @mcfuhrmann @WarOnTheRocks, describing a symbiosis of enrichment/reprocessing capacity & a restrained nuclear program as a recipe for success 5/10
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Expansion of the British sub-strategic nuclear arsenal would provide more layered deterrence, reduce dependency on the US & create another nuclear pole in Europe that nervous Euro allies could turn to, argue @DeVoreMarc & @james_rogers @ConGeostrategy 4/10
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